Taylor Rehmet, a Democrat and local union leader, won a runoff for a state Senate seat that’s been held by Republicans since 1992. What’s more, he bested the Republican Leigh Wambsganss despite having one-tenth as much money. Much of Wambsganss’s funding came from Dunn and the Wilks brothers.
Here's the DNC chair talking about it two weeks ago:
https://youtu.be/J9Nk7RcZh7k?t=46
We're not "over performing" this is the natural result of undoing the damage of 30 years of neoliberalism and especially the "victory fund". Up until a year ago the goal of the party wasn't "as many seats as possible" it was just to have a neoliberal president and at most House or Senate, but never both.
It's like going from a pitcher who wants to win but not cover the spread, to one who just wants to win by as many runs as possible.
Dems aren't intentionally holding themselves back, so we're going to keep seeing massive gains.

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