Feeling strongly about whether this is an L or a W is insane, on top of the inherent problem of being that black and white simplistic.

First of all, you are basing your knowledge off of random news articles you read. Assuming the PM is competent, they will be making decisions based on intelligence reports that both include everything you know, and a whole crapload of stuff you don't.

He's literally playing a game of Diplomacy, against a mad man backed by demons. Give him some space to cook.