▲ 862 ▼ Alchemy is so hot right now. (mander.xyz) submitted 10 months ago by fossilesque@mander.xyz to c/science_memes@mander.xyz 87 comments fedilink hide all child comments
[–] Ludrol@szmer.info 2 points 10 months ago (1 child) Prediction market is a tool to predict a future more accurately than asking people what will happen[1][2] You can't cash out on manifold.markets so I would not mark it as gambling unlike polymarket. It works like premium in-game currency permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 1 child comment replies: [–] jackr@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 points 10 months ago Yeah, I don't think "asking people what will happen" is a reliable way to measure pretty much anything, let alone the future, so being more accurate than that is whatever. Additionally, I tried to find where the substack got his numbers for these chances from, and it seems like the answer is out of his ass? So that isn't very credible either in my opinion. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] jackr@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 points 10 months ago Yeah, I don't think "asking people what will happen" is a reliable way to measure pretty much anything, let alone the future, so being more accurate than that is whatever. Additionally, I tried to find where the substack got his numbers for these chances from, and it seems like the answer is out of his ass? So that isn't very credible either in my opinion. permalink fedilink source parent
