Surpass as in number of users, no. Outlive, I sure hope so.
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It is underrated, and I'd love to see more people knowing about alternatives to big tech companies and services, I also hope it never happens. Reddit is full of annoying, rude trolls and dipshits. I am glad Lemmy has a pretty polite userbase.
I don't think the feddiverse will ever be mainstream, it is too confusing for most people.
Even I, an IT guy who has been here for about three years, am having a hard time understanding how the instances interact.
niche
Dead? Because Lemmy is dead. The only life here is bots reposting from Reddit. And I am talking about big themes like politics. Anything more "niche" isn't even dead, it is completely non-existing.
They hated the truth. It's not dead if you like Linux and star wars. If you have any other interests, there's a dead community for that!
i think you subscribe to the wrong comms. i hardly see any reddit reposts.
Reddit has much more activity and content, yes, but recently it feels more dead to me, not what it used to be. Now it feels like a very bland mix of the same posts again and again. Especially the main feed. The algorithms, bots and moderation policy made it into somethin much less appealing than it used to be. On Lemmy there is much less content but I find it interesting more often.
No, because the average person is either unaware of it, or doesn't care about the reasons for using it.
Also with Reddit, it's a simple central place to go. No need to find a specific lemmy instance with which to register first.
Doesn't have to. What would we accomplish by getting bigger than that dump, anyway?
I don't think it will surpass Reddit but also it doesn't really even have to.
Sadly no, unless getting into it gets much much easier. If you show fediverse to a Normie and tell them to choose an instance they'll probably just give up. Too many choices. Same with Linux distros. Im quite computer savy and took me a while to figure it out, not that its hard but its just something different from the other stuff. But over all I love it here, its simpler. I just wish there wouldnt be so much politics and just memes. Idk how to block it all cuz there's still political memes in shitposts so I just assume its part of it and can't fully get rid of it. But thats everywhere I guess.
No. Roughly same reason Linux has not surpassed windows on desktop.
Yet here I am. I use Arch btw.
No, I think it is more probable that reddit will fall below thanks to enshittification.
Reddit is riddled with chatbots, and so are all other social media platforms. What's needed right now is a few new sites without any chatbots at all. Hopefully, real soon, some people will create some that will be entirely chatbot free 🙏✅✨
I don't see what is stopping the bots invading Lemmy too.
Leaving this community because the constant Reddit talk is so draining. Who fucking cares?
Not unless reddit makes some major mistake in design/style/process like digg did.
It's inevitable that reddit will die or become some bot only limbo. Users gotta go somewhere. Subtract the ones that have had enough and leave social media altogether and sprinkle the remainder across 10 or so minor sites. That's what will happen. For one of those sites to become the next reddit - some site is going to have to make a big noise and attract a lot of attention. Could it be Lemmy? Maybe.
Maybe, but only in the sense that reddit collapses in on itself in a decade from mass enshitification and is replaced by the next big capital backed platform.
Unless there is a shift in the world away from corporatism, which would be fundamentally an embracement of a new socio-economic paradigm, open-source will remain at the fringes. At the moment the attention of the masses is fully captured and the corridors of information are under increasing control.
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