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[–] 2 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (4 children)

At this point this isn't even a matter of speculation. Harvard's been tracking domestic opinions through independent polling since the early 2000s. The tables in the report span to 2016:

Sadly no newer data but as you can see there's a positive trend across levels of gov't with pretty high satisfaction across the board. Would be nice to see where these numbers are today, after COVID, the real estate bubble and the Trump trade war.

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  • [+] 2 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (3 children)
  • [–] 2 points 3 months ago* (2 children)

    That's not to say there aren't plenty problems but I think they got decent chances to solve or navigate many of them. For example managing their hard-on for Taiwan without resorting to war. Managing the decline of the US without war is another big challenge.

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  • [+] 1 point 3 months ago (1 child)
  • [–] 2 points 3 months ago*

    Oh yeah, I get all that. A CCP Taiwan would have been treated like Cuba and probably had similar if not worse fate given what happened with other left revolutions in the region.

    That said, the history since then has created facts on the ground that Taiwan is independent at present and has had some form of democracy for 30 odd years. I personally would prefer for people in Taiwan to decide on whether to go independent, stay status quo or move towards unification. If China keeps developing as it has in the past, I think there's a good chance that in a couple of decades Taiwanese people could decide to unify. There's always gonna be unhappy people either way. Such is democracy. And any other system for that matter.

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