[–] 1 point 8 hours ago*

That should be entertaining the Nazi Jew strikes back! 😜
Probably not for the Americans, judging by the election, most of them are finally sick enough of this shitshow to actually vote.

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  • [–] [S] 2 points 8 hours ago*

    Everything regarding Russia is sad, if they had reformed like most of eastern Europe, they could have been the biggest economy in Europe, and have strong influence through cooperation.
    Instead they and Putin chose an authoritarian regime, destruction and corruption, and now they are destroying themselves.

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  • [–] 2 points 9 hours ago

    There is also "some" institutional opposition today, in fact that opposition is increasing.

    Murdering politicians, journalists, bloggers, not allowing people to carry signs in public.

    That's business as usual in Russia. Also Gorbatjov was not removed because of "some opposition" it was a military coup that failed, leaving a void where Yeltsin who was popular at the time could swoop in and take the power.

    I would love for Russia’s cynical sheep to rise up

    I think you mentioned yourself that failing to pay military and police could create the necessary opportunity.

    i don’t give a shit precisely HOW russia crumbles

    I agree, the most important thing is that they do. But the second most important thing is that they do it in a way that restores stability relatively quickly, otherwise we will have problems with Russian crime syndicates and refugees for half a century.

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  • [–] 2 points 9 hours ago (2 children)

    Obviously Russia will never pay voluntarily, but EU has a lot of Russian assets frozen, and using the interest on that alone was enough to support Ukraine with 40 billion Euro for 2026.

    Also payments could be required to for instance lift sanctions. And the payments for purchase of oil and gas could go to Ukraine.
    There are many options.

    I think that’s exactly why the EU has done nothing with the ~$300B of frozen russian assets so far.

    No that was a technical legality and Belgium that wouldn't allow for legal reasons, and Belgium is holding the most of the assets. If/when Russia is sentenced to pay however, the legal circumstances will make it a lot easier to do legally.

    Otherwise, reconstruction costs will come directly from EU countries.

    Yes EU will surely help Ukraine rebuild, and my guess is the Ukrainian economy will grow very fast when this war is over.

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  • [–] 2 points 9 hours ago (3 children)

    Like, a HISTORIC mistake.

    Absolutely, this could result in the Russian federation falling apart completely. Traditionally there were good reasons for the regions to remain with Russia, with the regions supplying resources, and the federation supplying skilled workers, economy and "safety".

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_subjects_of_Russia

    The Russian federation is a massive collection of regions of different culture and ethnicity. There are lots of regions that could quickly focus on their traditional nationality with national borders, that can split away from the Russian federation.
    Even the poor regions leaving will weaken Russia, as that is where Russia is getting most of their soldiers.

    Some cities in the east are already controlled by China, and some only survive because of imported North Korean workers.
    So the structure is already now not as robust as it was before the war, and the economy of the regions is collapsing even faster than the federal economy, because the federal government is bleeding the regions to support the federal budget.

    Also this war will have detrimental economic effect on Russia for decades. There will be little help, and traditionally they never were very good at it themselves, in part because of incompetence, and in part because of corruption. And I don't expect they will receive a lot of outside help, unless they reform to a real democracy.

    Further, I think Russia is undergoing a Loooooooong collapse. Like the Ottoman Empire did

    Absolutely, and you could consider the fall of Soviet Union as the first part of that collapse. And this part will be even worse. When the Soviet Union collapsed there was actual hunger in the population among for instance pensioners that didn't receive pensions. This will very likely happen again. It may even already be happening. Allegedly you can't live off a pension alone with the inflation there has been, and pensions have not increased, because the budgets are too strained for it. Compared to that, the Ukrainian economy is doing way better.

    Russia should be rich and prosperous.

    Exactly, if Putin had chosen democracy and peace with Europe, and worked on cooperating instead of trying to undermine us, Russia could very likely have been the most significant economy in Europe, surpassing even Germany. Instead Putin wanted "his" empire back. And chose to fight with everybody around him he made huge profits on?! They could also have served as a huge trade middleman between Europe and China. The possibilities were enormous, but now 30 years of progress has been wasted instead!

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  • [–] 1 point 9 hours ago

    given those options, wouldn’t you rather go into Ukrainian custody?

    Absolutely, but the Russian soldiers are massively indoctrinated about how Ukraine Starve and torture their prisoners, exactly to prevent that. So the average Russian soldier is fighting something they consider worse than death. We also see Russian soldiers commit suicide rather than surrender!

    there is still a lot of them that fight to the death.

    Because they believe the alternative is worse.

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  • [–] 2 points 10 hours ago (2 children)

    I agree. People misunderstand his power base - he is the avatar of the real power in russia

    I disagree, it has happened twice already in Russia, the Russian population is not alien to overthrow a leader.

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