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[–] 80 points 3 days ago (8 children)

Just remember when reading this image: "shift to democrat" doesn't mean that county was won by democrats. It could also be a shift from 19% democratic in 2024 to 22% in 2026

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  • [–] 59 points 3 days ago (7 children)

    Most importantly, Democrats didn't "win"! Trump just sabotaged the GOP. What are the chances EVERY Democrat ran a flawless campaign and pulled this off in unison.

    I pray next that Democrats seize this once in a lifetime opportunity. Americans cried out "make the last 2 years impossible again!" That is the mandate, not business as usual.

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  • [–] [S] 18 points 2 days ago (4 children)

    Democrats didn’t “win”! Trump just sabotaged the GOP.

    Democrats have been building momentum in the state since the disaster of 2014. Dem turnout has climbed from the 1.4M low water mark that year. An enormous part of that was driven by the Beto engagement strategies and permanent campaign apparatus begun in 2018.

    By comparison, NY Dems turnout out 3.4M voters in '26. California turned out 5.1M. Texas Dems turned out 5.4M.

    Compare Texas to Florida, Virginia, Ohio... Nobody came close. This was as dramatic a swing as the elections in Hungary and Serbia. And all credit goes to Texas locals, who organized cadres fully independent of the national party.

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  • [–] 2 points 2 days ago (2 children)

    And we have to keep it going. For as long as ive lived in the state its been purple, but overwhelmingly went red because of gerrymandering, and more importantly lack of engagement by democratic voters. They felt it was pointless, because republicans always win, and controlled so much of the government. I assumed even if dems turned out that there would be shenanigans to prevent a republican loss. Yet here we are.

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  • [–] 2 points 1 day ago

    Texas isn't as red as people think. The GOP took over the Texas legislature for the first time ever in 2003, and gerrymandered the shit out of it to prevent themselves from losing the state. The majority of the US House delegation from Texas were Democrats from the founding of the state through 2002. Then in 2004, the gerrymandering allowed them to flip it from majority-Democrat to 2/3 Republican.

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  • [–] 11 points 2 days ago (1 child)

    ^This. This. And this. I wish the blue tsunami was an awakening of the American people who have learned their lesson from their brush with fascism. They realize human rights apply to all humans, that the rule of law is fundamental to a functioning society, that capitalism needs guardrails.

    They didn't. They voted to oust the party who impacted them personally. And if gas prices and interest rates go down a bit, they'll be right back to their usual identity politics.

    I was wrong about the midterm. I didn't think the Dems had a hope in hell of winning both houses of Congress. I hope I am wrong about this and Dems get off their asses, work to restore rule of law and immediately shift to real governmental reform to prevent this kind of slide to fascism and corruption much harder. We have done it before, so that gives me hope.

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  • [–] 2 points 2 days ago

    Oh Fascism isn't what was brought by Trump and company as the US has had many fascist qualities since the term was invented. What Trump brought was a dose of Neoauthoritarianism. We are still heading in that direction.

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  • [–] 65 points 3 days ago (8 children)
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    [–] 36 points 2 days ago (1 child)

    I would say 100%. Thanks for playing the probability of past events game.

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  • [–] 4 points 1 day ago

    Even ignoring the past event thing, the chance is very high, because the events are naturally correlated. Everybody felt the same raised fuel prices.

    Now if it was the chance of uncorrelated events, the chance would be essentially zero.

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  • [–] 32 points 2 days ago (3 children)

    Libs of TikTok is the username of various American anti-LGBTQ and far-right social-media accounts operated by Chaya Raichik -- Wikipedia

    Just a PSA that it's a creepy source, so don't trust it much.

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  • [–] 9 points 2 days ago (2 children)

    It does explain the weird way that the question answers itself at the end without its author seemingly realising it. There aren’t the numbers to make it mathematically plausible to shift further right if you’re already at that extreme.

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  • [–] 24 points 2 days ago (2 children)

    Ummm, excuse me, the Gulf of WHAT?

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  • [–] 4 points 1 day ago (1 child)

    It's like some people don't want to obey the divine procomations of Dear Leader. In my household we already refer to the so called Alantic and Pacific Oceans as The Trump Ocean and ThePresident DJT Ocean so he knows that we support everything he commands!

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  • [–] 73 points 3 days ago (29 children)

    This dumb bitch. Republicans control Texas & the federal government until January. Did they steal the election from themselves?

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  • [–] -5 points 3 days ago (28 children)

    No need to call her a bitch ^^

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  • [–] 44 points 3 days ago (25 children)

    Nah, she's a bitch. You're free not to use that word, I'm free to use it, c'est la vie. Unless you'd have preferred I call her a cunt, because I'd be happy to oblige.

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  • [+] -7 points 2 days ago (20 children)

    Its a realy sexist word you can hate her all you want but this kinda language affects all women :(

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  • [–] 10 points 2 days ago (7 children)

    Words exist in context. If I called my female boss a bitch because I perceived her as domineering or demanding, that'd be out of line. If I call someone a dumb bitch for running one of the most toxic accounts on social media posting nonsensical disinformation, that's very different. While I understand that being called a bitch can be very hurtful, I'm not calling you one, I'm calling someone else one, so being offended on their behalf is silly. I'm not gonna censor myself because someone might have a negative association with a word. And before someone says "I've heard the same logic applied to the n word" cool well I'm not applying it to the n word, I already don't say that so I don't need to censor myself.

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  • [–] 2 points 1 day ago (6 children)

    Just take the bitch part away and substitute it for something else like retard or the nword and think for a second how the usage of this word can still affect the broader demographic

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  • [–] -1 points 1 day ago (5 children)

    Bruh. Are you really gonna act like bitch is on the same level of offensiveness as the n word? You're either being retarded or disingenuous.

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  • [–] 1 point 1 day ago (4 children)

    Did i say bitch is on the same lvl as the nword? Please read my comment again and just try to make sense of it :)

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  • [–] 1 point 1 day ago (3 children)

    "just take bitch out and substitute it with the N word"

    The fuck am I missing? You're directly comparing the use of the word bitch to the use of the n word. Go to therapy.

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  • [–] 0 points 1 day ago (2 children)

    You are missing the fact that using bitch negativrly affects all women just as the nword would negatively effect all poc. I told you to swap the word not to point out that they are the same as i said but to try to explain this simple fact. Using genderd derogetory language hurts that gender group(mainly women) just the same as using racltiolized derogetory language hurts the race it aimed at(mainly poc) i really dont think this is that hard to get :)

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  • [–] 1 point 1 day ago (1 child)

    Or, don't police others' use of language when it's not directed at you. That's why the Republicans and trump succeeded in part, because leftists played who's more offended and what language is allowed instead of unifying over policy, dividing the left and giving ammo to the right to make fun of people like you. You're playing culture wars just as much as Matt Walsh spewing anti trans bullshit.

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  • [–] 0 points 1 day ago

    So you do understand how it can be harmfull? How hard is it then to just call her a racist freak or something non gendert that is actualy critical of her views or actions this is not "culture war bs" its js me trying to make the world a lil better :)

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  • [–] 10 points 2 days ago (2 children)

    Etymologically speaking bitch refers only to women, but in modern usage the pejorative is used for both genders

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  • [–] 4 points 2 days ago (8 children)

    Not the women who aren't bitches, since it's not directed at them.

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  • [–] 0 points 2 days ago (6 children)

    I've seen people use that exact justification for the n-word.

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  • [–] 3 points 2 days ago (5 children)

    If you're really gonna try and act like bitch and the n word exist on the same plane of cruelty and offensiveness you're just being flatly disingenuous.

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  • [–] 0 points 2 days ago (4 children)

    Cool, good thing I'm not then.

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  • [–] 1 point 2 days ago (3 children)

    Many people refuse to acknowledge the nuance of language development. Especially when mixed with what is socially acceptable. Because that'd mean conceding they could be hurting people.

    I'll join you in the downvotes. You may be oversimplifying a bit too, but I see where you're coming from.

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  • [–] 1 point 2 days ago (2 children)

    Yeah I mean I'm not saying it's the same level I'm just saying I've heard the same logic. "Just because I say [n-word] doesn't mean I hate black people, I only hate the ones that act like [n-words]." You'll hear the same justification for just about any slur whenever anyone challenges it. "Nothing against people with mental disabilities, I just hate people who act like r-----ds." "Nothing against queer people, I just hate the ones who act like f----ts." Anyone who recognizes that it doesn't hold up in those cases should understand that it doesn't hold up here.

    But they have no answer to that, so all they can do is act like I'm equating the two, when in fact the whole point is to use a more extreme example to more clearly demonstrate the problem.

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  • [–] 0 points 2 days ago (1 child)

    I totally agree, except the final paragraph. I think the source of the communication issue is a combination of perceived tone in your initial comment and the sensitivity of the subject. Not to fully blame either. So I don't think people are being belligerent or willfully ignorant.

    Conversations like these are a minefield, so don't take it personally if you stumble. And remember why the minefield is there in the first place. Sometimes you just gotta back out, or set off more mines you meant to disarm.

    Metaphor got a bit lost, but I think you get the point.

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  • [+] -6 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (3 children)

    Anyone can be a cunt. I actually would prefer that. A cunts a cunt, everyone knows one.

    Bitch is what some knuckedragger yells at a woman when she rejects him again

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  • [–] 15 points 2 days ago (1 child)

    That's fair. The way I see it, dick, bitch, cunt, asshole, cock etc all mean the same thing. You're effectively calling someone a jerk. Getting nitpicky over which is ok - and which isn't - is a waste of energy in my book. Just because somebody else uses the word more virulently doesn't somehow mean everyone who calls someone a bitch is evil. Part of language is intent and context. If I called a woman a bitch because she was intense or intimidating, that'd be out of line. If I call someone a bitch because they write stupid shit like this and run an account like that, I feel like I'm doing alright.

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  • [–] 1 point 2 days ago

    You raise valid points, and context definitely matters, but I think when it comes to language it should be decided by the consensus within the minority it was originally used to describe.

    For example, most of the disabled community agrees "r-tard" is offensive these days, so it's use has gone down. Just like "gay" before it. And white folks still argue the n-word should be fine for everyone to use if they end it with an a.

    I'm not saying minorities can't reclaim words, and language definitely changes with time. But most women I interact with get uncomfortable when men around them say "bitch" routinely.

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  • [–] 29 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (1 child)

    Don't mess with gas prices or people get upset. Or Texas, I guess

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  • [–] 3 points 1 day ago

    Honestly, it probably is as simple as that. Unfortunatly it’s not people waking up and being “wow, GOP are evil”, they just noticed something that impacted them directly and so they went out and voted. Thats probably why Trump won in 2024 too, people just saw high prices during biden’s presidency and decided to vote for the 2016-2020 prices.

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  • [–] 12 points 3 days ago

    Even though Oklahoma stayed red, every county shifted Democrat.

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  • [–] 11 points 3 days ago

    If we considered '24 as a single point, then regression to the mean (thinking, as is pretty accurate across most states, that the split between d/r is often a few points off of 50/50) would suggest a large swing back towards 'neutral' from a +14 point advantage.

    So, even discounting the idiocy that is the current american administration and its effects on voters, yes, I would expect most places to vote more democrat.

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  • [–] 9 points 2 days ago (1 child)

    High because it's difficult to get more people into the cult when there are already so many of them.

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  • [–] 10 points 2 days ago

    Actually, his cult has shrunk. By a lot. It's been some popcorn-munching fun as a cult survivor.

    ... well, in a disaster-movie way, and I hate living in the disaster movie. But nodding and going, "Yep. Yep, you found out your life is a lie. Aaaand there're the tears, the mental breakdown. Just let it all out, honey."

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  • [–] 9 points 3 days ago

    And the Gulf of Mexico is back again!

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  • [–] 8 points 1 day ago

    I find it interesting the right-wing influencers seem like they were primed to claim the election was stolen

    Even Trump isn't bothering with it. Seems like it was too decisive of a result for them to even try challenging

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  • Cope, seethe, mald, etc. you transphobic waste of oxygen.

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  • [–] 7 points 2 days ago (11 children)

    My friend said this pattern has happened to every single US president ever except J bush (they lost the midterm elections to the opposing party on their second term). Is there data and facts on it?

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  • [–] [S] 2 points 2 days ago (5 children)

    Clinton did fine in 98. Reagan did fine in 86

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  • [–] 2 points 2 days ago (3 children)

    I'm more looking for actual stats

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  • [–] 3 points 2 days ago (1 child)
  • [–] 3 points 1 day ago

    Here. 218 is a majority of the 435 seats.

    2026: Current count is at least 40 seats flipped from R to D, from 214 to 254 called, and plausibly 45 flips for 259. President's party loses the largest number of seats since 1994, loses control of House.

    2022: President's party loses 9 seats and house control, 222-213.

    2018: President's party loses 41 seats and House control, 235-199.

    2014: President's party loses 13 more seats, despite already not having House control, expanding opposition control to 247-188.

    2010: President's party loses 63 seats and House control, 242-193.

    2006: President's party loses 31 seats and House control, 233-202.

    2002: President's party gains 6 seats, expanding House control to 229-204.

    1998: President's party gains 5 seats, narrowing the opposing party's control to 223-211.

    1994: President's party loses 54 seats and House control, 230-204.

    Before that, House elections dynamics were a bit different. National party identity wasn't as strong, and split ticket voting was more common, so Democrats held House control even as Republicans won the White House 5 out of 6 elections.

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  • [–] 6 points 2 days ago

    Eat shit bitch!

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  • [–] 3 points 3 days ago (3 children)

    Is there a country-wide version of this to browse?

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  • [–] 3 points 3 days ago*

    Let them cry foul! Agree emphatically when they say it was rigged! Encourage them to take up arms. We need an excuse to finish Sherman's work. Showing them mercy in 1865 was a deadly mistake for us.

    As long as conservatives continue to live, they will continue to oppress everyone around them. Always. They will never stop. If we allow them to continue to exist, they will bring us back into fascism. We need to finish them or next time will be MUCH worse for us.

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  • [–] 1 point 3 days ago