What events do you think are likely to happen this calendar year? What percent odds would you put on such events happening?

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[–] 27 points 10 months ago (1 child)
  • AI bubble doesn't dramatically pop in the way people might be expecting, but much of the tech industry will become more and more of a disaster over time. Especially the job market. But they'll keep insisting everything is normal and this isn't a pop.
  • Linux marketshare rises a full percentage point.
  • A major assassination of a billionaire or politician. A much bigger incident than Brian Thompson or Charlie Kirk. With how much more venomous the political climate keeps becoming, I expect violence to escalate into something this severe.
  • No consequences whatsoever for Donald Trump. Given his health there's a small possibility he just dies though, but that's the only possible way he ever leaves office.
  • Frieren season 2 will be peak, and it'll be the one little bit of joy to keep me going just a little longer.
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