prices can go down, they just dont publicly announce why.

for example, after covid functionally ended and the cryptoboom crashed, Nvidia and AMD over ordered on dies. so there was a flood of Ampere and RDNA2 gpus they needed to get rid of. because of the flood, it killed the launch value of Lovelace and RDNA3.

Ampere stock was legitamitely bad that when EVGA left the gpu sales market, one of the biggest reasons was because Nvidia forced AIBs to buy up their ampere stock if they wanted any lovelace stock.

Don't worry. Everyone knows that under capitalism anyone can open a shop to compete with lower prices for a slice of that pie.

Subscription slavery

You don't need the latest Nvidea GPU to self host your own computing. You don't even need ssds. You arguably don't even need that much RAM. A ten year old Dell work fine. Are you self hosting your own AI? Probably not. So what? AI is not mature enough that it is a necessity.

Are computing prices coming down? Unlikely before the AI bubble pops. I think we have taken for granted that computing will perpetually improve price/performance. This is not sustainable.

Same. I'm thinking about replacing the PSU, which is one of the original parts, to ensure the rest of the parts don't fail due to improper power delivery.

At least PSUs haven't yet spiked in price.

This is where I'm at. I'm selling off some old DDR3 RAM I have and I'm hanging onto my DDR4 stuff and systems.

Just bought a 3700X to replace an aging Ryzen 1700X. $100 on eBay, so not bad.

For your 5800X if it does die(*knock on wood) then at least you can snag a 5700X or 5800X on eBay for $200. Hopefully that stays consistent.

And the prices?

So far they are sustaining each other in a giant circle jerk of investments. It is only going to implode when they run out of money, and the problem is they have a mindbogglingly huge amount of money.

American? This shit is happening globally. The Korean and Taiwanese companies are more than onboard with this.

I doubt it will take a couple years. They're burning through so much cash right now that they'll be bankrupt in a couple years and despite sunk cost fallacy they won't let it get that bad. At some point they'll cut their losses and pivot to some other new fad. The small handful of uses that make sense will stick around and a few companies will be in just the right place to make it turn a profit but the vast majority won't. Some will go bankrupt (if we're lucky Meta and/or X will be one of them) and some will just write it off as a failed experiment. Either way just as hard as prices spiked we'll see them cratering before they rebound back to normal. Six months would be highly optimistic, but a year probably isn't out of the question.

Of course all of this might be moot if Shitler manages to start WW3 by attacking Greenland. If that happens RAM prices will be the least of everyone's worries.

Im sure china will and the tradional manufacturers will cry about losing market share while begging for tarrifs and handouts.

It takes time to build factories, the big three RAM manufacturers apparently think AI is a bubble, although that could just be an excuse for price fixing.

China's cxmt is apparently ramping up production, but they're still relatively small.

They are ramping up production. But it all goes to AI data centers.

No small ask. New factories, new supply chains, more staff, etc.

Part of the problem is lack of interference, they are not regulating the cartels behind this and with Trump they won't be because all it takes is a bribe.

communist government

Socialist government, sure, but communism describes a stateless society. "Communist government" is an oxymoron.

Yes, I am that guy. Sorry ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Are you joking, or are you actually serious?

I feel similarly. I pretty much maxed the RAM on my DDR5 gaming/daily driving desktop before this. I wish I had also maxed the RAM on my DDR4 server, though I did acquire significant storage space and a new SSD while it was more affordable. If we see a reasonable dip in storage prices or RAM, I'm buying spare drives in the sizes I use so I can be a bit more insulated from market swings and will have spares on-site immediately if needed.