These "bet on anything" sites know people with insider info cheat, and don't care.
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I'd wager
Oh really
LOL... the orange pedophile rapist is taking open bribes with his eCoin and other scams...
Betting based on classified intelligence is like coffee money
These are probably him giving bribes to others, right? He gets to essentially anonymously give someone money without having to actually spend any of his own money
No, he took Billions from people who had to know there was no economic value to his eCoin.
All that money went directly to trump... now they get whatever they asked for
I think skua is saying that trump can give someone the classified intelligence and then the person can make the bet and collect the winnings without trump having to pay them himself.
The only winning move is not to play.
At least someone gets it.
This is just like gambling on sports when you know that the players are also betting. It's insane.
Would you like to play a game?
WRONG WRONG WRONG
There are laws and enforcement, but only for working class people and well-off Democrats.
About 4-5 hours (IIRC) before, the massive drop-off in bar activity around the pentagon made it obvious something was happening imo. But not sure what evidence was 6 hours before (bar activity was normal at the time I think).
Aren't all these bets made of a blockchain? Aren't these transactions traceable from wallet to wallet?
Can we like... Sue, over this? This has to be illegal, right?
I get that I sound like a whiny nerd saying 'BuT ThEy Can'T DO tHaT!' But let's be honest legality is this administration's weakpoint
monitor things that the us gov has control over for large sudden bets
copy those bets
money
Can I place a bet that we'll find proof of this? And a parlay bet that nothing will come of it?
There's a reason Trump brought attention to only insider stock trading at the State of the Union. They're 100% playing the prediction betting market.
Regardless of the bet, there are ALWAYS insiders... at the least the house.
The house always wins
This also applies to the stock market, USAs favorite casino
Who's "the house" for the stock market? The FED
Sounds like Americans to me
Surprised they don’t do this with their school shooters
I mean, I’m sure there’s insider betting and all, but I don’t think you need inside information to predict the USA will bomb a school in Iran…
edit: gotta capitalize
Who the hell is taking these bets and paying out for this kinda shit? What if I bet my life savings that I'm gonna fart in the next 3 days?
Normally people fart about once an hour.
And an hour from now would be within the next 3 days.
You just need someone to take the other side of a bet. Run a marketing campaign and set up fake websites: You're the world record holder for never having farted in your life, doctors cant figure out how it works.
The Trump goons have been harping about Iran for longer than 3 days.
It was pretty clear about a day before that it was going to happen. If I'd had to bet one way or the other I would've bet on an attack.
It's not sus that people make bets that pay out. You need to compare them to the knowledge at the time and look for patterns.
Patterns like this? https://www.reuters.com/business/polymarket-secures-investment-trump-jr-backed-1789-capital-2025-08-26/
I had no idea Trumps are involved, though I'm not surprised - the chance to profit off of the suffering of others is per the norm.
He also serves as a strategic adviser to rival prediction market Kalshi.
This doesn't sound one bit ethical, again it tracks.
No, that does not seem to have any relevance to bets placed on the thing. What connection do you think is there?
What I mean is, if you can correlate bets with the activities of specific groups, then you have something. If all you have are bets, why the fuck do you assume they're insider bets?
Here's a good way of looking at it: if you didn't know that the US attacked Iran but could analyse the bets taking place, would this group of bets make you confident that the attack would take place? Or would it be lost amidst the noise of people betting each way? Can you find other cases where big bets were placed that didn't pay off?
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