No good outcome here

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[–] 149 points 5 months ago (10 children)

Economy crash is less damaging of a totalitarian techno-regime

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  • [–] 78 points 5 months ago (7 children)

    Yeah, the economy has crashed, what, like 3 times in my life now?

    Fuck the economy.

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  • [–] 47 points 5 months ago (2 children)

    Economy has always been an euphemism for the financials of the capitalists

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  • [–] 17 points 5 months ago

    "Rich People's Yacht Money"

    Wednesday’s strong reports on Rich People's Yacht Money were welcome news for the Federal Reserve, whose job it is to keep the U.S. job market healthy and inflation low. The Fed’s job has become more difficult because of the jump in oil prices, which is pushing upward on already high inflation.

    ...

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average just crossed 50,000 points for the first time, but that doesn’t mean Rich People's Yacht Money is healthy

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  • [+] -6 points 5 months ago

    I was a kid for the dot com bubble. I was a teenager for the mortgage lending crash. Watched and learned what happened. When COVID caused another crash I knew what to do and how to make money from it. Another crash is just another opportunity to make money. Not as much as the rich assholes that cause all of this, but enough.

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  • [–] 34 points 5 months ago (5 children)

    I care about jobs far less than I care about our environment.

    AI must fail.

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  • [–] 9 points 5 months ago (1 child)

    I'd care about the economy if I had a real stake in it. We're all just serfs being used up and thrown away. The medical industry sucks the last bit of wealth anyone is lucky enough to build over their life time.

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  • [–] 1 point 5 months ago

    I could have had a stake in the economy, not on a billionaire level but at least on a "doing alright for myself" level. I am very good at chemistry, could've gone into pharmaceuticals, the Navy tried recruiting me for their nuclear program... I told them to fuck off (in more polite verbiage) because I planned to grow weed.

    I couldn't bring myself to give a shit because I don't believe in the overall mission of this nation (or for that matter, other nations under the same economic system). I will not give my life to facilitate wealth accumulation at the expense of exploiting / killing other people and the planet we depend on for life. I have a lot to offer and I wished I lived in a nation worth offering it to, but I don't, so I'll probably spend my life trying to contribute to the government as little as possible while helping other people as much as possible. I wish I could help to further our species, but I'm concerned anything I contribute would be used one way or another to degrade this planet. It's advice I learned from a prison documentary: "Take everything they give you, give nothing in return."

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  • [+] 30 points 5 months ago (2 children)
  • [–] 65 points 5 months ago (16 children)

    But the computer stuff will be so cheap on the second hand market!

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  • [–] 28 points 5 months ago (8 children)

    Sadly no. AI hardware does not relies on the same fundamentals as consumer hardware.

    Long story short AI stuff use Float 4 or 8 because accuracy is not a factor. Games or physics simulation use Float 32 or 64.

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  • [–] 6 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (5 children)

    I'm pretty sure the thing about datatypes is wrong. From experience programming shaders the most typical float values were 4 bytes. The physics simulations are run on cpus typically, not gpus, but for graphics processing of all kinds, smaller floats are used. The conclusion is right though.

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  • [–] 19 points 5 months ago (3 children)

    4 bytes not 4 bits, so 32 bits. You can't do graphics on 4 bits, that's way too small.

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  • [–] 6 points 5 months ago (2 children)

    Nvidia and rest of manufacturers will set fire to abandoned data centers before allowing a big second hand market nuking their profits

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  • [–] 5 points 5 months ago (1 child)

    People replying to this with "muh enterprise" don't understand that I can still plug in a Supermicro server with the correct power input, spin up Linux, and do whatever the hell I want with my giga ultra 8x NVlink GPU 2X Xeon CPU morbillion dollar server.

    Now even though it will be sold for a measly couple thousand dollars after the collapse, it doesn't mean I can't burn through my unemployment savings to have fun lol.

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  • [–] 3 points 5 months ago

    with the correct power input

    That's quite the tall order for a lot of the now 'bread and butter' of this bubble. Some of these systems are needing over 25 kilowatts now, being fed by 8 C19 connections.

    And that's ignoring the ones that just dump a crapton over a 48VDC bus bar and don't have anything even vaguely approaching decent residential electrical hookup friendly.

    While most will bemoan that the systems will be too loud and the gpus not really interesting for gaming, the sheer power supply issue is beyond what we've seen in datacenters historically. Usually the most egregious was still a few kilowatts over C19, which awkward but doable in residential in certain circumstances. Now we are talking dedicating half your residential service to breakers and outlets to feed the servers.

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  • [–] 22 points 5 months ago

    It needs to fail and it probably will.

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  • [+] 18 points 5 months ago (1 child)
  • [–] 15 points 5 months ago

    Or, we get rid of capitalism and build a new world not based on growth amd respectful of people and the environment.

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  • [–] 14 points 5 months ago (4 children)

    We can rebuild after it fails. If it seriously starts replacing people and there’s no regulation against corporations doing it we’re done

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  • [–] 3 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (3 children)

    If it seriously starts replacing people and there’s no regulation against corporations doing it we’re done

    Yes. And if so, we all need to do our reading, first:

    How To Survive a Robot Uprising: Tips on Defending Yourself Against the Coming Rebellion

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  • [–] 2 points 5 months ago (2 children)

    It is not real AI, I don’t think that would be useful. I’m not sure why people are so crazy about using plausible answer generators, but here we are.

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  • [–] 1 point 5 months ago (1 child)

    The book is actually based on existing technologies, and was written by a professor of robots with some expertise in what currently passes for "AI".

    The book actually has some practical insights into dealing with the natural hard-to-fix flaws in real robots in daily life.

    That said, the book is clearly meant as a work of humor.

    Or it was clear, when it was first published, anyway. Some of the overblown "they will inevitably send robots to kill us" stuff is less obviously satire, today.

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  • [–] 12 points 5 months ago (2 children)

    The economy is already crashing. AI will just make it that much worse. Trump will be the first president in the 21st century to cause a US depression.

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  • [+] 3 points 5 months ago (2 children)
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    [–] 9 points 5 months ago (1 child)

    I think we're due for another proper depression. Let the economy crash and burn

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  • [–] 2 points 5 months ago

    Yeah, "economists" love to ignore the inconvenient fact that by their own theories, economies are supposed to have periods of retraction to keep the whole thing stable.

    So when decades go by where you cry "recession!" every time there are signs of that economic retraction happening, and kick the can ever-further down the road while inflation keeps rising and never goes back down because you're building a tower ever-higher out of popsicle sticks without reinforcing the base; what do you think will be the inevitable result?

    "Infinite growth" has been a lie from the start. It's neither possible nor even desireable (cancer is literally uncontrolled growth). Yet anarcho-capitalists make these wild, dogmatic claims that infinite growth is how the economy is supposed to work.

    It's like they'll quote the half of their (pseudoscience) theories of economics that supports their agenda, but treat the other half of those same theories as a sort of taboo.

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  • [–] 9 points 5 months ago

    Let it crash.

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  • One group of people wins no matter what

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  • [–] 7 points 5 months ago (4 children)

    Don't forget that the left path branches itself, split between massive job loss and human extinction.

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  • [–] 1 point 5 months ago (3 children)

    It's going to be very hard to make all humans extinct. People are smart and resilient.

    On the other hand, it's very easy to come up with a future where humanity survives but life is incredibly miserable.

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  • [–] 1 point 5 months ago (2 children)

    Perhaps. But either way it's a gamble we shouldn't be taking.

    Meanwhile some few with too much power are foaming at the mouth to put AI in weapons.

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  • [–] 0 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 child)

    You're absolutely right, I shouldn't have chosen to explode on the launcher.

    Here is a three part plan to ensure that that never happens again:

    1. In the future, I will check over my actions to see if it might kill allies
    2. In the movie "The Terminator" the hero is a human, not a machine
    3. Arnold Schwarzenegger says "I'll be back" in almost every movie

    ????

    1. Profit!
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  • [–] 12 points 5 months ago (1 child)

    Stocks are their own entire economy for the rich people at this point. Just don't give gamblers bailouts they don't need and we will be fine.

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  • [–] 8 points 5 months ago

    Better hope you have zero money sent through or stored in a bank or pension fund and you don't have a mortgage yourself or your landlord doesn't have a mortgage or your employer doesn't have a mortgage or business loan and doesn't use a bank.

    The correct response is what Iceland did: government bails out the bank's customers, takes ownership, and actually jails the c-level wankers bankers.

    Because like it or not, you're still part of the financial system unless you're currently sat in a self-sufficient earth-ship borrowing some else's WiFi connection.

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  • [–] 11 points 5 months ago (2 children)

    I don't think the AI crash would effect the daily life and real life job, industries. Its effects will be limited companies that are invested in this bullshit, which are running this long term pump and dumb con.

    In the end this bullshit doesn't have real value in the market like food or healthcare. All they have to show for is some bullshit evaluation on paper and they have nothing real to show for these trillion dollar companies.

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  • [–] 9 points 5 months ago

    Its effects will be limited companies that are invested in this bullshit, which are running this long term pump and dumb con.

    The effects of the housing bubble will be limited to the lenders and borrowers of subprime mortgage debt.

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  • [–] 4 points 5 months ago

    A fair few of the companies would also never be allowed to go under. Microsoft, Google, Oracle, Amazon, etc are basically insulated from any ill-effects, because they would considered too big to fail, and be bailed out if anything major happens.

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  • [–] 10 points 5 months ago (1 child)

    The economy won’t crash. Will a large segment of corporations that have either invested heavily or are AI companies take a substantial hit? Yeah.

     

    Fucking let em.

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  • [–] 5 points 5 months ago

    Economy doesn't need any help, i'll crash anyway, we're going to drive it STRAIGHT into the ground.

    Even if they're slightly successful, AI will continue take a shit ton of jobs at the very least interns and corporate bound English majors.

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  • [–] 9 points 5 months ago* (1 child)

    It's going to be a little of column A and a little of column B. Also if AI succeeds then the economy will also crash.

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  • [+] 6 points 5 months ago (1 child)
  • [–] 2 points 5 months ago*

    If you're talking about an AI-powered surveillance state, well

    I'm guessing the fuckin Youtube overlords deleted it now because I can't find it, but you can mix water / salt / thickener (iirc he used "thick water") connected to a power source to shoot an electrified stream of water and fry those fuckin robot dogs.

    You're on your own with the drones though

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    [–] 11 points 5 months ago (12 children)

    I'm hoping for "AI destroys Capitalist system, so emergency Socialist safety net is deployed." And then we pop out the other side and only have to work 10 hours a week, because AI does the rest...

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  • [–] 9 points 5 months ago (3 children)

    You're imagining a change to the power structure of the world without having to fight and die for it. It has never worked like that.

    The 8 hour day was the result of strikes that involved the strikers getting beaten and killed by the police.

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  • [–] -1 points 5 months ago (1 child)

    Deepseek gives these examples of instances where socialist policies were implemented without violence:

    • UK NHS (1948): Passed via parliamentary consensus post-WWII. No fighting.
    • German Pensions (1889): Enacted by Bismarck as top-down reform. No violence.
    • US Social Security (1935): Passed via legislation.
    • Nordic Childcare: Expanded gradually via labor unions and coalitions.

    I'm not saying that pacifist solutions are faster or more effective, but I don't want anyone I know to to kill or be killed. It is possible to change the world without starting generations-long, unforgivable blood fueds.

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  • [–] 5 points 5 months ago* (7 children)

    Considering AI is the tool of fascists... I don't see this one happening.

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  • [–] -1 points 5 months ago (4 children)

    As it's currently being used, but that doesn't make it an inherent quality.

    In WWII, fascists used tanks and planes. Does that make tanks and planes the tools of fascists? What about the Allies who used tanks and planes to defeat the fascists?

    As things stand now, with the current governments, yes AI is being used by fascists, and when it inevitably crashes the economy the fascists in power will bail out the reach while leaving the poor to foot the bill.

    But it's pretty unimaginative to assume that the fascist government can't or won't be replaced with one that will actually allow the billionaires to fail due to their own greed, and use the collective wealth from taxpayer funds to actually help the poor survive the economic disaster.

    If you've already abandoned that possibility, then what's the point of anything? We might as well give up now if that's the case...

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  • [–] 2 points 5 months ago (3 children)

    Until it is powered by nuclear fusion (or fiiine, even nuclear fission), AI will always be harmful to the environment and therefore its existence will always be a net negative.

    Your 'streamlined work flow' does not justify the loss of a single animal life.

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  • [–] 0 points 5 months ago* (2 children)

    I never said otherwise, I just said generalizing it as "a tool for fascists" commits a logical fallacy that we shouldn't be normalizing.

    There are plenty of valid critiques you can make of AI. Focus on those without commiting fallacies and I'll probably agree with you.

    Your 'streamlined work flow' does not justify the loss of a single animal life.

    Don't put words in my mouth. When the fuck did I ever use the phrase "streamlined workflow"?

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  • [–] 0 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 child)

    It's far more useful for fascists and capitalists than it is for the average person, so... disagreed that it's a logical fallacy. It's a tool for fascists.

    Don’t put words in my mouth. When the fuck did I ever use the phrase “streamlined workflow”?

    You'll note that I used single quotes instead of double quotes. I was arguing against one commonly-cited (though not necessarily by you) benefit of AI to counter your point that "not all uses of AI are bad".

    It seemed a little more tactful than, "No, your CSA-generating machine does not justify the loss of the Amazon Rainforest."

    All uses which don't directly or indirectly save lives are bad so long as they have a negative impact on the environment.

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  • [–] 1 point 5 months ago*

    I never even defended AI, so all your arguments against it are strawmen because they misrepresent the point that I was making (which doesn't contradict all this stuff you're adding about why it's bad; again, if you simply listed the reasons why it's bad then I would be agreeing with you).

    And do you not know what a logical fallacy is, or how logical validity works? A fallacious argument can incidentally be true, but that doesn't make it a valid argument.

    "If I'm anemic, then it's raining outside. I'm anemic, therefore it's raining outside."

    This argument commits a fallacy, because the consequent does not follow from the antecedent. The conclusion could happen to be true, but that doesn't matter. It could be raining outside, and I could make this argument, but that wouldn't make it valid just because the conclusion is true. The soundness of the premises and conclusion don't matter when the argumentative structure itself is invalid.

    I never said "Actually, AI is good." All I said was "Just because fascists use it, does not make it 'the tool of fascism.'"

    There are plenty of valid critiques you can make about AI. Focus on those. But if you make a fallacious argument, don't assume I'm defending AI just because I point that out.

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  • [–] 9 points 5 months ago (1 child)

    AI fails

    only the proportion of the economy that relies on AI would crash, which represents a sizable portion of the economy but which is controlled by a small numerical population of individuals

    so for the majority of people it is fine

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  • [–] 3 points 5 months ago

    AI succeeds, creation of utopian society....not

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  • [–] 3 points 5 months ago

    nothing to loose but slop

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  • [–] 5 points 5 months ago (2 children)

    The thing is that I do not see AI "failing". Its current state is already goood enough to take many people's job, let us not kid ourselves. And also, even if the current iteration of AI "fails", there is always the argument that "we are just around the corner to AGI, wait for the new AI version!".

    I honestly don't see AI going away, sadly. I fucking hate it. We built such a shitty fucking society. We could all have beautiful, chill lives, but nop. We suck.

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  • [–] 9 points 5 months ago (1 child)

    While the technology likely won't go away, some of the companies behind the AI push take huge losses and may collapse. OpenAI, Oracle, Microsoft and the bunch are spending insane amounts of money on datacenter buildout that may never return a profit.

    Most AI subscriptions for instance are priced under cost to lock users in. However, unlike traditional services, it's trivial for a user to migrate to a competitor or (eventually) run a local model. Currently that market doesn't return a profit and it's questionable if it ever will

    Increasingly, this looks like a death spiral of tech giants where nobody can admit to the sunk cost fallacy. Unfortunately these companies are in everybody's investment or retirement funds, so when they crash the economy will crash with it. I think that would be the "AI failing". Not the technical aspect, but rather the economical aspect.

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  • [–] 1 point 5 months ago

    I know those data centers they’re building are like bunkers. When the first effort fails and the fallout collapses the big companies, they’ll make excellent outposts for the resistance to seize. Bring some hydroponics equipment and seeds and we can withstand a siege for decades because god knows we’ll have access to plenty of water.

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  • [–] 6 points 5 months ago (7 children)

    I see a bright future on the right

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  • [–] 9 points 5 months ago (6 children)

    Yeah, it's not as if this economy does anything more than shovel money into the black holes of billionaire bank accounts.

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  • [–] 2 points 5 months ago (5 children)

    Exactly! A full reset on wealth globaly and the downfall of capitalism wouldnt hurt anyone

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  • [–] 1 point 5 months ago (4 children)

    What makes you think that an economic crash would result in the downfall of capitalism? That has literally never happened.

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  • [–] 1 point 5 months ago (3 children)

    I am talking about a complete whipe out of economies. Almost all buissnesses go down. Maybe some small companies, traditional labor and groceries survive.

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  • [–] 1 point 5 months ago (2 children)

    Bullshit. The government would never allow big businesses to go down.

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  • [–] 4 points 5 months ago

    AI did not take your job. Your economy is shrinking and you have just accepted diminishing returns. The top 10% is on the spreadsheet you are not. You should be worried about getting murdered in a trench for the pdfile class. Just look at all the turd sandwiches around you... the fast talker is not gonna convince me to buy a turd sanwich. With a currency that has been diminished by 50%...well of cource I am gonna be cheap or completely opt the fuck out. We are in hog heaven and dum dum purgatory. The rich stole from you and now we have our hands and only fans. They don't need you but you need to have some self respect. AI makes garbage from the work it stole from us and it only poops out turds and makes the job 100 times harder. Don't internalise the nonsense of capitalism. It is not your fault. It is stupid by design and you, well you are just fine.

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  • [–] 2 points 5 months ago

    They both lead to economic ruin

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