The kicker is we need agriculture and industry, like it or not. Whereas no one apart from some billionaires and tech bros want or even need AI.
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Emissions from AI datacenters offend because of just how unnecessary they are.
Just like the meat industry and large parts of commercial flight.
Just like the meat industry
So you're saying that the thing humans have been doing since we learned to sharpen a stick, literally thousands of years... Is unnecessary?
Today, yes. And especially the shape of it. Just like with LLM the problem would be a lot smaller if it was done in moderation, withethical practices and the lives and well-being of those involved in mind.
Both meat and LLMs have use cases, and both needs to tone down on the shitty practices and world destroying emissions.
We've only had industrialized meat farming for like a hundred years
I eat food, and the food I eat doesn't just walk to my place.
So... sure I'd rather have a lot less energy spent on agriculture and industry but if there is one place where I feel energy use is legitimate, it's feeding us.
Meanwhile I do NOT want better tools for scammers, spammers and fake experts.
Also without massive inputs in the form of fertilizer and pesticides, it's also not just growing by itself to feed you.
Also, the food I eat was already in the carbon cycle. The food (energy) datacenters eat is mostly sequestered carbon, not all emissions are the same. Hell, if we want to get into it fucking water vapor is a greenhouse gas.
A lot of the emissions from food are not things that are already in the carbon cycle.
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Deforestation to turn forest into farmland.
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Fossil fuels for equipment and to manufacture fertiliser.
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Methane from animals is significantly more potent than if that same carbon was released as CO2.
This is why I say emissions are not a cover-all and I'm tired of them being compared equally
But all of those are net emissions?
Can I ask how methane is a net emission with water and carbon dioxide? They all affect the planet differently while also being "GHG emissions"
I'd also like to add after thinking about it how the location of these emissions also matters. Jet planes have a larger impact with their emissions over other travel in part because the higher altitude increases the greenhouse potential of its emissions. So again, if we just count "GHG emissions" as if the tons of GHG emitted is the only factor not the duration the gas exists in the atmosphere, the location of emission, or if it is dumping sequestered carbon.
Because if we look at how cows produce methane, it's the bacteria in the cow's stomach that produces that methane, bacteria that would produce methane on rotting biomass as well. What's the actual net difference between natural decay and accelerated cow digestion. There's lots of agricultural produce like bananas where a meaningful amount of production goes to waste and decays. Is this waste and the emissions that happen from the waste accounted in the "GHG emissions" of eating bananas?
This is all before getting into weird GHGs like sulfur hexafluoride as it has a global warming potential 23 thousand times higher than carbon dioxide. So are we counting it by the ton as if it is the same as carbon dioxide by the ton?
Anaerobic bacteria produce methane. When oxygen is present, the aerobic pathway outcompetes anaerobic because more energy is available, producing CO2 instead.
GHG are usually measured in tonnes of CO2 equivalent (GWP) where methane is about 80x as much warming as the same mass of CO2 over a 20 year period, or about 25x as much warming over a 100 year period.
This is also what's going on in the steady replacement of various refrigerants with lower-GWP alternatives.
How is CO2 equivalent measured based on altitude and since methane will eventually degrade to CO2?
This seems really problematic for comparing different types of GHG emissions and gauging what type has the most contribution to global warming.
Lots and lots of math and analysis.
My understanding is it is fairly well settled on a chemical & lifespan basis. I am not sure of what impact initial altitude has.
The GWP value depends on how the gas concentration decays over time in the atmosphere. This is often not precisely known and hence the values should not be considered exact. For this reason when quoting a GWP it is important to give a reference to the calculation. Commonly, a time scale of 100 years is used by regulators.
So it's an educated guess that has lots of flaws just like I said. GHG emissions comparisons between output methods is ridiculous. Because again, water is a GHG emission.
So your alternative is what? Just say a tonne is a tonne?
It's adequate for the purpose at hand.
Not group up all emissions and compare them for the sake of clicks. Look at the original post, where agriculture and livestock are being set as significantly worse than AI data center emissions in 2021. These two aren't really to be compared, they're both problems and need solutions but it's not a pie chart, you don't have to pick a slice and not the other.
It's not adequate, it is a tool for shit clickbait articles, memes, and discourse when the actual problem is GHG production slowed/stopped as efficiently as possible. Banning private jets for instance is fairly easy to do, it has no massive drawbacks other than the rich people being upset. Not building more datacenters for a while, not really difficult, adding infrastructure is the hard part not pausing more. As opposed to this worthless "NOOOO AGRICULTURE IS WORSE THAN AI BECAUSE MY ONE GRAPH WITH MISLEADING DATA"
Cost-to-benefit analysis, sure. But you still need a realistic comparison of the costs side of the equation to do that.
People were whining about the energy costs of regular data centers long before AI came along.
That invites a lot of questions like is it lower carbon to have a zoom call than fly out for a meeting? Do the travel emissions of an imported tomato offset the heating emissions for a local out-of-season hothouse tomato? If I'm going to make one personal sacrifice, is it more effective to give up red meat, bike to work, or make my next holiday less far away?
Intentionally ignoring evidence is just dumb; decisions made purely on vibes are often going to be wrong.
A lot of it comes down to how much people want the product, combined with how easy it is to get rid of carbon emissions in the process. If people are against AI in the first place, it's easy to get rid of the carbon emissions. Getting rid of the emissions from concrete production is a much more difficult proposition.
Sadly, majority of Midwest is corn & it's not even corn to feed us.
yes, corn's biggest uses are feeding live stock and making ethanol, the second use, making ethanol it is quite bad at it compares to sugar cane, afaik for live stock it is very cheap for the ammount of protein it has and can diggested by pretty any livestock
It’s as though your implying that billionaires aren’t people, I like it!
Right, but there is the realistic option where we farm more efficiently.
Because as it is right now, we are farming and we are still starving. Food production is not a problem, In fact we overproduce.
So let's be more efficient with our food production which will also starve billionaires.
Well in the agricultural sense the only thing we can do is to make more people vegetarian (not really happening)/and make more affordable plant based milk. The latter one is actually in here already! I've seen plant based milks not that much more expensive than a cow's milk in Hungary.
to make more people vegetarian
You don't necessarily need people to go full vegetarian. Just eating less meat is a much easier sell. If 2 people eat 1/2 as much meat as they otherwise would, that's just as good as 1 person going full vegetarian.
The type of meat also matters. Beef is much higher in greenhouse gas emissions than any other type of meat. So if you just switch beef for, say, chicken or pork, you're already doing a lot better.
You don’t necessarily need people to go full vegetarian
This is me. I haven't completely cut out meat, but I'm down to eating it maybe once or twice a week. Breakfast is usually peanut butter toast, lunch is usually leftovers, so that leaves dinner planning.
A lot of this came from a health issue early last year. I shifted my diet significantly and ended up loving some of the veg recipes!
While switching to plant based food is an obvious course of action which would have drastic benefits, several other methods exist by which agricultural emissions. These include:
- Livestock diet changes to reduce methane production
- More accurate fertilizer application to reduce nitrous oxide production
- Draining rice paddies to reduce production of methane by anaerobic microbes
- No till farming to allow more carbon to be stored in the soil
- Farm equipment electrification
- Crops bred for higher yield or lower resource usage
Farm equipment electrification
Now I'm picturing tractors with the power arms that you see on Vancouver buses. Putting up wires over the fields in the right pattern would be a huge project, though. Oof.
still very likely a worthwhile investment. It would also bring cost reductions with a bunch of automations such scaffolding could bring.
Somehow I doubt it. I'd actually expect the capital costs of designing and install the wires to make it unfeasible. Maybe if you had grants for the construction aspect...hmm...
A more likely path seems like electric tractors, maybe with swappable batteries. Really, though, I think I'd need to hear from actual farmers rather than trying to brainstorm in their behalf.
Once again “general populace” means “people in the United States”.
The rest of us are still in the Paris agreement, and where I’m at one of the most heated political arguments is about emissions from agriculture.
Why do I get a feeling that OP doesn't talk much to farmers?
99% of the "solutions" to agricultural waste and carbon emissions are proposed with absolutely no input from anyone with even a sliver of experience in farming.
Is your point that it's hopeless to discuss it because farmers are unwilling to adopt new practices or because we've maxed out and no progress is possible, quickly revealed by talking to any farmer? Or is it that you believe me unworthy to talk about it because I am among the urban majority? It's unclear from your line of questioning.
My main point is that shit is happening everyday in that space. Electric tractors are becoming a viable option. New feed to lessen livestock farts are used. Ways to lessen expeditures and/or maximize output without increasing pollution are sought everyday.
Yes, I would surely imagine this is the case, and that if I were to talk to farmers I would have a greater understanding of the subject. In essence, this is my point—that there should be more discussion about this to more inform the general public. My lack of understanding of the topic is representative of the broader tends among the average person. Furthermore, I would imagine them to be even less informed than my already uninformed state due to their lack of interest in the subject.
Mainstream Media no longer has the reach that it used to. Nowadays you'll have to find your own spaces to discuss whatever you feel like discussing. If you actually feel like learning more about what's new in the agriculture space, I'm sure there are special interest groups to join locally/regionally where you are. Sadly I don't think you'll be able to get the topic to become a global interest - we all need food and most are willing to sacrifice quite a bit to keep the current level of comfort related to how to acquire said food. For the general populace, how the food got to the store is knowledge they'll have no use for.
All are horrible and a problem but what do we get out of these three? Doesn't take a genius to see something of value in two of them.
well established industry itself seeks efficiency. The emissions are generally from energy use, Energy costs money, they try to find more efficient ways. Stable industries will have already done a lot of innovation to improve efficiency and may even have hit diminishing returns to research once their processes are well understood. Pick any industrial process and you'll find loads of papers on efficiency at all steps. But at the end of the day if you need to smelt iron ore into high quality pig iron, you're going to need a lot of heat for a period of time. Best way to reduce industrial GHG emissions is probably to buy less stuff or maybe buy better quality stuff that lasts longer. Not many consumers wan't to do that though.
Agriculture is weird because we've pushed yields up very high with all the fertilizers and monocultures and so on, but i'd think its similar, diminishing returns - and maybe yields have actually been pushed higher than they should for long run soil health, so you might have a viscious cycle of fertilizer development. You could maybe try to shift people to have less meat and more crops, or maybe stuff like seaweed or algae based food, or try to stop them overeating. I feel like the food industry does get a bit of stick for obesity - not that that seems to do much.
Problem with AI is the bubble that means the focus of effort is unlikely to be efficiency; so long as investors are dumb, don't know what they're buying and/or speculation oriented then the bang for buck investment (in the short term) is to generate hype. They'd gladly burn energy, to generate more hype to, borrow more, to buy more energy , to generate more hype, to borrow more . . . all the while they're 'crowding out' boring established investments in well understood processes.
“General populace”?
This meme wildly overestimate that the genpop has the faintest clue about the cost of AI. In my very few discussions with people that even bother to bring it up with curiosity absolutely none of them understood how big of a resource hog data centers are. A few might’ve had a clue that AI results can be wrong, but then they went on to basically apologize for AI’s current errors by stating how much good it could do via research while not having any idea what was different between say medical AI and one they use to make their animated memes or converse with.
thank you, finally somebody says it
the big energy revolution will happen in industry. everything else doesn't matter.
even the agriculture sector basically doesn't matter since most of the GHG emissions are re-absorbed the next year. literally it's a cycle.
and the most effective way to do anything is to build solar & wind energy. that really changes the picture. reducing industrial output doesn't work without hurting like 90% of the population either through job loss or material losses.
Turn electricity into wind, solar, and nuclear, and you'll not only shrink electricity's impact to a sliver, but also bite a chunk out of industry due to removing the need for oil, gas, and coal.
Those two are the biggest global emission contributers.
Agriculture needs to move away from land use and into significantly more GM and vertical farming, "organic" products be damned.
Looks to me like 1/3 the industrial emissions are fossil fuel production, which are best handled by exactly what we’re already focusing on: renewable energy and EVs.
Now if we can only encourage everyone to eat less beef, that brings over the agriculture sector
"improving industrial and agricultural processes" sounds like something nuanced and complicated that should be (and probably is) discussed by field (both meanings) experts. Not the general public.
Motherfucker the AI bullshit isn't better than the rest of the emissions; it's actively compounding them in a way we do not fully comprehend, and is absolutely moving the timeline of our extinction up by decades. As a wicked sick bonus, AI is also destroying all the funding systems we would've used to try and fight Climate Change in the private market.
Fighting AI is not ignoring the rest of the problems; it is fighting to make sure we CAN CONTINUE to try and deal with those problems.
Note that OP is using a bit unrelated title. They're doing it in case you forget to click their image.

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