[–] 2 points 5 hours ago

Even ignoring the past event thing, the chance is very high, because the events are naturally correlated. Everybody felt the same raised fuel prices.

Now if it was the chance of uncorrelated events, the chance would be essentially zero.

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  • [–] 6 points 1 day ago

    Don't know about this specific case. But IIRC it is quite normal to have a deadline last chance to withdraw, related to when the ballots are printed. So he likely informally withdrew, but not officially as far as the rules are concerned.

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  • [–] 4 points 1 day ago

    Self awareness is not his strong suit.

    That assumes that Trump was unaware of the hypocrisy, and would have cared if he had realized. That is a false assumption - Trump is a psychopath, literally doesn't feel bad about breaking moral norms.

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  • [–] 5 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

    It is not like Trump has actual policy positions. Second only to immigration, a main election promise of Trump was "no foreign adventures" - and then went into a war of choice with Iran. A lot of his platform is literally owning the libs - which is mainly done through deliberate hypocrisy.

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  • [–] 4 points 2 days ago* (1 child)

    I especially loathe the formulation

    has long faced criticism from wings of his party

    As if it is he-said-she-said, whether Fetterman has been a total dick. And then the next moment the press will print Trump's most outrageous and blatant lies with exactly the same "some disagree" type of formulation.

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  • [–] 12 points 2 days ago* (2 children)

    2/3 majority in the Senate.

    Democrats are never going to convince enough Republicans to defect, to reach 67 votes in the Senate. So Fetterman indeed doesn't matter.

    People aren’t going to accept “we tried” again.

    I can already see people like coming with criticism like "why didn't the Democrats win that vote that requires 2/3rds majority? Surely because the Democrats don't truly care. Both sides are the same."

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  • [–] 8 points 2 days ago

    ...but it was true? Democrats did not have filibuster proof majority, except for a few months or something like that. And that only by the slimmest possible margins, with Joe Lieberman acting as spoiler sabotaging Obamacare.

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  • [–] 1 point 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

    There is no final victory, just like there is no final defeat.

    Yes and no. Democracy require never end vigilance, obviously. But specific dangerous political movements do actually often die. In Europe, political parties die and new are born all the time. The US is an anomality, with the current static 2 party system.

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  •  

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