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[–] 146 points 4 months ago (1 child)

Billionaires will kill us all, while millionaires scream and yell. Thousandaires defend them both, while we all suffer in hell.

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  • [–] 59 points 4 months ago

    Investors should have learned by now that Musks endeavors are 100% ADHD cycle projects; hyper focus, obsess, launch, start to lose interest, hop on the the next, abandoning previous project, instead of building on the success.

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  • [–] 48 points 4 months ago (6 children)

    I remember when starlink first became available here and had better speed than you could get with terrestrial services. 5 minutes research showed network bandwidth would be a problem once they had significant adoption. Lo and behold...

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  • [–] 21 points 4 months ago (3 children)

    I'm sure it will get better. Just give him a few more goverment subsidies, grants, and 0 interest federal loans to be forgiven later, have the entirely military fleet of humvees replaced with CyberTrucks that he'll never produce, give him carte blanche to fill more layers of the sky with his private satellites without any oversight, regulation, forethought, or concern for the actual good or needs of humanity, and suddenly your current 3 Megs download may hit 5, even 6 megs in off peak hours! Only an extra $150/month for their premium subscription plan!

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  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago (1 child)

    I mean, tbf, all the big telecoms have received billions over the last 20+ years to "connect rural America". A lot of us still don't have access to alternatives.

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  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago*

    Oh I'm aware. The amount of screwing over rural residents the telecoms have done and continue to do is massive. Satellite internet helps bridge that gap. But there are better and cheaper ways to do that just by running some more wire. If county governments did their damn jobs for their residents, there wouldnt be as much of a need for satellite internet to supplement the land-based ISPs.

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  • [–] 5 points 4 months ago

    All the Elon books and profiles love to fluff Elon about how he always holds things to the raw physics and makes sure the math works.

    Either that was BS or he needs to find a different cereal from Special K.

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  • [–] 41 points 4 months ago (9 children)

    America will do anything except lay some fucking cable to provide internet to the ruroids.

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  • [–] 15 points 4 months ago (5 children)

    It's crazy how behind US is on that. Americans say "yeah but US is bjg and mostly empty space" so is Asia and the rest of the world yet they are not defeated by a cable. It's just cable laying - come on, we solved cable laying 50 years ago.

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  • [–] 4 points 4 months ago (2 children)

    How many big empty rural areas in Asia have fiber optics internet relative to big empty rural areas in the US? I thought starlink was heavily used by a lot of counties where people didnt have great access to internet?

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  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago

    Basic all rural areas have fiber/cell towers in Asia. Depends how you measure it but like 90% of populated Asia is connected and most of these stats are only being held back by Russia too.

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  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago

    The US has a weird mix of big emplty spaces, really fucking expensive existing underground utilities and roadways, and private property (easements ain't free) that makes new underground utilities stupidly expensive to run.

    You have to buy big easements, negotiate utility contracts with local and state governments (to use the public right-of-way), dodge existing infrastructure while repairing what you break, and lay a fuckton of cable.

    I work on the municipal side, and despite Google Fiber having a utility agreement with us for years they still have yet to lay a single foot of underground fiber because we won't allow them to cut across roads that we just replaced in the last year, require their microtrenches to follow engineering standards, and they need to show existing underground water, gas, wastewater, and electrical services on their plans because they're famous for just running a trench and making it the water district's problem when they cut 7 public lines in an hour.

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  • [–] 5 points 4 months ago (1 child)

    It does seem like that at times. But at least in Minnesota, the ruroids often seem to have better availability of fiber than the suburbanites and exurbanites. Possibly due to state broadband grants.

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  • [–] 4 points 4 months ago*

    This is how it was where I grew up in Washington State. We were not rural enough for our neighborhoods to qualify for grants, but not densely populated enough for it to be financially worth it to lay cable. I moved out in 2018, where the best options were still dial up or conventional sattelite.

    I did discover that by voiding Cricket Wireless' TOS you could use your BYOD as a hotspot with unlimited data and you'd just have to change sims/numbers every few months when they caught on. Of course now Starlink and T-Mobile home internet exist instead and hey, maybe they laid cable in the past 8 years, it's possible.

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  • [–] 78 points 4 months ago* (1 child)

    So basically:

    His companies are hilariously insolvent, so he rolls them all together and does the biggest IPO of all time to raise money.

    But he still needs more money.

    So then he tries to do a corporate bond issuance... doesn't go super duper well.

    So he still needs more money.

    Welp, ok then, jack up fees, whatever, not very original, but does at least kind of work.

    Any takers as to whether or not he'll still need more money?

    If you guess correctly, you get a free Neuralink installed in your head that you can send OTA bluetooth firmware overrides to nearby devices with your brain!

    Or well, maybe it works... maybes its the opposite of that. Whatever.

    ... But you can recharge them with your solar roof tiles! And then get in your Tesla Roadster! And then take a Starship ICBM flight to Hong Kong or Moscow or Buenos Aires or Rome! And then take the hyperloop to Antarctica!

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  • [–] 32 points 4 months ago* (5 children)

    How could someone who knows all about computers and networking not predict the logistics problems for such projects? /s

    Musk tweet from 3 years ago: "Have you ever wondered why the Wikimedia Foundation wants so much money?
It certainly isn't needed to operate Wikipedia. You can literally fit a copy of the entire text on your phone!
So, what's the money for? Inquiring minds want to know ..."

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  • [–] 21 points 4 months ago (2 children)

    That tweet is almost impressively stupid.

    What the fuck does the download size of Wikipedia have to do with anything?

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  • [–] 105 points 4 months ago (13 children)

    Over promise and under deliver, the musk way. Fucking clown ass Nazi piece of shit. I know there’s not a lot of viable alternatives, but if you’re using a Nazi service, I lack sympathy when the Nazi raises your prices.

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  • [–] 34 points 4 months ago (7 children)

    Meanwhile the airlines rolling out "free Starlink WiFi" without so much as an asterix about who provides and controls the bits you're sending through it.

    Imagine how much data musk will be able to glean getting free access to travelers internet habits and probably a lot more.

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  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago* (2 children)

    I think most of the data going to and from your phone is gonna be https, I doubt it would provide much value tbh

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  • [–] 4 points 4 months ago (1 child)

    Unfortunately there's still plenty of unencrypted traffic from normal usage (e.g. DoH is still fairly rare).

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  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago

    I mean, I guess you can get a list of domain names accessed, but accessible data is still quite limited imo.

    Don't get me wrong, I'd rather avoid it entirely or use a VPN if I'm on such a network if I must.

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  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (4 children)

    Some places have to use starlink sadly, like the ones in remote zones and islands in the middle of the ocean

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  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago (3 children)

    Geo makes more sense for theses use cases. Yes you'll have more ping. But for data dumps it matters not.

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  • [–] 0 points 4 months ago (2 children)

    What makes sense is the quality of service offered at the price point. There's a reason why Starlink outcompeted Hughes so badly.

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  • [–] 28 points 4 months ago (1 child)

    And that was supposed to be the backbone of the space based data center

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  • [–] 28 points 4 months ago (3 children)

    "I can complain about Starlink raising their prices, but it's the only genuine option we have," former Nebraska state senator and Republican Julie Slama told the Washington Post last month. "Once they have rural customers on their service with no meaningful alternatives, they're free to raise prices at will."

    Yes, that is what everyone has been warning about for years and why we want the communication monopolies torn down... Fucking leopards running loose out here eating faces and they still just kinda shrug and go "wish there was an alternative to letting all the leopards run free eating our faces".

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  • [–] 4 points 4 months ago (2 children)

    To be fair, if you've ever had to use HughesNet, a leopard eating your face is a welcome change of pace.

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  • [–] 25 points 4 months ago (6 children)

    I saw my first billboard advertising Starlink in Billings, MT today. They have avoided advertising in the past.

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  • [–] 23 points 4 months ago (4 children)

    Generally they haven't needed to. For most of the situations where Starlink really shines like rural connections, the alternatives are objectively a lot worse. And the other common situation is to avoid a regional monopoly which is still like 90% of the US.

    Starlink basically sells itself, even with Elon at the helm.

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  • [–] 21 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (3 children)

    Starlink will enshittify like all other non-PUD ISPs. This article shows that, and it's already begun to struggle with throughput and scaling it is becoming more and more of a challenge.

    There is one alternative that has been shown to be better than anything else: PUD projects which treat internet access as a utility and not something to make more and more money off of. The FCC has rural grants for ISPs that serve rural areas, but instead of exclusively funding PUD projects, they keep giving money to big for-profit ISPs (like Starlink).

    Starlink should be considered a band-aid and only something that you'd need when you were in a super rural area without other utilities. The solution is giving everyone with grid connections public fiber via PUDs.

    I know we don't live in a utopia where that will happen overnight, and we don't have an FCC that gives a shit. But the FCC should not be giving a trillionaire taxpayer dollars for a half-baked, polluting, wasteful service that will ultimately do the same rugpull that other private ISPs have done.

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  • [–] 10 points 4 months ago (1 child)
  • [–] 10 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

    Public utility district (although sometimes "people's utility district"). Used for utilities like water lines, sewer lines, and fiber. Typically the cost is paid by a group of neighbors, an entire neighborhood, or it can be county wide as well. Usually also subsidized by the county, state, or federal government to help reduce cost.

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  • [–] 3 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago)

    At my previous employer, we just used Starlink as a third backup circuit. There they'd be better suited for that and travel vs whole home internet.

    Fortunately rural fiber rollouts are happening very frequently now. The big ISPs don't want to miss out on the starlink money.

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  • [–] 24 points 4 months ago (3 children)

    “I can complain about Starlink raising their prices, but it’s the only genuine option we have,” former Nebraska state senator and Republican Julie Slama told the Washington Post last month. “Once they have rural customers on their service with no meaningful alternatives, they’re free to raise prices at will.”

    Should we pull up the record and see who voted to allow that to happen in Nebraska while on the subject?

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  • [–] 14 points 4 months ago* (2 children)

    "We only have the option to use this hyper expensive private satellite service... because we spent all of the wired rollout grants/funding on bullshit."

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  • [–] 9 points 4 months ago (1 child)

    because we spent all of the wired rollout grants/funding on bullshit.

    Oh, it's worse than that. The grant money was the wrong party color, so it had to be disposed of rather than lead to a positive outcome.

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  • [–] 22 points 4 months ago (5 children)

    The whole concept is rotten right from the start.

    SpaceX CEO Elon Musk maintains an extremely close relationship with Federal Communications Commission chair Brendan Carr.

    Under Carr's leadership, Musk's rocket company has effectively been given carte blanche in its efforts to roll out its orbital Starlink broadband service to more Americans, a glaring conflict of interest that could have profound implications for society.

    That's despite concerns over thousands or even millions of satellites cluttering our planet's already extremely busy orbit and the environmentally damaging rocket launches that send them up.

    And the space-based network is already starting to experience some major strains — as some experts have long predicted.

    "How can Europe compete with that?" I ask myself more and more often (also AI bubble/data centers). Hopefully in the long term.

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  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago (3 children)

    “How can Europe compete with that?” I ask myself more and more often (also AI bubble/data centers). Hopefully in the long term.

    The competition with Starlink is the Eutelsat Group with it's Oneweb satellite internet product. This is a French company. The founder was championing LEO satellite internet before SpaceX was in the game. Oneweb actually has the more preferred orbital slots and frequencies that SpaceX wanted. However SpaceX far outpaced Oneweb in technological growth as well as orbital constellation deployment.

    From a consumer point of view Oneweb is massively more expensive to subscribe to than Starlink. 100GB of Starlink data will cost you $55/month while the hardware will cost $300. 100GB of Oneweb will cost you $325/month with the cheapest hardware costing $3800.

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  • [–] 22 points 4 months ago (14 children)

    I have a neighbor who has access to 1gb cable and 1gb fiber from two ISP's. Both have high data caps. Instead he is rocking the starlink and I can't for the life of me figure out how he thinks that shit is somehow better than a hard link.

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  • [–] 6 points 4 months ago (13 children)

    I don't run starlink, but I run Starry (fixed point wireless) when AT&T and Spectrum are available because:

    1. I do networking for a living, including wireless (or technically my coworkers do). I know how this thing works and what it's limitations are
    2. I live in an area where it almost never rains, so little to no attenuation
    3. AT&T is on my banlist after shutting down my account for migrating to a 5G phone not on their approved list. Customer service didn't even let me transfer the sim back to the old 4G phone. The account termination was immediate. I ended up convincing customer service that I needed my phone number for emergency contact, and immediately transferred the number elsewhere upon it being restored.
    4. Spectrum routing is shit
    5. Wireless can be as good (or even better) than wired in ideal conditions (see 1), my current 1Gbps plan also only costs $20/month.
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  • [+] 3 points 4 months ago (2 children)
  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago (9 children)

    Starlink and your short hall wireless solution are not really in the same ball park. I'm sorry for your problems with ATandFee. I use them for 1gb fiber. It hasn't dropped once in the nine months or so I've had it. I had cable internet for 14 years before that. For ten of those years I was the sysadmin for the company. It was a local Four city cable company that finally sold out to a larger operation. We maintained a really high availability with most outages being upstream of our connections. We helped maintain several wireless bridges for commercial companies who were outside our service area and in heavy rain or even fog the signal would drop on a ten mile shot. The 60ghz short hall links also would also suffer from interference from weather on occasion.. No wireless connection is as stable as a fiber link. None of them and they never can be.

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  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (8 children)
    1. I agree LEO Sat is different from 60GHz. But the detrimental effects of wireless is completely overblown. People running into issues should just run a signal test first to make sure it's not their setup that's the problem.

    2. There is no such thing as weather in SoCal (other than that one week of continuous rain each year).

    3. If you are just looking at 4 9s or 3 9s latency while the link is not saturated, it's fine for general use (assuming my first bullet point holds). It's not like I'm running aws off of my home network.

    4. Even in the rain, the latency is mostly fine. It's usually just the minute it starts raining that the latency goes through the roof. My assumption is that it's sampling and adjusting the modulation/coding scheme.

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  • [–] 3 points 4 months ago (7 children)

    Let me tell you a little story about a 2008 Chevy truck. Around 2018 we had daily interference with our satellite receivers. It was a ongoing problem and we couldn't find anything wrong. We changed out LNB's and even the receivers. Ran temporary cable replacements on the ground. Finally someone noticed out outdoor wifi was going down at the same time as our other problems. We fired of a spectrum analyzer hooked to a tuned 5ghz dipole and nothing out of the ordinary. The next morning our CEO was calling cause fox news went out in the middle of his daily indoctrination and he was getting calls from his assholes buddies he golfed with were not getting their fix of manufactured outrage. We go to the headend and sure enough its out and the spectrum analyzer was showing a massive signal wider than the analyzer could display at once.

    We of course were dealing with the problem and didn't notice the twenty year old in one of our old trucks loading up what he needed to bury some drops that day. We also didn't notice as soon as he drove off that everything started working again. After a few minutes of getting our ass chewed when the CEO called and wanted to know what we did and we had done nothing, our operations guy called the kid in the chevy back for something unrelated. As soon as he drove up everything went tits up again and it dawned on us all it was that truck. We switched him to a different vehicle and parked that one. After replacing a number of parts the problem went away on the truck.

    It doesn't matter if its the weather or if it exists in you corner of the world. It can be anything cratering your signal. I've seen old lighting ballast interfere and all manner of electrical appliances. I know you can't be convinced because it hasn't happened to you yet but wireless is a poor poor substitute for a hard link.

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  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago (6 children)

    I've mentioned plenty of times under ideal conditions. If the condition is as you say (where there is known massive interference) I'd say that's a good indicator to either 1. figure out what the interference is and whether it's possible to mitigate it or 2. Switch to a hard link. This is very much the right tool for the right place problem.

    For a majority of users wireless is definitely sufficient and that they can tolerate a reasonable amount of disconnects/drops/latency spikes. I'm not saying for every scenario wireless is a good substitute, but it can definitely handle certain scenarios good enough for home users for a fraction of the cost.

    Besides, if I'm not having any major sources of interference now but somehow that develops later, that's no different than getting a congested link at peek hours, or a faulty switch somewhere along the path 2 years down the line. It's just another form of network disruption, those can develop in the same way in hard links.

    Side note: I've done work over ssh and webapps with a constant 200-500ms latency and periodic disconnects for prolonged (months) periods of time. It is absolutely usable though a bit slow. I've even played PvP in MMOs (SWTOR, ESO) with those network stats back in the day and still managed to do well enough. People overestimate the quality of Internet service they need all the time.

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  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago (5 children)

    Under ideal conditions or any conditions a wireless connection can never equal a hard link. End of story. You keep trying to convince me what you said had merit when Its clear I don't think it does. Unless you live in a dessert you are exposed to constant interference including congestion brought about by simply sharing that single link aka the wireless spectrum you operate at with everyone else nearby. Whereas If you have a fiber link back to the switch and the line isn't oversold you wont have congestion problem on your last mile. The last mile of your connection is shared with everyone whereas mine currently isn't being shared with anyone or more to the point I get what I pay for with little worry someone is gonna install a shitty appliance and start knocking my internet out.

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  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago (4 children)

    You're still missing my point. What type of application are you running at home that requires that level of SLA? If you are somehow running something that has that type of reliability/QoS constraints, how can you guarantee that your residential ISP with a fiber connection isn't oversubscribing the links, causing the same sorts of periodic service disruption outside of the end user's control?

    I see no reasonable situation where user experience for home applications would degrade over wireless any more than bgp policy misconfigurations or congested links would. Especially when Spectrum drops packets to NTT almost every Monday night.

    As a side note, high frequency trading uses shortwave instead of fiber for transferring data due to latency reasons. There is nothing saying wireless is always worse in latency than fiber. But that's no longer in the realm of home use, so I don't really think it matters.

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  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago (3 children)

    Why wouldn't I want my connection to be stable and reliable? I have a tunnel to work that is stable. I have ssh sessions that last until I restarted one side or the other.

    You keep moving around from one useless point to another. I'm making a basic statement about your statement about how a wireless connection is just as reliable and better than a hard link. Its not and its pretty obvious that it isn't. I don't use spectrum. Never have. Don't care if they don't know how to manage BGP. I know or at least I knew back when I was using it for a year to balance out two small connections to keep the plant I was responsible for from getting congested. It would probably take a week or two to get back into the groove on it.

    We took over half the households that ATandFee had in our service area in six years by doing it right. As bad as ATandFee's management is the techs and plant engineers are top notch. I know some of them and they know how to make it all work. They also know the places where they have the most trouble is where they have to rely on microwave links. They know and I know. Anyone who has maintained a wireless infrastructure knows it. As a result of the great uncongested speed provided by that cable plant ATandFee finally started putting in fiber in the area. It isn't oversubscribed and I know I'm getting what I'm paying for.

    My router logs all these things because I have no trouble setting it up and maintaining it. Its trivial for me. I know they haven't oversubscribed the line because I know how to test for it. I also know because of the throughput logs on my router. I know that my old ISP. The one that I ran the back end largely by myself for a decade learned not to oversubscribe. That when the QOS was just a little faster than they were paying for so all the speed tests went over the speed. I know because even though I went another direction after the buyout I maintained a professional relationship with them. I know the very next year after they took over they upgraded the whole plant by moving to node plus one and upgrading to docsis 3.1 All the subdivided areas upgraded expanded the return frequencies on the the HFC plant. I know just like I would know how stable and how much ingress there was on any wireless link I had. The two links I still have any dealings with have seen the ingress increase steadily over the past decade and there is no hope it is going to drop. I know because I've been a network guy since token ring was the thing.

    Who cares that traders use shortwave for trading. I bet that is some legacy shit right there.

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  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago* (2 children)
    1. I'm not moving around from one point to another. I am simply stating that a majority of home users do not need the reliability and operate off of larger tolerances. Reliability costs money. If you need it, good for you. But a majority of people (including those in tech) do not need it, otherwise we'd all be on infiniband and ditching Ethernet by now. There is nothing wrong with a wireless transport, beam forming tech has come a long way to minimize interference, and direct point to point wireless IS faster than underground fiber with no retransmissions.

    2. I've been in networking research for more than half a decade now, spanning from various forms of wireless (RFID, LoRA, wifi, 4G, 5G, etc) to wired Ethernet (1Gbps, 100Gbps, 800Gbps), at both the transport level and protocol level (Ethernet, IP, NDN, RoCE, TCP, QUIC, BGP). I've taught courses on how these things work. Before that, I was in IT networking for 4 years. From what we've seen, no matter how good you say they are, ISP and carrier operators inevitably screw it up on the configuration end (because they are human). BGP, NAT, 5G mobility are all a buggy mess because of this. When it comes to deploying new tech, corners are always cut and it comes back to bite people in the end. Wireless transport is fine, it's human error that plagues both wired and wireless tech.

    3. Shortwave for trading isn't some "legacy shit", it's where industry and research is headed in the last decade. Your dismissal of new technology and skills is indicative of what this argument has been about: you start from your conclusion and dismiss all evidence before you even think. Issuing blanket statements that are too broad in scope. Everything I said has been quantified with specific assumptions and conditions.

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  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago (1 child)

    You keep trying to convince me that because someone can make a mistake there is no difference between the two. You are not a network guy or you would accept just because someone occasionally fat fingers a table entry on BGP it doesn't brink a hard link down to the less reliable wireless links. Everything you have said is basically a amateurs view of it. I get it you like wireless and you don't think that wireless link you have is connected to any routers that use a hard link or BGP. I'm done I said earlier I couldn't convince you simply because you lack the experience to make such a statement.

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  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago*

    You are not a network guy or you would accept just because someone occasionally fat fingers a table entry on BGP it doesn't brink a hard link down to the less reliable wireless links.

    If it wasn't for me trying to keep my anonymity on the platform, I would love to give credentials for this. You refuse to see anything other than the densest approach with zero regard in proper networking theory, algorithmics, and beyond. YOU are not a networking guy, you are a cable install guy. You refuse to give any evidence other than ad-hoc experience, refusing to elaborate other than repeat the same thing over and over again, now claiming my "amateur understanding" as your defense. As soon as I mentioned BGP issues, your mind defaulted to "a guy making typos", not the difficulty of algorithmic verification for BGP or the implementation differences between different vendors hardware, or the different use of metrics between different ISPs. YOU are the amateur here, exhibited by your refusal to address any of my points heads on, and misconstruing my point of practical networking errors makes it similarly impossible of hitting certain SLAs on residential networks, regardless of wireless or not. The fact that it's wireless or not does not matter, you are NOT hitting 4 nines availability, you do NOT NEED 4 nines availability. And you are the one making strawman arguments claiming I don't know wireless going through BGP.

    Everything you said just re-enforces the problems of industry - move fast, break things, fix them never. No need to understand anything because "everything current just works and anything else is the spawn of Satan". It's people like you that IP is dead, nothing but TCP and UDP can make it across the Internet.

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