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Alchemy is so hot right now. (mander.xyz)
submitted 10 months ago by to c/science_memes@mander.xyz
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[–] 12 points 10 months ago (3 children)

I... don't know if I want to believe someone who cites a gambling site as a credible source.

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  • [–] 2 points 10 months ago (1 child)
    1. Prediction market is a tool to predict a future more accurately than asking people what will happen[1][2]
    2. You can't cash out on manifold.markets so I would not mark it as gambling unlike polymarket. It works like premium in-game currency
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  • [–] 3 points 10 months ago

    Yeah, I don't think "asking people what will happen" is a reliable way to measure pretty much anything, let alone the future, so being more accurate than that is whatever. Additionally, I tried to find where the substack got his numbers for these chances from, and it seems like the answer is out of his ass? So that isn't very credible either in my opinion.

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