We've known this was a potential issue since the 60's. The 1860's.
As of the 90's, scientists were saying that increased CO2 presence in the atmosphere could lead to global warming. The 1890's.
We've known this was a potential issue since the 60's. The 1860's.
As of the 90's, scientists were saying that increased CO2 presence in the atmosphere could lead to global warming. The 1890's.
I still think about Bernie Sanders’ debate with Hillary where they were asked the top threat to America. His response wasn’t terrorism or drugs or crime. It was Global Warming.
He pointed out that global warming was causing a lot of worldwide problems related to resource scarcity. I found it interesting and wonder how much worse it has gotten since 2016.
Yeah... Gets pretty old pretty quick hearing my older relatives scepticism around climate change while our seasons get visibly more extreme year over year.
Heatwaves of >30C were literally unheard in my area when I was younger, yet now they occur multiple times in a single summer.
And same with the cold snaps in the winter. It was rare when I was younger, and now it also happens multiple times a winter.
Its like people see all this and yet still can't put two and two together that maybe this is the climate change scientists have been crazily screaming into the apathetic void about for the last half a century.
And worse still, some will say "its natural for the climate to change over time". Which is true... OVER CENTURIES of geological time!! These extreme climate changes over the matter of a couple of decades are not the same as the natural shifts in climate over time!
My well-educated dad used to deny climate change as late as maybe 10 years ago. Recently he always goes real quiet whenever the topic comes up, and doesn't raise it himself anymore. I wish it would feel good as a late win.
A relative of mine lives in the north. He was so excited for winter, he was gonna finally compete in a dog sled race (well, assist another competitor, which he knew was a gateway for him). He had this whole roadtrip planned to Idaho for it and based his entire winter around making it happen.
Now, if you don't follow the weather in Idaho (I know I didn't), you might not know they canceled several dog sled races this year due to lack of snow. All across the country apparently a bunch got cancelled.
Guy is still repping his Maga pride, even after pointing out Trump's coal fetish is directly responsible for his winter being ruined, it doesn't click.
A 30C heatwave happened once per century before the year 2000. There was one in 1976 and they talked about that one for decades. Then after 2000 it became normal and now we just had one in spring.
Of course many folks jump up you just have to adapt to the changing weather. Yes, we're adapting. Events get canceled because of heat or thunder storms. Schools and public instances are holding out their hands for more tax money for cooling. Turns out, that was not the adapting they had in mind.
In the 80s while growing up, 30°C in Vienna, Austria was a real heatwave.
We've hit 40°C before summer even officially started this year.
If I hear a boomer tell me about how now they're taking this all seriously, and scared?
I'm going to laugh in their face and tell them the truth, which is that they are in fact probably going to die horribly.
Oh and also, its their fault, personally.
... ideally, all while eating an avocado, whole.
It is what it is.
Scientists and experts have tried for 50+ years to warn about it but now it is what it is.
The Greenhouse Gas Effect should have been enough. Altering the reflective properties of the atmosphere and increasing the energy budget of the planet surely must be a terrible idea.
But do we know that it is a terrible idea?
They looked back in time to show that historically more CO2 means increased temperature and changes in the climate system that we may not want.
They looked forward in time to simulate how our emissions will lead to a hotter climate and how it might change in ways we might not want.
They even took all these models that admittedly vary and depend on initial conditions and assumptions and they combined them all so that we aren't sensitive to only one kind of model and method.
Still, people think we cannot know such things.
It is what it is. But one thing I do know for sure is that we have lost the excuse to go back and question things. We can't say "If only we were warned". "If someone really knew, why didn't they say anything?" "Why weren't they more persuasive?" This has been screeched about for most of our lives. Every single person on the planet knows about it. Any skepticism and doubt has been explicitly against the advice of those who know. We chose not to listen.
It is what it is, but I will spend what little money I have and what little democratic say I have to move us into a world with less emmisions. It may be too late, but I'd like to be able to sleep at night.
I have no hope, that the system will change in time for us or those who come after us; humans and other walks of life. But I still do things and make choices, that mitigate my impact on the planet. Not because I think I can steer us away from this path, but because it is the right thing to do. I am morally obligated to do it even if the result does not change and I take a weak solace in that fact. And of course it always matters whether we hit 3, 4, 5 or 8 degrees above pre-industrial mean to other evolutions of life.
So fucking selfish man....
Do you people not even consider that billionaires got to buy another yacht? Or another island? You dirty communists just want to stop these billionaires from owning a 65th yacht just so you can what? Not sweat to death? .... fucking selfish people...
I think this kind of replay only works in favor of turning off any productive conversations
While I understand the importance of having productive conversations I was just making a dumb joke hoping to make someone laugh at a shitty situation. I wasn't really looking to have a conversation about whether we should keep kicking the can down the road.
Good comedy is used to make humour out of real-world problems. That's what a comedian should be doing.
Illustrating the problem in such a way causes laughter and joy, but it also plants a seed of thoughts into a person's mind.
The phrase, "it's funny because it's true", yeah, say an auditorium of 1,000+ thought that, a good portion of those people are now going to be thinking about that point for a very long time.
It’s not this guy’s responsibility to foster productive conversations around Global Warming.
A friend of mine went to Ireland one summer about 20ish years ago. Never once did it get above 20 degrees and it rained most days. Someone I know in Mexico grew up in a town where the architecture is designed around rain. The buildings downtown all have roofs overhanging the sidewalks because it used to rain most days, so they designed things to shelter pedestrians. The place also had an airport, but it was unusable most of the time because it was too foggy / rainy. These days it only rains occasionally and can be mid-30s for several months of the year.
There are a lot of places where people used to need heating in the winter, but the summers were brief but pleasant. Now, in a lot of places the winters are still brutal, but now summer days get so hot that air conditioning is also a necessity.
But, what worries me most is farming. Farmers need predictable seasons. If they know the summer will be warmer and dryer they can sometimes switch to different crops. That doesn't work if there's unpredictable weeks-long rain when it's time to harvest.
Humanity is resilient, and humans will survive. But, being a living human in 2226 might be awful. Enjoying the outdoors might just not be something people can't do anymore. All the natural ecosystems of the world might have collapsed, and people just eat nacho-flavoured protein paste and dream about what it was like to eat a raspberry.
In a very real sense I'd say this sort of thing belongs in Leopards Ate My Face.
There are a lot of these people who are all of a sudden "Oh, this was not just doomsaying on the part of some radical scientists, this is a real thing." Now that they're actually experiencing the consequences of the last 40 years of complete and total inaction, they are expressing their regret. And, I'm sorry but you all voted for this. You all actively decided to ignore the problem because it was not affecting you at the time. And you didn't really think it would ever actually affect you. And now that it is, you're sad about it. And a lot of these people were even mocking people like Greta Thunberg for her anger at the complete indifference to the global climate crisis we were headed towards. And, to that and them, I say fuck you! We all tried to warn you and you simply ignored us. And now we are all in the same sinking boat together. And for my money, you deserve any and all hardships that you experience due to this climate crisis.
Gore won his election and the supreme court took it away from us. You can't blame the voters completely, at least in the USA.
Agree, welcome to the fucking conversation pal, too bad you had to be bitch slapped across the face before you realized it was heading right for you all this time.
I personally have been prepping, bought property in areas that will fare better, hopefully, trying to be more independent with food and focusing on community. Looking into solar to get off grid. And the biggest, not having kids because I didn't want to doom anyone to this purposefully. The signs were all there, some of us paid attention.
But also I would be overjoyed to see people go this far in their understanding of the issue. Covid really made me lose faith in the ability of people to understand and accept the reality around them.
Voting will never fix this. Americans elected the green climate change president in 2000. The establishment ruled the oil-cia failson got the job.
And a lot of these people were even mocking people like Greta Thunberg for her anger at the complete indifference to the global climate crisis we were headed towards
These are the types of people who will never admit that this was wrong. Even if they eventually admit that climate change is real, they will never apologize for that behavior.
One of the frustrating things is people acting like they were engaging this discussion in good faith decades ago. They've gotten away with being extraordinarily selfish for most of their lives, and now turn around and go oops.
This had already been explained to them and they refused to listen when the whole world depended on it.
Is this guy better than someone still denying it now? Sure, whatever. We're still allowed to be mad at them for the damage they've done, like a vandal who suddenly stops and apologizes.
Good news! Once the Atlantic current collapse occurs the UK will be cold as hell, too!
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It clicks anew for people every single day, my brothers and sisters
Still not gonna do anything about it.
Obviously. Global warming is already uncomfortable, let's not add to that.
Your nihilism is tedious, even though it may be fashionable
You're more nihilistic than me, you just lie to yourself about it. The systems you live under, that keep you from touching pure reality at any point, are all incompatible with fixing the problem. Nothing but a revolution allows the possibility of human survival, and as fucked as we are right now, the odds are still long. I'm doing the work. I'm doing the work basically alone and unsupported.
While you cheerlead fucking paper straws or whatever and call me out for not being cheery. I'd tell you to kill yourself, but looking at the numbers; you're well on your way already. Perhaps already over the edge, and just waiting to hit the metaphorical ground.
Now, ask yourself if I give a single solitary fuck what some edgelord on the internet thinks
i miss snow
Just said this to my elderly neighbour this evening. Even my eldest kids have seen fuck all snow in their lifetime. We once woke my daughter in the middle of the night for snow is how rare it's gotten here.
I remember walking around in 30cm / a foot of snow as a kid.
For me personally the tipping point was when research showed large amounts of methane escaping the thawing ice. We really can't reverse something on that level, we're on damage control and assholes are still refusing to control for damage.
Outdoors is a lost cause, time to start digging tunnels.
Well, I maybe have good news for this person... AMOC collapse is an anticipated effect of global warming and it would paradoxically make it much, much colder in Ireland. As in "Ice Age" colder.
That’s the trillion-Euro question, and the answer so far is “between 15 years and never,” but some researchers have said they are seeing early signs of the current weakening. It’s a controversial topic in climate research, but it’s one of lose “low probability, high impact” events that can’t be safely ignored.
The problem with climate change models:
Climate science is science. It works on what's tested confirmed and very known. It is a method for being very sure and understanding pretty deeply before you speak confidently, and revising that confidence when necessary.
What's going on is unprecedented total destructing of an unfathomably complicated planetary scale systems from physics its difficult to model. We barely predict accurate weather a week out with computers, and that was before we scrapped all the sensors (defunded NOAA) and tasked all the super computers to making bespoke CSAM.
So there's a lot of things we don't think to include in the model, a lot of interactions we didn't even know were happening or how they would fuck up, and a lot of runaway feedback loops we didn't gave data to model. And a scientist with integrity can only add what they know is there. They can't add an allowance for 'shit we didn't think of, and we never think of everything' even though they reliably do not think of everything, because we're constantly surprised by things we couldn't model or didn't think of previously. The amount of co2 released when permafrost thaws was not included in older models, and if it had been we couldn't have known how much there would be before it started.
So the models, even the pessimistic models, will never be as grim as reality. They can't be. They're based on what we already know for sure, and 'we are looking at a flock of black swans' is not something one can model with scientific integrity. The disaster is moving too fast, with over a century's momentum.
This is an immediate existential threat, and if you do not exercise all violence your conscience permits against the people most responsible concluding every billionaire, extraction exec, congressman, right wing politician (jimbob down the street who rolls coal and works on an oil rig doesn't move the needle. Fuck him, but he won't move the needle. dont take his murder from the kids he's raping) you're not trying to survive.
Jfc,all those acronyms,i though csam was some kind of weather related phenomenon...
Take a scientist's estimate and watch as a select few in power with no self-preservation instinct divide that number in half.
It does not conclude it would make it much, much colder. It concludes the collapse would reduce the addition of heat from AMOC to the area but does not seem to include heat addition from anything else, like global warming itself. AMOC collapse may just offset heating from elsewhere. It is not confidently known what will happen. But we'll likely get to find out first hand.
That's pretty pedantic. If AMOC stops supplying heat, of course Western Europe will get colder. We don't know exactly by how much or what other effects are in play by then, but it stands to reason Western Europe will get much colder than if they still had AMOC
Would the area AMOC pumps heats from also get hotter? Given their hot water won't be pulled to a colder location, get cooled and come back down.
I assume it's a double whammy
It doesn't stand to reason, the climate is too complex to make such assumptions. The only thing you know is AMOC won't add heat, but that will change all kind of climate conditions as temperature impact climate significantly, so it isn't confidently known what exactly will happen, overall.
South Park mirrors this. Since its a show which acts as social commentary and pokes fun at current events, they did Al Gore dirty and made fun of him for supposedly believing in imaginary climate change (man bear pig). 10 years later, they made episodes saying he was right.
FWIW Al gore was particularly full of shit. Totally motivated by his own profits. He basically freaked people out and then offered them a way to keep doing what they were doing and just pay him to absolve them of guilt. Essentially the pope of climate change.
Carbon offsets are a scam and humanity is the victim.
The solution was never going to involve "keep doing what you're doing".
Many people got the message, however wrong, that it was nothing to worry about for 100 years, and read things like "2.1C" and figured that wasn't very much.
Of course, our public education system being dismantled by the billionaires hasn't helped at all. At least, it hasn't helped we the poors, they're getting exactly what they wanted.
How to win over the masses, though? Most people know about climate change, they'll say it's terrible and something should be done, but aren't ready to make any personal sacrifices to do something about it. How do we get them to give up eating meat or taking planes
By changing our economic system so that external costs are internalized.
Yeah. I hate that people think this can be fixed with a few idividual changes. We will need to change our entire way of thinking or nature will make us change.
I didn't mean a few individual changes. A few vegetarians traveling by bicycle aren't going to make a difference. But you can't only change economic incentives without changing consumption patterns. We will also need to move to plant based diets, reduce tourism, save water, etcetera.
That's where I see most resistance now. It's not people who don't believe in climate change, but people who acknowledge the problem until they have to sacrifice some luxury they enjoy. Then it's always somebody else who has to change first
Not sure travel is as much as a bogeyman as people wants to make it, but we need more efficient travel (hello trains). Most people travel far once or twice a year, it's not the bread and butter of consumption and has a legitimate positive on peoples mental
While changing to vegetarian diets has no mental related negatives, vegan diets would need a bit of large scale community wide education first - As most people don't know you can get more protein from nuts than just about any other nutrient on this planet, but damn do they know you can eat cheeses and eggs for the same.
Honestly the solution for changing peoples diets is however quite easy, let people pay their full costs. Abolish agricultural financial support for non essentials (all animal products) and let's see if people wants meat or the yearly travel
Water is an industrial problem, but focusing on animal related products and fast fashion would get us far
The moment you mention anything that could help you get people suddenly pretending that they give a shit about the poor.
Here is a random idea though. x10 energy fees with the first 6000kWh of electricity free (or very cheap) per year. No reductions for gas and oil. The poor were already not using much energy, if you actually care about them, this will actually reduce their energy bills.
Its hardly a new model either, phone data works the same kind of way, just monthly rather than annually.
What personal sacrifices are you making?
I stopped eating meat or flying planes completely. I have accepted that not flying limits my career opportunities. In my home, I electrified heating and cooking. I am saving for an EV but my current car is still doing fine. I hardly use my car, do my daily commute by bike. I go to protests against aviation, against fossil fuels and for the climate. I donate to climate causes. I teach my kids to consider the environment and climate in almost everything we do. I probably forget a lot of other small things, I am extremely climate conscious.
But this is just me. It's like voting. No individual is going to make any difference here. If loads of people do the same, maybe. The real resistance is about taxes, consumption, meat eating, flying. People must be forced to do more or it will only be more expensive later
Do you have a smartphone? Do you use social media, cloud services, streaming services, A.I. services?
What the fuck
I am willing to give all of that up, but you're literally that "yet you participate in society" meme. This isn't about me
What are you getting at?
I'm just saying, I know a hypocrite when I see one.
You're on lemmy right now, do you need a mirror or is your head already so far up your own ass you can see the hypocrite from the inside?
What an ass argument.
"Helping a starving orphan is pointles, because you are not helping every starving orphan"
You, as many others, are missing the point. It's so easy to point fingers at everyone else and think that you are saving the environment by cutting down on meat and fossil fuels, while forgetting the invisible sinners. Most people don't give their digital life a second thought because the environmental impact isn't always obvious.
And all of you biting my head of for stating this is just hilarious.
You're just wrong. First of all, I am making a lot of personal sacrifices. You can't lob the hypocrite accusation at me, it's laughable.
But more importantly, this isn't about individual choices but overcoming resistance to collective action. We should all move to a plant based diet, we should all stop flying for vacation, we should all pay way more taxes to reduce climate damage, but people aren't ready to accept that yet. They'll say climate change is bad and should be stopped, but the minute a politician proposes anything meaningful, they'll be out of a job.
And when you point out it's going to be costly and people aren't ready for that yet, some douchebag on the internet calls you a hypocrite
people wernt alarmed when most countries abandoned thier climate goals/initiatives like years ago.
I remember a staff training session, the trainer said "some people see the problem coming" and pointed off in the distance. Then she held her fist to her forehead and said "some people, 'guys we have a problem'."
Some people have complete inability to entertain the hypothetical. Ted Talk https://youtu.be/9vpqilhW9uI
Yeah, I have no sympathy. If you can't handle me flaming you for being a sleepwalking dipshit then you haven't fucking learned anything, you're just jumping on the zeitgeist because you're a fucking parrot.
I've had nightmares about climate change since I was about 10 years old. I'm 32 now. I have been watching everyone around me sleepwalk into this as if nothing matters, now I'm expected to feel bad for this fucking monkey because they've suddenly woken up?
No, fuck that and fuck them — this type of person is the reason fascism is winning around the world.
"It's not real until I notice it" is, unfortunately, a feature of human psychology. The good news is that the evidence is undeniable now and more and more people are waking up to the fact that our way of living is unsustainable. There's still hope we can rise up and rein this in before complete collapse.
This might actually be part of our ability to think abstractly. Apparently prior generations (circa 1900) had a more difficult time with abstract ideas. I wonder if this apparent selfishness is more of a lack of capability
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