No matter what happens, 46+% will not believe it.

That's the moral of the story here. We each control one vote and this is arguably our most important vote in history.

Half the country in 2016:

The polling has been very predictive when DJT isn't on the ballot. That said, I'm not buying the rat poison.

I know, I talk to a few people who say their parents are "true conservatives" that voted Republican but hate donnie and didn't vote for him (allegedly).

SMH. What the fuck even is a "true conservative"? Just sounds like No True Scotsman stuff.

I live in rural Ohio, the number of signs that are proudly Republican is too damn high.

I’m always amazed, it’ll just be some guys name and then “REPUBLICAN” and that’s the whole sign, like it’s a good thing.

who thin[k] republicans are decent people

Someone can be an omnicidal bigot, and still be nice to dogs and old ladies. They can even sometimes be nice to people who don't look, sound, or think like they do.

Republicans probably define "decent" as "opposing communism, non-whites, atheism, and Islam".
Democrats probable define "decent" as "not being a bigot".
Greens probably define "decent" as "opposing omnicide, factory farming, genocide, authoritarianism, and capitalism".

Democrats aren't winning shit. Regardless of the actual legit results, you can bet your ass that the Republicans won't concede power.

The only thing Clinton and Harris taught me was that Dems (and boomers) dislike them some highly qualified, educated women.

I will vote dem predominantly going forward (bus analogy and all that) but damn, like folding pocket aces. The opponent makes it even more cutting.

I don’t think the polls are accounting for all the Republican and Trump voters that simply won’t show up this year. I’ve talked to many that voted for Trump who said to me they ain’t either voting ever again or not this time around.

Trump supporters are also less likely to show up for a midterm, but they conveniently left that truth out of their clickbait.

It's the shy voter effect. When politicians are unpopular, people don't like to admit to supporting them. In most historical cases, this correlates with low turnout, so the effects on polling tend to cancel out. When Trump has been on the ballot, this correlation hasn't held up the same way, and polling has slightly underestimated MAGA turnout.

Basically it depends on how "real" you think Trump's unpopularity actually is. Are these people done with him, or just annoyed enough not to talk to pollsters?

Calling the majority of any large sample size pedophiles is quite the stretch.

Also a whole lot of men view voting Democratic the same way they view eating plant-based foods. They think it'll turn them into women or something.

You've been saying this so often and for so long that I'm really curious to see how you're going to try and spin it when the DNC fucks over progressives like they always do. Ken Martin is like the second coming of Jesus to you for some reason.

Oligarchs are the source of the problem. Citizens United means more money supporting the fascists, and control of almost every media outlet means outright fascist propaganda on the "conservative' networks, and minimized support for progressives on the "liberal" networks.

Establishment Democrats still give us better returns on human rights compared to the fascists, but they do bow to their oligarchal masters pretty well, yes.

The point is that progressives definitely do not have a majority in the US, much less the supermajority needed to squash fascism.

It's up to us to deal with our oligarchs and go from there.

propaganda works on uneducated people

It should, but we are surrounded with deeply stupid people stewing in a shit-ton of conservative propaganda.

Yup. Centrists who bitch about "blue no matter who" are wasting their breath. The actual leftists still hold their nose and vote blue anyway. But the things that progressives point out, and that centrists refuse to change, are what cause the centrists to lose their elections. Centrists will bitch about online leftists condemning genocide support, but it wasn't the progressives that caused Kamala to lose. It was mostly moderate and conservative Muslim voters who simply refused to vote for a genocide supporter.

49.99999%. You can raise more money by almost winning, and that's what the consultants are incentivised to do.

Hey! It's hard work for them make sure that we have a tight margin so that we can always be JUST SHY of whatever the working class wants.

JUST VOTE "BLUE" HARDER

It's not the pollsters...

It's people writing opinion pieces about polls.

Like always tho, it's important to remember a billionaire can pay for 100 polls and publish the 1 that agrees with them.

Like, from the article the polls and question are already counting Republican responses more, and at least one of the pollsters is a "Republican pollster:

“I think it’s telling that we’re hanging our hopes on ‘The polls are wrong,’” Republican pollster Brent Buchanan told Axios. “That’s not very strong.”

And he flat out said "our only hope is this isn't real"

The only thing Republicans love more than being victims is being winners, if they think Dems are going to win state races, they'll invent reasons not to vote. Otherwise they'd have to vote and lose, they'd rather not "play".

We'll certainly have a stronger blue turnout than normal and likely a somewhat lesser red turnout than normal.

I think the idea of a wave is kinda of nebulous. We have a solid chance, but certainly no sure thing.