Just confirming what I've suspected: the point of the space datacenter thing is to keep the tools of oppression out of reach of angry mobs with torches and pitchforks.
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An utterly unworkable, absurdly costly idea. I'm sure the same investor-lemmings who buy heavily into IPOs which have no viable business model will fall for this too.
Underwater data centers are also not that feasible, but they are a lot more feasible than putting one in space.
Yep. We already have to deal with waste heat on the ISS, where is the monstrous heat from even a traditional DC to go?
There's only a rack worth of compute on each satellite. There is nothing monstrous to deal with individually. The plans are to put up a very large quantity of these which will sum up to a large amount.
That probably makes training on them less effective, and that would likely remain a land based thing, but for inference, any given person probably doesn't need more than 1 rack of compute to themselves, and if they do, they'd probably be using something land based.
Vacuum does not vent heat.
This has been a PSA.
Vacuum does not vent heat.
my Dyson gets pretty warm.

Still kinda blows my mind that a ship could accelerate to 1c and still not be able to use cooling fins, aircraft on earth use it as part of the design process
No but hot things will just radiate it away, regardless of vacuum.
Yes, but the infrared radiators for a single megawatt are apx the size of 4 tennis courts. Until there's a space elevator, that's a tremendous amount of resources to get into orbit.
Yea, because the only resources in the entire universe are only on our planet. There's absolutely none out there where there's little to no gravity well to fight against right?
Sure, but we're not doing anything to mine or manufacture in space.
And we can't, until we do.
True enough.
I eagerly await OP's space mining operations, which Elon has promised to start doing for a decade but simply hasn't because he just didn't wanna.
Apparently there are a lot of concerns, of which, one is venting heat. Also the change of heat as a satellite dips in and out of sunlight.
I didn't think about radiation, which I should have since it's a not-small problem for human astronauts.
Heavy CMEs are going to be the AI equivalent of Purple Haze LSD.
He will do absolutely anything to not spend money on making the world he lives in a better place for all. So build a data center in space, just add a little apartment for yourself. Imagine looking down on the whole world! What power!
Is there somewhere we can donate to help make sure he fries in a coronal mess ejection lives the dream he's always wanted?
With our current tech, a Mars mission pretty much 100% certain a one-way trip.
Common elon, wheres your "move fast and break stuff" spirit? Lets get you suited up and on a rocket asap!
He's counting on Mars. Which isn't insane. He should go. We're right behind him.
I'm still waiting on how he's going to manage CMEs during spaceflight.
NASA timed its manned high-space missions to low-ebb periods, and there was still some risk of astronauts being baked to a crispy golden brown.
Getting to mars is nine months, rather than a few days to the moon. CMEs be coming.
Wow. He really is as dumb as I thought. As much as I would appreciate him investing the kind of money that would be required to orbit a viable data center into things humanity actually needs, I would also be perfectly happy witnessing him blow hundreds of billions on a fruitless project. Dumb shit doesn’t even understand basic physics and thermodynamics. It just demonstrates how he is an “ideas man” while actual smart people carry him on their shoulders. Wish he would just fuck off to mars already.
Wow. He really is as dumb as I thought.
He's a con artist.
Exactly. Once the data center in space idea inevitably flames out, he'll come up with some new bullshit "vision" that the rubes will lap up just as eagerly.
While he's not smart enough to understand what a tough problem cooling servers in space would be, at least some of the engineers working on it might invent some interesting technology while failing to build a datacenter in space. Which is more than I can say about his other expenses like failing to buy elections, or failing to only have sons.
or failing to only have sons
Soo, he thougt his genes are "stronger" or something like it? This would be another failing to understand how things work.
Yep. Figuring out data centers in space is pretty much a prerequisite for any sort of significant transorbital flight. Unless we want to be limited to dinky little 2-3 person capsules that fit in a garage, efficient cooling in space will be necessary.
Figuring out data centers in space is pretty much a prerequisite for any sort of significant transorbital flight
I don't think that's true. They seem like two separate problems.
AI datacenters use power at such magnitudes that trying to solve the cooling problem for that kind of satellite or ship might not be all that applicable to a ship occupied by living humans.
A data center satellite might be able to run hot to improve cooling characteristics. The Stefan-Boltzmann law makes radiators much more effective at higher temperatures. So maybe the solution there would involve building out chips and server components that can run hot, like above 90°C, with cooling systems designed to operate at those higher temperatures.
Meanwhile, it might be that the human occupied space stations will need to have temperatures that support human life, closer to 18°C. At the same time, why would a human occupied space station need megawatts of power, and the accompanying need to reject megawatts of waste heat?
Well, let's do some quick napkin math-- Background (Google searches) (1) Per capita global energy consumption is 22000kwh/yr, which is ~8kw (2) ISS runs on 75-100kw for a crew of ~7 or so (3) S9G reactor for Virginia class sub generates 210MW for a crew of 134 (4) Average US household comes out to ~1.5kw in electricity alone
So. If we're setting an arbitrary limit of 10MW, that means we are limited to (1) a population of 1000, (3) a population of 7ish, (4) a population of ~6000
I'm going to discount (4) entirely, because that ignores the non-electrical energy consumption which would still have to be done with electricity in space.
Note that every other case also doesn't cover the entire energy cost of living, because the per capita average and the ISS average doesn't include growing food, which is free solar power on earth, and specifically case (1) is significantly buffered by people worldwide that use minimal/no power due to having a planet that handles life support for them. Nuclear sub is probably not a great comparison either, because it's designed to operate in combat conditions and never be refueled. But they are pretty much entirely self-sufficient outside of food.
ISS is probably the best comparison, assuming regular shipments of supplies and no industry. That gives us a rough population of 60-100 per megawatt. I did specify "significant" and "transorbital", meaning we can't assume consistent supply shipments. So let's cut that number in half (random guess), and we have a population of 30-50 per megawatt. Now, there are people that live in villages of 30-50 people, but those villages often rely on infrastructure and industry of larger towns. You can't really just find a field and plant corn in space. Every space habitat is going to need some sort of industry to make it economically viable. That means workers, that means more power. Let's guesstimate that we cut the viable population in half again. 15-25 people per megawatt. Now I think this is a viable assumption given the disparity between household consumption (say half your power is electrical, so life support is 2-3kw) and per capita consumption (which divides total power consumption, industry included, giving another 5-6kw per capita to industry).
Smallest town that had productive industry I've ever lived in had a population of ~10,000, with about 1500 of those people employed in the factory. Given above napkin math at 15-25p/Mw, which is 40-60kw/person, that puts us at 400-600MW of power for a self sufficient habitat/space ship capable of supporting a population of 10k. Given that the small town I just referred to has a total power consumption of 187MW, we get that same factor of roughly 4x we came up with above.
So for a future space station analogous to Rural Bumfuck, East Nowhere (pop. 10,000) were looking at half a gigawatt of juice. That's a lot of thermal energy.
Also, S-B law works in kelvin so going from 18C to 90C is only a 33%(^4) increase. Any reasonable space radiator at that point would likely have a multiple coolant loop system. Heck, I'd expect it to be the reverse of current nuclear design, with heat being dumped into a molten salt loop that goes into the radiators themselves at hundreds if not thousands of degrees.
Primary energy use per capita is a good discussion to have about our footprints on earth, but they include significant inefficiencies that simply wouldn't be present on a spacecraft.
First, on Earth, we consume a lot of energy on transportation. There's not really an analogue in the spaceship side of things, except maybe the spaceship's own propulsion. Even then, though, most propulsion technology wouldn't generate all that heat in the spacecraft itself, so there's no need to cool an equivalent amount of energy used.
Second, we use a lot of energy making our living spaces habitable, with heating and cooling. Using proper reflection and radiation and shielding and all that can help keep a spaceship a comfortable temperature without spending as much energy as would be required to heat or cool a residence on the Earth's surface.
Third, with Earth statistics, we talk of primary energy usage, which includes a lot of wasted energy. Thermal power plants tend to have less than 50% thermal efficiency, and fuel-burning heat engines tend to have less than 30%. That waste heat is part of the global energy consumption stats in a way that wouldn't need to be factored in for a solar panel powered spaceship, because there's not an equivalent source of excess waste heat.
So I think when you look at individual energy usage, you'll see there are literally multiple orders of magnitude difference between different individuals with different lifestyles, even within the same developed economy. A population who never leaves the confines of the ship doesn't have to budget energy for transportation (28% of the world's energy usage), heating and cooling buildings (25% of the world's energy use), or anything like most of the industrial sector.
For things like cooking or heating water, there may need to be major qualitative differences in order to support a living arrangement in a ship (more enclosed cooking appliances like pressure coolers or microwaves, fewer stoves that emit waste heat all around).
And agriculture is of course the big problem. But we wouldn't be able to naively assume that the energy use per food calorie produced would be within an order of magnitude. Photosynthesis is really inefficient. So is the whole growing of an entire plant to focus on the parts of the plant that we eat. There may need to be some form of synthetic food, or partially synthetic food, that creates edible macronutrients without a biological feedstock.
But that's a separate problem. I still don't think that solving habitable spaceship cooling requirements will necessarily overlap with solving space data center cooling requirements.
I think the opposite. But we'll get to that.
First, let's eliminate transportation. Cool. Done. Now, every space station/space ship is entirely self sufficient, in a contained civilization sense. Go back to that company in a small town I referenced (I worked a contract there for a bit): those 1500 people are producing a pretty basic, but very specific doohickey that exists in pretty much every building we've built since the 70s. That production facility represents ~40% of the global market share. Now it is a basic doohickey, so there's only six separate production lines that feed into the final doohickey. And each building has hundreds, if not thousands of similar specific doohickeys. Spaceships would be more complicated, so let's just assume a thousand similar doohickeys, six production lines feeding in, one person per production line and were up at 6000 factory workers. Given the previous ratio of 17:3 of population to workers, our minimum theoretical station population size just expanded to 40,000. Multiply previous estimate for 10k by 4. And that's not considering the feedstocks-one of those production lines was essentially just CNC machines....but they bought barstock iron. That's another production line. Oh, and the iron has to come from somewhere, so we're talking mining operations. New limitation: we can only build on asteroids that have ample supply of every mineral resources we need. Plus, each one of those production lines means more spare parts means more production lines. We lose all economy of scale. Minimum population goes up again.
Second, I've lived in a lot of places on earth, and even the least hospitable ones, like when I was in the northern USSR or down in Mexico, you had 3-4 months out of the year where you could just open the windows and switch off the heat/cooling. You don't get that in space. And we see this with the ISS, too. A power system of ~84-120kw supports a crew of ~7 plus or minus a few. I'm guessing most of that power goes to life support. Compared to the power I draw in my house, that implies that living on a habitable planet offsets roughly 80% of the power expenditure for life support.
Third, that's why I'm comparing primarily household consumption to the ISS. I draw a bit over a kw, and the ISS draws about 10 per person. Thermal losses happen upstream of that. I'm sure the iss solar panels (and solar panels also deal with thermal losses which might now be less than 50%, but last I seriously looked into it were 66% with perovskite cells) are actually exposed to significantly more power than their 240kw max output.
And yes, there are orders of magnitude in difference between the poorest and the richest on earth. This is why I think the 8kw number per capita is actually a low estimate. The difference being that building a dirt house in a prairie is more than adequate life support on earth. Can't really build a space shack out of sod and expect to do much living in it. I addressed the need for transportation earlier. Matter of fact, one of the theories for why neanderthals died out while modern humans survived is because we did trade and they didn't figure out transportation.
Cooking, water cycling, etc is already figured in. The ISS does cooking and water heating perfectly fine. Agriculture also wouldn't be that big of a problem, actually. You just need to build a greenhouse and add a cooling system to account for the increased heat gain of having a greenhouse on your ship. I guess you'll want some backup grow lights for going past the asteroid belt.
My point is that cooling requirements are cooling requirements. Whether you're cooling down GPUs or you're cooling down people, the only question is one of scale. How many GPUs do you need to cool, and how many people do you need to cool? Right now, we can cool off half a dozen, maybe a dozen people on a ship. Having that be the upper limit for space populations means we aren't going to space in any significant way, indefinitely. If we want to have even small space stations of a few thousand people, we will need to solve a cooling problem comparable in magnitude to a data center in space.
Personally, I'm okay with Google or whatever spending their R&D budget on it. Government grants have been gutted enough, let Google burn cash on it and then put the cheap Chinese knockoff on your future spaceship.
Nature is efficient, and he is only as smart as someone with effectively infinite means needs to be.
Wow. He really is as dumb as I thought.
no, his shareholders are dumb.
I want Elon Musk in space, aimlessly drifting around.
I would chip in $25 to send him to space, unless it was a two-way ticket.
Hilarious prank though. Send him into space, and then "accidentally" forget some of the heatshield.
Keeping one rack of GPU running needs basically all the uninhabited parts of the international space station. That's roughly 100 kilowatt. That's 10.000 ISS sized installations, man's most expensive object ever made, for a gigawatt datacenter. I just hope he's forced to bankroll this personally
It's stupid on so many levels... yeah first and foremost basically everything about space is terrible for data centers.
What are the 3 things a data center needs.
Power, cooling, good internet connection. Obviously power is complicated as heck, yeah solar is a bit more direct, but also hits total blackouts when it winds up in the shadow of things... and shielding etc... from all the radiation is a pain and a half, solar pannels will need to be drastically bigger and heavier than their earth counterparts, which is expensive as hell to send up there.
but the harder part... cooling. People think of space as cold, but that's innacurate... there's no air to be cold... things stay at the temperature they are... if you have something constantly pumping out heat... it's insanely difficult to get the heat to radiate out.
Just read a comment about exactly this a few days ago. Anyone working on space components know that a very hat problem to work on is how to keep things cool because, well - having the fucking sun shine on things most of the time directly without the ozone layer and air to dissipate heat in and way does make things go hot.
Also, you forgot a very important thing a data center needs: people that work there. That is one of the reasons we currently build data centers so close to urban sprawls in Arizona instead of somewhere in the middle of Alaska or in polar regions. There must be personnel working onsite all the time.
Also it will need repairs. And probably more often than not due to the radiation.
It's funny to me because the moon would be a much better choice, if latency wasn't an issue. Don't get me wrong, if your aim is uptime, reliability and ease of upgrades/use then terrestrial based is your only option.
But if your goal was off Earth, the moon has a number of advantages that free floating in orbit lacks. You can place the servers themselves underground in lavatubes or excavated caverns as well as install heat-sinks (or even seal a cavern, pressurize it and use what ever gaseous medium for extra heat capacity and thermal transfer) then place a series of solar on the surface with battery support (remembering that lunar nights are 2 weeks long) to generate all your power needs, as well as take advantage of the moon's tidally locked nature to have your transmission and receivers always pointed at the Earth, or relay satellites in orbit.
Such a project could coincide with NASA or other agencies or enterprises looking to establish settlements on the moon for research or mining purposes, so you could have short or long term settlements with technicians on hand to troubleshoot any problems that arise or even get semi regular (every 18-24 months) deliveries of components for repairs and upgrades for your system, something that long term would be a lot simpler logistically and more stable than attempting a satellite or constellation of satellites any Earth orbit.
The plan is nonsensical for a number of reasons, namely the cost and long term dedication, but it makes a hell of a lot more sense than trying to put an energy intensive project in orbit and hope the lowest bidder parts last more than 6 months.
I'm not sure the moon makes a lot of sense.
I mean, the two weeks of darkness is the real killer.
I mean look, let's say our datacenter requires 100 kw of power. That means about an 800 square m solar array. If you need to store enough power to run the system through a two week night, you'll need a lot of batteries and a much larger array. You'll only be collecting power half the time, so the array needs to be twice as large. But there are about 30% losses in transferring energy to the battery, drain over time, and then transferring back, so some quick math says you now need somewhere around 230kw, for a 1800 square m solar array.
Currently, an array large enough to generate 100kw weighs between 1-2 tons. If we're optimistic and say 1 ton, that's 2.25 tons for our equivalent moon array
Now the batteries. The capacity needs to be enough to store 130kw over the course of two weeks. 130kw x 24hours x 14days = 43,680 kw hours of storage. Lithium ion batteries weigh about 5kg per kwh of storage. 43,680 kwh of storage would weigh 218 tons. And that's just the base weight of the batteries, I didn't factor in whatever structures or systems the batteries would need to be usable in space.
Here's where I point out that it costs about $5 mil per ton sent to orbit. It costs somewhere between $100 mil and $1 bil to send 1 ton to the moon. Personally, I think it's a lot easier to send 1 ton to low earth orbit, than to send 220 tons all the way to the moon. I think the only way to make data centers on the moon make sense, would be if you're already living and working on the moon in a functioning settlement.
As crazy as orbital data centers are, if your counting in dollars, lunar data centers are literally 10,000 times crazier.
Oh man so much to unpack here.
First things first, you aren't shielding solar panels from radiation, you're shielding the computing components from the radiations. I don't know how much you know about microprocessors and silicon engineering, but I can promise you they do NOT like ionizing radiation or most other high energy sources of EM radiation, especially while energized. In space, this is a lot of heavy plating that is effectively dead weight and at best can be used as a secondary heat sink, but that's highly unlikely since it would also be absorbing heat energy while in sunlight.
Additionally, as I pointed out, you'd want to or at least be highly encouraged to pair these lunar data centers with long term colonies, at least as long term as you'd want the data center active. Any unmanned data center is going to fail within 6 months, be it in space, on the moon or some remote valley here on Earth. And while it's not cheap to sustain life on the moon, it's even less cheap to do so in orbit when you examine the effects of micro gravity on the human body as well as what it would cost to build a suitable shelter in orbit. There is a reason scientists talk about building long term colonization projects on the moon or Mars, not just putting up orbital space habitats like some gundam series. Earth Orbit may be closer but it's probably the least hospitable long term to any form of human habitation.
Heh, it's just funny to me that you would call the idea of orbital datacenters nonsensical compared to lunar datacenters. I mean, like I laid out earlier, orbital datacenters may well be a bad idea, but at the moment (in 2026) lunar datacenters are technically and logistically impossible and economically ludicrous. The launch costs alone make the project a non-starter.
And all for what? What are the advantages of putting this hardware on the moon? Possibly using lunar regolith as a heat sink? We don't need heat sinks, radiators work fine. Possibly avoiding ionizing radiation by building underground? That's just so much more work... Shipping in excavating equipment... Just no.
And there really isn't all that much ionizing radiation in low earth orbit, you still have the earth's magnetic field protecting you and the earth itself blocking all particles from one side. You get exposed to a little bit more than you do on the surface because you don't have the atmosphere's protection as well. But if nothing else, the existence of telacom satellite constellations proves that we've figured out how to overcome those obstacles, and many of those satellites aren't even in LEO some are all the way out in geostationary orbit without any of those protections, and they're still working fine. The ionizing radiation just isn't a big deal.
Again, I'm not saying orbital datacenters are a good idea, but I am saying it's doable today, right now, at a relatively affordable price. If to be realistic a lunar datacenter requires the kind of moon colony that won't exist for another 50-100 years at the very soonest, that seems like a worse plan.
People forget that black body radiation is to the 4th power of the temperature difference. I assure you if your server cluster is at 1000 Kelvin cooling will be the least of your worries
Well, you're thinking about the right things for sure! Power, cooling, Internet connection, all super important.
But as it turns out, terrestrial solar panels are actually heavier than space solar panels, like a lot heavier. Shielding against radiation is actually less of a challenge than shielding against weather and acorns. The ISS updated it's solar array a while back and its new ones were deployed by rolling them out, they were a thin enough film to actually roll up for launch and then roll out once attached to the ISS.
Also, these solar panels won't have blackouts. With a sun synchronous orbit, these panels simply won't be in shadow basically ever. The one exception would be during solar eclipses.
As for cooling, you do probably need radiators with active cooling systems. Generally you need radiator panels at a ratio of about 1/5 of the area of your solar panels, but this can vary with different designs. But that's a linear relationship, cooling doesn't become unfeasible at some point it just remains a design concern. The more power you generate, the more radiators you need. It's just part of the cost of power and it scales linearly with the area of your solar array.
Sun synchronous orbits, for those who aren't aware, essentially mean that you would see these giant fucking satellites glinting in the sky literally every single dawn and dusk. They'd ruin sunset and sunrise for all of humanity in order to make more money for the dragons sitting on their hoards of gold.
you would see these giant fucking satellites glinting in the sky literally every single dawn and dusk.
Well, I mean only if you're looking straight up at dawn and dusk. It won't be like a ring just over the horizon, it would be more like a ring that touches the horizon on one side, perpendicular to the horizon, stretches across the top of the sky, and then touches the horizon on the other side.
If you're watching the sunrise, there would still be too much light to see satellites, you'd really only be able to see them after dark, assuming you don't live in/near a city (in which case you just can't ever see satellites).
You know he'll take it out of our retirement like he has been doing
Please, waste your money on something that needs several football fields big heat radiators per gigawatt. And cannot replace a hard drive without launching a technician into space.
A data center in international waters is immensely more practical in most regards, if legal jurisdiction is your complaint.
Great idea. And for each data center ship you can have a desalination ship for the cooling water. And both will burn bunker fuel, of course.
Would the water need to be desalinated if it’s only going to be cooling the equipment?
If you want the cooling system to survive, yes.
Ocean water is atrociously corrosive, prone to clogging tubes and short circuits much more easily than distilled water.
Exactly. You could of course construct a ship with a closed inner cooling cycle that then dumps the heat to the outside ocean through cooling fins or the like. But that would require developing new technology and building new ships. That would take time and cost money. We can't possibly do that because line must go up now!
This isn't a new idea. This is a problem that every nuclear sub deals with. From what I can gather, fresh water runs inside the reactor in two separate zones, and after powering the steam turbine goes into the condenser which is cooled by seawater.
However it works, this problem has been solved for decades.
I'm not saying it's impossible or even difficult. But the fact is that currently no ships exist that implement this on the necessary scale. You don't just build a completely new type of ship in an afternoon.
developing new technology
This isn't as hard as you want to believe, nor would it require a brand new ship. If you want to do coastal designs, there are already some in place. If you want data sovereignty, the only real benefit of space data centers, a small cargo vessel with container data centers and one or more onboard generators could do this. Fueling it would be a challenge, but no more than all the issues with a space data center. As for time constraints, this would still be faster to deploy than any space-based solution.
None of this makes it a good idea, just not particularly novel, difficult, or time-consuming.
How are you going to cool these containers? That's the whole point of this post.
The design for coastal barges would work as well in deeper ocean, and the containers already have cooling systems in place. As I said, the only legitimate reason for deep ocean or space data centers is data sovereignty. The rest is just excuses or harder than the existing options. Which is why no one else is doing it and the reason Elon would.
The point of placing a container data center cooled with sea water at the shore is that, they are still readily available for maintenance. In the deep ocean, maintenance becomes a headache. Either someone lives there and does the maintenance. Or you fly people there regularly to do the maintenance. Like how they do it with ocean platform oil rigs. Cooling with seawater requires more maintenance, descaling, valve replacements, animal growth removal, divers, helicopters, camera drones, etc. Oil rigs can justify the cost with the extremely high profit margins that oil generates. I don't think data centers can justify such a expense. Specially now the bubble is starting to deflate and trillions of dollars have already been drained.
Well, you can reduce maintenance issues with the cooling system by using radiators and minimizing the amount of parts and eliminating the amount of moving parts altogether that have to be in direct contact with seawater. As I said above, I think the only benefit doing this has over the many others ways we can design data centers is data sovereignty, which isn't a good reason imo. My whole point in this thread was that there was no new technology or major development to make this happen.
Cool. You must have discovered a new cooling technology that is completely self contained. Go collect your Nobel prize.
Exactly. Cooling a maritime vessel is easy, because the ocean is a giant heatsink. The heat capacity of water is so far above almost any other common material, and water is plentiful in the ocean.
Put the fresh water in a closed loop and let salt water carry the heat away from some kind of heat exchanger.
Not new technology, this is how the water heater on my boat works. Closed loop cycle that dumps engine heat into the hot water tank. There's also a secondary inline heater I can turn on for when I'm entirely on sails.
If you want the cooling system to survive, yes.
That's a mighty big "if".
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