AI companies make up 1/3 of the current stock market value in the US. Nvidia alone is 7% of the stock market. 92% of 2025 GDP growth in the US has been from AI. They will get bailed out.
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How. How does this work? They lose astronomical amounts of money. Without a prospect to ever make enough to be in plus, not even talking about paying off all the investments. How does this system work? I never understand. Same with US economy.
Simple, you invest in the company, wait for the stock price to grow and sell before it collapses. Everyone knows it will collapse eventually but for now there's still money to be made.
I think you just explained it to me so I finally understood. Thanks!
What if it’s not a publicly traded company like OpenAI?
AI companies will try to worm their way inside governments around the world, to "enhance" them. Then they'll become "essential" cost of running said governments, being "impossible" to remove without serious disruption.
This all presumes that OpenAI can get there and further is exclusively in a position to get there.
Most experts I've seen don't see a logical connection between LLM and AGI. OpenAI has all their eggs in that basket.
To the extent LLM are useful, OpenAI arguably isn't even the best at it. Anthropic tends to make it more useful than OpenAI and now Google's is outperforming it on relatively pointless benchmarks that were the bragging point of OpenAI. They aren't the best, most useful, or cheapest. The were first, but that first mover advantage hardly matters when you get passed.
Maybe if they were demonstrating advanced robotics control, but other companies are mostly showing that whole OpenAI remains "just a chatbot", with more useful usage of their services going through third parties that tend to be LLM agnostic, and increasingly I see people select non OpenAI models as their preference.
UBI is not going to win out over soylent green.
Establishment prefers solylent green solution to unneeded slavery for sure. UBI is an obvious winning political platform, even though it does not provide the proponents with maximum political power, the way that bandaids on oligarchist supremacism still allows for supremacism and soylent green to rise as the solution.
Simply, the answer, is to reject establishment politics, including Bernie as controlled opposition proposing nonsense that gets shot down for its stupidity, instead of UBI.
Also, an MIT study released today, said 135m US jobs could be replaced with AI agents.
Because companies don't do R&D anymore, they fund startups and aquire them when they're ripe
Being able to replace workers with AI is a holy Grail for capitalism, and so a ton of companies have poured their saved up "R&D funds" in order to get in early
Alphaville is free access. Just create a free account.
Yeahhhhhno
free access
create account
so it isnt free access. you want my email address and personal data in exchange for this “FrEe” article
temp-mail.org for email, lie for the rest.
royim85224@feralrex.com <- you can even use that account if you like, password is the same as the email.
I like mailsac. Any user handle and no signup.
Corpo's saying that it's not a bubble in the face of this reminds me of "don't look up" except more malicious.
The government will bail them out. They want the AI surveillance power but don't realize how flawed it is. MK Ultra went on for 20 years before they realized they can't use LSD to mind control people..
This is peak bubble type news. AI is becoming rapidly more energy efficient. These events will be looked back on like pets.com reaching hundreds of millions and then dying.
Is it becoming useful yet?
Sometimes. As a tool, not an outsourced human, oracle, or some transcendent companion con artists like Altman are trying to sell.
See how grounded this interview is, from a company with a model trained on peanuts compared to ChatGPT, and that takes even less to run:
…In 2025, with the launch of Manus and Claude Code, we realized that coding and agentic functions are more useful. They contribute more economically and significantly improve people’s efficiency. We are no longer putting simple chat at the top of our priorities. Instead, we are exploring more on the coding side and the agent side. We observe the trend and do many experiments on it.
https://www.chinatalk.media/p/the-zai-playbook
They talk about how the next release will be very small/lightweight, and more task focused. How important gaining efficiency through architecture (not scaling up) is now. They even touch on how their own models are starting to be useful utilities in their workflows, and specifically not miraculous worker replacements.
One example is it reviews code a lot better than human beings. It’s not just finding obvious errors but it catches logical error that no human would have caught.
No, it does not.
Source: Open-source contributor who's constantly annoyed by the useless CodeRabbit AI that some open source projects have chosen to use.
It’s not just finding obvious errors but it catches logical error that no human would have caught.
I'm not having the same experience.
Maybe reconsider which model you're using?
If there was a model that coded perfectly then there wouldn't be a plurality of models. There would just be THE model.
It's like companies having competing math formulas for structural engineering where some work and others don't. It's insanity.
And how many errors is it creating that we don't know about? You're using AI to review code but then someone has to review what the AI did because they fuck up.
If humans code something, then humans can troubleshoot and fix it. It's on our level. But how are you going to fix a gigantic complicated tangle of vibe code that AI makes and only AI understands? Make a better AI to fix it? Again and again? Just get the AI to code another system from scratch every month? This shit is not sustainable.
Yes, as far as scalability, cheaper more efficient models can be used in applications which require thousands of uses a day.
These headlines look like something out of the twilight zone.
Wow, $207bn by 2030? That's a lot of money to lose! Maybe they should focus on making some actual profit instead.
I'm guessing by fiat you mean government issued currency that is not backed by precious metals but by faith and credit of the issuing government.
They call it fiat because a government just declares how much of it there is.
Blockchain tokens are also fiat in this sense, it's just that the protocol makes the declaration instead of a government.
The other notable difference is that I can buy things with USD or other government currencies. I can't with blockchain tokens. I mean technically I can but they have to be converted first and the popular ones are mostly depictionary so you're deeply disincentivized from using them as currency.
The value of USD comes from people taking it in exchange for goods and services, and the US government taking it as payment for taxes. The value of a Bitcoin comes from people giving you USD for it under the assumption that they can sell it for more USD later. Like a stock, but without the incidental fractional ownership of a corporation with actual capital.
It's a cool concept though, and peer-to-peer digital payment is a good thing, but it cannot function as a store of value without a connection to the material world.
Yeah, im talking about the 207 BILLION US dollars they need to raise. That's an absolutely insane amount of currency if it had to be backed by real things and not "Hey buddy, its the U.S.! nothing could go catastrophically wrong and make this all valueless overnight"
Being backed by real things isn't always great for a currency. A lot of the value in the economy is from the transformative effects of labor, not just rare metals.
207 billion is insane, but if this money was being moved around by the mass of people or their legitimate representatives rather than shareholders and VC investors gambling on the next big thing, that would stand a chance of laying to rest this kind of reckless waste.
It would take a demented, orange painted, pants shitting clown to devalue the dollar.
Bitcoin is a pyramid scheme. I mined bitcoin in the early days when you could literally make 1 whole bitcoin in two weeks. The next two weeks I mined 0.3 bitcoins. That's when I realized that it was a scam.
It's not about facilitating peer-to-peer transactions like its proponents claimed. It's about creating a huge money store. The more we use it the more inefficient it gets.
The onion cannot top this headline
I think there business model is merely a hail-mary shot at super-intelligent AGI. That's the only thing that sorta makes sense at this point.
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