What events do you think are likely to happen this calendar year? What percent odds would you put on such events happening?

top 52 comments

sorted by: hot top controversial new old
[+] 53 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 child)
  • [–] 44 points 10 months ago (2 children)
    • AI bubble pops as investors begin to realize that nobody is willing to pay for this stuff that they're sinking their money into.
    • China invades Taiwan. It's brutal and bloody. The US destroys TSMC and other key technologically significany global infrastructure.
    • As a result, the global economy again collapses as the bottom drops out of the stock market and multiple high profile companies go bankrupt. Executives get golden parachute on the way out.
    • Venezuela is going to turn ugly as a power struggle ramps up among rival entities.
    • The US will invade Columbia and Panama, but not Greenland.
    • Ukraine will continue fighting against Russia, the stalemate will continue.
    • Interest rates are going to be ramped up too fast in a effort to juice the economy before the midterm elections. Only to make inflation worse. We will continue to see prices increase.
    • Trump and the Republicans are going to hype up another racist fear tactic as red meat for their base.
    • Trump's mental and physical health problems get worse, his deterioration is very obvious but nobody will say or do anything about it.
    • ICEs violence will increase, as will anger of protestors. We will see riots and mass unrest.
    • The Republicans lose the midterm in a landslide, Trump whines about it on truth social, calling it rigged.
    • Wildfires in the west, hurricanes in the east.
    • The internet gets even more dead and useless as more and more AI slop fills up every nook and cranny of all mainstream sites. Subculture sites and the Fediverse remain mostly fine.
  • source
  • hideshow 2 child comments
  • [–] 1 point 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

    i feel like the dead internet theory is already on most of the social media platforms. more than half of reddit is AI/ and bot slop.

    they just extend the insurance subsidized, both parties know they are going to lose seats over if they dint.

  • source
  • parent
  • [–] 28 points 10 months ago (1 child)
  • [–] 48 points 10 months ago (6 children)
    • Trump resigns after careful consideration
    • Elon decides to fly on a SpaceX flight, it doesn’t go well
    • We find a cure for cilantro tasting like soap for some people
    • RAM prices drop lower than ever
  • source
  • hideshow 6 child comments
  • [–] 5 points 10 months ago (3 children)

    I guess the serious tag doesn't mean anything.

  • source
  • parent
  • hideshow 3 child comments
  • [+] 15 points 10 months ago (3 children)
  • load more comments (1 reply)
    [–] 14 points 10 months ago* (4 children)

    A cure for Alzheimers is found. This one says it's possible in animals. This year, I predict one will be found in vitro for humans.

    The EU will change from a Union to something else and kick out Hungary Orban and his party will lose in the upcoming Hungarian elections.

    The Dutch government will fall again.

    Germany will not ban their Nazi, Russian spy party.

    A Nordic country will decide to get rid of their "kronen" and introduce it in 2027/2028.

    Malta will be rocked by another pedophile scandal.

    All the Epstein files will be released and Trump will be impeached as a result. (Lots of other politicians will be implicated but nothing will happen to them).

    The UK will lose another royal.

    China will invade Taiwan. Japan will go to war with them.

    Linux will hit 8% marketshare.

  • source
  • hideshow 4 child comments
  • [+] 3 points 10 months ago (3 children)
  • [–] 1 point 10 months ago (2 children)

    Sweden and Finland joined NATO after decades of not being in it. I wouldn't put it past them to join the Eurozone to be able to get rid of Mastercard and VISA and join WERO.

  • source
  • parent
  • hideshow 2 child comments
  • load more comments (-1 replies)
    [–] 27 points 10 months ago (1 child)
    • AI bubble doesn't dramatically pop in the way people might be expecting, but much of the tech industry will become more and more of a disaster over time. Especially the job market. But they'll keep insisting everything is normal and this isn't a pop.
    • Linux marketshare rises a full percentage point.
    • A major assassination of a billionaire or politician. A much bigger incident than Brian Thompson or Charlie Kirk. With how much more venomous the political climate keeps becoming, I expect violence to escalate into something this severe.
    • No consequences whatsoever for Donald Trump. Given his health there's a small possibility he just dies though, but that's the only possible way he ever leaves office.
    • Frieren season 2 will be peak, and it'll be the one little bit of joy to keep me going just a little longer.
  • source
  • hideshow 1 child comment
  • [–] 10 points 10 months ago* (1 child)

    My predictions aren't good. The Untied States will attack Greenland and start a war. Canada will join the war. Or the Untied States will implode and have a revolution/civil war. I have to hope for the latter so that Canada will be safe.

    And also, there will be no midterms elections, at least not free and fair ones

  • source
  • hideshow 1 child comment
  • [–] 10 points 10 months ago

    GTA VI will be delayed again.

  • source
  • [–] 26 points 10 months ago

    It's gonna get way worse to be in the US

  • source
  • [–] 26 points 10 months ago (1 child)
    • RAM prices will continue to rise for at least the first half of the year, just going on the fact that I've read plenty of statements to that extent and no disagreement.

    • The Democrats will win control of the House in the US in the midterm elections. That'll set off a number of investigations which will have Trump and Trump cabinet members spending a lot of time in House hearings, and news about that will be a major news item for the next two years, as the parties angle for political advantage there.

    • xAI will not build an artificial general intelligence. Elon Musk will, following tradition, issue a new prediction as to how AGI is imminent and maybe one more year down the road.

    • The Trump administration will not invade Canada or Greenland. Trump will continue to suggest that he might whenever a topic comes up that he doesn't want news coverage of, the present undesirable topic being the expiring ACA subsidy and people's healthcare prices going up.

  • source
  • hideshow 1 child comment
  • [+] 8 points 10 months ago (2 children)
  • [–] 9 points 10 months ago

    Hold yourself accountable, that's only twice a week. Don't have expectations, go to the gym and do 10 squats and go home. Hell, go to the gym parking lot and get taco bell on the way back and count it as a win. Give yourself breaks and make it easy for you to succeed.

    Every step even if it seems small and inconsequential gets you closer to your real goal. You don't have to be perfect, every step closer is progress.

  • source
  • parent
  • load more comments (1 reply)
    [–] 8 points 10 months ago

    GPUs will get more expensive as the VRAM will be diverted to much more profitable datacenter GPUs during the RAM shortage.

  • source
  • [–] 8 points 10 months ago

    I’m gonna end up as canon fodder when the fascists comes for Greenland. I’m quite good at handling rifles and pistols as I’m a active member of the local shooting range but do to a serious accident I can’t run any more.

  • source
  • [–] 14 points 10 months ago* (3 children)

    Please let another CEO get murked 🙏 I would be so happy

  • source
  • hideshow 3 child comments
  • [–] 6 points 10 months ago (2 children)
    • AI bubble will pop when the datacenters that are financed to be completed in the first quarter fail to meet their deadlines, and continue to fail to meet them mid-year. Banks will pull loans, and rapidly, the dominoes will fall. I doubt OpenAI will survive 2026 (fingers crossed), Nvidia may, since theyre actually shipping products and making sales off the bubble - they'll take a big hit, as will Microsoft, Google, Facebook. It will cause a worldwide recession if not a financial crisis. 75% chance by EOY.

    • Trump will die. His health has circled the drain for years, and there's only so many medical interventions that can be applied. 50% chance.

    • I'll finally wash my car (been putting it off all 2025), 95% chance.

  • source
  • hideshow 2 child comments
  • [–] 10 points 10 months ago (3 children)

    I might get my wife pregnant if we decide to start trying for it this year. Maybe a good 75-80%? Our blood tests are coming out fine, so God willing we will be blessed if we let nature run its course. 👍

  • source
  • hideshow 3 child comments
  • [–] 9 points 10 months ago (1 child)

    Life is truly so unfair when it comes to kids. Like you seem to have thought all this out, and even have blood tests to monitor shit. Then there are people like me who was crossing my fingers praying that I wasn't the tiny percentage that would end up with a pregnancy after even using a condom and/or using other birth control measures. I applaud your efforts, I hope you find everything you wish for when it comes to having children. 17-25 I just remember being worried all the time.

  • source
  • parent
  • hideshow 1 child comment
  • [–] 0 points 10 months ago*

    Just keep in mind that you're planning on bringing a child into a world where 90% of the planets arable land will be depleted by 2050, global fresh water demand will exceed supply by 40% by 2030 and 7 of 9 planetary boundaries have now been breached, so within the next 25 years billions of people will die in massive droughts and famines, and the oceans will be so acidic that the phytoplankton that produce 50 to 80% of the worlds oxygen won't survive.

    Oh and there's a chance for a double Blue Ocean Event this year too.

  • source
  • parent
  • [–] 5 points 10 months ago

    Shit'll get even worse.

  • source
  • [–] 4 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 child)

    that the DNC/DEMS wont see the significant return for midterm elections than they thought: trying to deny ZOHRAN his election, rolling over to the GOP demands of the shutdown, SHILLING FOR AIPAC, and doing nothing to reign in the billionaires thats been feeding them. i see DNC early on supporting NEWSOM because he will keep the current status quo as is in order to prevent any other DEM thats to the "left" of him from winning, and likely will collude with the gop, billionaire donors to insure its propagandized against a newcomer.

    plus continued ignorance of the epstein files, that the even the DNC is trying to avoid airing too much about.

    the AI bubble bursitng is probably the least of the worries right now, but it does exacerbate the compounded problems.

    just as we predicted the gop/dnc had agree to extend the ACA subsidies, because they under threat of losing thier seats this midterms, and likely the next election, hence why its 3 years and not just this year. Otherwise if both parties feel like thier seats arnt threatened they more than likely wouldve not "amend the subsidies"

    what is likely to happen with LUIGIs trial?

    entertainmaint: SG new series might be more problematic than the old ones, due to it being only 10 episodes(less episodes means less time to develop stories, and plots) and not give disclosure on previous cliffhangers(atlantis on earth, destiny sitll lost), its probably cringe if they decide to reimagine the series of sg1, like with BSG. also with the current climate of things that has affected other shows, like nutrek. and ROP being a massive money sink, that has likely sucked the budget from other shows making them cheaply produced.

    also DEGREE to jobs piplines continues to degrade, and it might turn more people towards the RIGHT, predicting more election losses for DNC in the future, as angry frustrated college graduates of ten will gravitate to right wing sources for making themselves feel better.

  • source
  • hideshow 1 child comment
  • [–] 3 points 10 months ago

    US starts floating the idea of invading Canada for fresh water*

    Trump says something rambly about the important development of AI requiring it

    americans cheer it on because "we needed the water and now we have it, what's bad about that?"

    *specifically this reason, nvm the threats of invasion that have already happened

  • source
  • [–] 1 point 10 months ago

    Bird flu pandemic

  • source
  • [–] 1 point 10 months ago

    Doom! DOOOOOOOOOOOOOM!

    Idk I've got like 30% on the potus croaking of natural causes.

  • source
  • [–] 0 points 10 months ago

    None. The world is going to end in nuclear war is my best bet.

  • source