We talked about the possibility of an election, likelyhood and risk in another thread yesterday. With party and leader numbers like these... maybe it's more likely than I thought.
Sorry, you lost me at polls. Don't trust 'em. Don't believe in 'em. They are usually not an accurate reflection of larger society, regardless of how pure they want you to believe their sampling is. They do, however, generate huge discussions which result in clicks for money, so there's that.