The title is a bit misleading, as the article lists diverging analysts' opinions, ranging from Valve willing to sell at a loss or low margins, to high prices due to RAM and SSD price volatility.

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[–] 49 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (11 children)

I’m calling $700 US price. Valve’s the only company that can get into the console space with console prices since the real revenue source is the game store they run.

Edit: I slept on it and decided $750 is a safer bet, at least on the base model

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  • [–] 24 points 11 months ago (7 children)

    The problem is that it makes less sense for them to sell at a loss than for example Xbox or Sony. It's just a capable PC, corporations could buy hundreds or thousands and they wouldn't make a cent off of game sales.

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  • [–] 15 points 11 months ago (1 child)

    It's not impossible, however, have you seen what corporations buy for their employees? Saving on upfront cost isn't really part of the equation, it just has to say "dell" and/or "workstation" on it. A large company values long-term support and supply way more than what they'd save by getting a gaming machine.

    And besides all that, it's not like the best selling console of all time didn't make money because a (objectively large) minority of owners only used it as a DVD player.

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  • [–] 7 points 11 months ago (1 child)

    I don’t think most corporations would be interested in buying a computer that doesn’t include a windows license. Unless they intend to use it for like… server stuff, but they’d be way better off buying like… actual server hardware… if only for the operating cost.

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  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago

    Even as a Linux desktop it would mostly just be interesting for devs and people doing relatively lightweight 3D design work (especially because it will take a while before other distros support it), I don't see it competing against regular desktops.

    Any company who depend on their employees having a decent GPU will likely want to be able to upgrade/reconfigure new orders at will, and will prefer a tower, and they will prefer the quick repairability of a tower. Those who don't are increasingly ok with using mini PCs.

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  • [–] 3 points 11 months ago (2 children)

    Valve sells direct to consumer, not via retail.

    They're not gonna knowingly do a B2B sale.

    A business that wanted to swipe them all would have to create or hire a scalper network of seemingly unafilliated buyers, and I am guessing this would be outside of the capability/risk tolerance level of ... basically everyone right now, as the economy is imploding Hard.

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  • [–] 1 point 11 months ago (1 child)

    You'd be surprised what a small team at a large corporation will do if it lets them complete a project within budget. The PlayStation 3 originally allowed users to install custom operating systems. A lot of groups, even the US military, bought thousands of them because they were inexpensive computers (sold at a loss) and used them for compute projects. Sony eventually stripped out the functionality in an update, presumably because they wanted to cut out this type of buyer.

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  • [–] 1 point 11 months ago

    I mean, I wouldn't be surprised, I've worked at both functional and dysfunctional large corporations, either themselves tech corps or in the tech wing/department of other large orgs.

    The PS3 is yes, a great example of making a versatile product that can appeal to many uh, kinds of markets, market demos.

    What I am saying is that Valve is probably the most strategically competent tech company in existence, at least in the US, and that they would not willingly allow themselves to be tricked, at the level of long term, big boy corporate strategy.

    They are the people who tend to set traps, not walk into them.

    You're talking to an ex-Corpo, lol.

    Nonetheless, yes, the PS3 is a great example of what you can do with a product, but I'm trying to analyze the uh, 12D chess or whatever, the actual strategic conditions of the situation that would dictate whether or not it actually makes sense for Valve to do something similar with the Steam Machine.

    Right now, no, it does not.

    Valves whole thing is basically effectively stealing PC and Xbox gaming away from Microsoft.

    It would be silly of them to allow their own tactics to be used against them in an unforced error.

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  • [–] 36 points 11 months ago

    It’s likely in everybody’s best interest that this is a wild success. Not only will game developers be incentivized to actually optimize their games for reasonable setups; this will unseat Nvidia’s monopoly over gamers with their ridiculously overpriced graphics cards and also Microsoft’s monopoly of a gamer’s operating system.

    Nvidia’s partnership with Palantir is incredibly concerning and any blow to Nvidia is a welcome one. Encourage these developments and hype this all up.

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  • [–] 24 points 11 months ago (8 children)

    Moore's Law Is Dead thinks that Valve basically got a bargain bin deal from AMD, who had a bunch of chips they thought were going to be used in a MSFT tablet, but that tablet got cancelled.

    So, Valve did some scrapyard engineering, and got a discount on these things that were otherwise never going to be used for anything.

    He estimates a total cost to produce of $425, estimates MSRP between $450 to $600, depending on just how hard Valve wants to fuck MSFT with their own leftovers.

    https://youtube.com/watch?v=sJI3qTb2ze8

    If this ends up being remotely accurate, it would be basically a corporate demolition of Shakespearian quality.

    Gabe... Gabe was once a MSFT employee, you see.

    A disgruntled former MSFT employee, you might say.

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  • [–] 9 points 11 months ago (1 child)

    Rumors is that the original Zen CPU SoC in the Steam Deck was also the leftovers from another canceled project by "a major OEM", so it's plausible. Sounds like Microsoft planned a handheld Xbox much earlier, which years after the Deck turned into the ROG collaboration, could have been related

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  • [–] 5 points 11 months ago (5 children)
  • [–] 11 points 11 months ago* (4 children)

    Yes.

    Sorry, its either/both their stock ticker, a fairly common way they refer to themselves internally.

    I too used to work for Microsoft.

    Wooo boy, being one of two people trying to make the multi hundred, maybe over a thousand node, call center / support tree node system work correctly, for the 360, during the 'red ring of death' (3RR was the code we used for 'you are absolutely fucked')... yeah that was fun.

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  • [–] 3 points 11 months ago (3 children)

    That sounds interesting. Would you mind sharing a bit more of your experience, if you're not bound by an NDA?

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  • [–] 6 points 11 months ago* (2 children)

    I have before in other comments in other threads... but I am about to pass out, and being on mobile with a shit tier phone makes searching my own comment history somewhat cumbersome.

    Uh... reply to this in 10 hrs and I will probably be awake and find those old comments?

    (Also, its been a while since I worked for them, but even if I was bound by an NDA, I wouldn't give a fuck, I didn't do anything that important, really. Just another V Dash amongst many.)

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  • [–] 3 points 11 months ago (1 child)

    Thank you for taking the time to reply despite your situation. I'll try to remember to ping you tomorrow, but don't feel obligated.

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  • [–] 3 points 11 months ago*

    Ok, I found one of my longer comments on 'being an ex corpo from MSFT'.

    I think the original post topic was basically about how the Windows kernel is now such a mess that MSFT can't actually understand it.

    Stunning 10/10 Glassdoor Review from Happiest Former Tech Worker On Earth

    I used to do V Dash contracts for MSFT.

    I knew that the Xbox 360 3RR, red ring of death problem... was so bad, that it actually would have been more cost effective for MSFT to give each buyer two 360s, instead of one, at the same price, because of how mismanaged the RMA process was... I knew a whole bunch of such details a almost a decade before the documentary on it came out.

    Yay NDAs.

    ...

    I was also there during the Windows 8 rollout.

    Shut down basically everything for a month, because MSFT 'dogfoods' all their software: Every MSFT worker is beta/alpha testing all MSFT software all the time.

    We spent weeks just, unable to have more than 3 windows open at a time, half the tools we used on a daily basis just not working.

    We asked them to let us go back to 7, asked them if therr was some way to return to a 7 like GUI.

    For weeks they said nope, impossible, Win 8 is an entirely new GUI, totally new OS, the Win 7 GUI isn't there.

    Oh then uh, weeks later, yeah, yeah it actually is there, you just have to follow this arcane override proceduren to see and use it.

    ... And then they just relented, put the non tablet UI fully back in, and called that Windows 8.1.

    ...

    Windows is now layers upon layers upon decades of insane spaghetti code.

    Even in Win 10, which was the last version I ever used... there are like 3 or 4 different eras of UI, for various settings menus, which people sometimes need to actually use... but they are considered legacy and thus not important.

    Sometimes some newer era UI menus will have some of the options from some of the more buried stuff, but not all of them.

    It is a gigantic fucking mess.

    I guess I should clarify that I did sign an NDA, and back then, contemporaneous, when I was still trying to work at MSFT, I obviously gave a shit abiut it.

    Now, now its like a decade later, I don't like, still have a copy of it, and I also don't fucking care.

    I worked in the tech industry, now I despise almost all of it with a burning passion, left it entirely some years back.

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  • [–] 19 points 11 months ago (2 children)

    no way this thing costs more than 800

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  • [–] 53 points 11 months ago (7 children)

    They can't sell this at a loss, or at least it would be incredibly risky. This is (intentionally) "just a PC". It ships with SteamOS but you can of course install whatever you want, including windows. If it is (much) cheaper than a roughly equivalent normal PC, companies might just start buying them in bulk but obviously not generating the supporting sales needed.

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  • [–] 27 points 11 months ago (3 children)

    I heard at one point in time the fastest super computer in the world was a cluster of 900 ps3. It was cheaper then buying a single computer and in the beginning of the ps3 era you could easily format and run Linux on them.

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  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago (2 children)

    I certainly remember PS2 consoles being used like that. The cell processor was impressive.

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  • [–] 1 point 11 months ago

    I ran ps2 Linux as my "desktop" for 6 months or so back in the day. It wasn't capable of much compared to a general purpose computer at the time. Videos only played at almost full speed if you ran em in fbdev from a vterm with nothing else running. There was so little ram that using kde1 would run you into slow motion computing because of all the swapping. Window maker was ok, but running much of anything inside it would eat through that 32 megs of ram pretty quickly (I spent most of my time in vterms).

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  • [–] 3 points 11 months ago

    I don't think companies would be able to buy them in bulk, at least not directly.

    Valve sells direct to consumer, no retail in the middle, they have their own online storefront (duh).

    They're not going to do a B2B mass order.

    If a business wanted to try and stockpile them, for whatever reason, to turn into their own thing... or, to try to cause a price panic / supply shortage...

    ... they'd have to use/create basically a scalper network of essentially unaffiliated people.

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  • [–] 26 points 11 months ago (2 children)

    The article i saw a few days ago specifically mentioned that they didn't really talk about the price but when asked if it would cost more than the ps5 pro they didnt really say no and only offered that it will be priced accordingly to the hardware used to make it. To me, that most likely means it's going to cost around $1k. The absolute max is would ever be willing to pay is like $600. I have no doubt it will sell, but at that $1k price, they will severely limit the group of people that will be buying it. Honestly, if that is the cost, they should be shying away from even associating it as a console and just market it as a PC due to how people think.

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  • [–] 13 points 11 months ago (4 children)

    As long as it doesn't run Win11

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  • [–] 3 points 11 months ago (3 children)

    I'm sure it will be able to, but it will come pre-installed with steamOS (arch btw).

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  • [–] 1 point 11 months ago (2 children)

    If you install windows don't you lose FEX? You'd probably have to run it as a virtual machine so you were still getting x86 instruction code translation. But it'll be able to run Windows applications via wine anyway so there isn't a great deal of point.

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  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago (1 child)

    I think you got a bit confused.... FEX is used in the steam frame (VR headset) because it uses an ARM processor to save battery. The steam machine uses a normal x64 CPU and appears to be using some relatively standard pc hardware, so no compatibility layers are needed for windows (only drivers are needed) I doubt you'll be able to install windows on the steam frame though, for the reason you say (arm compatibility is a mess).

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  • [–] 13 points 11 months ago (1 child)

    Higher RAM price is irrelevant as it acts on the whole market, it's not a disadvantage specific to the Steam Machine

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  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago

    It may act on the whole market, but it doesn't have the same impact on every OEM.

    It's a bigger issue for Valve than the console competition, who have established supply chains potentially with fixed prices for certain terms or at least more significant volume discounts, and proprietary compatibility hurdles binding their customers, so they can sell hardware at a loss if they want to.

    If Valve sells the computers at a loss they run the risk of people buying them for other uses, without generating corresponding Steam profits.

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  • [–] 10 points 11 months ago (2 children)

    No way in hell. For $1,000 I'll just build one myself.

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  • [–] 3 points 11 months ago (1 child)

    Which is why all these analyses are stupid. We don't need to do anything anywhere near as complicated as looking to market interactions and equivalent cost pricing. Because it's obvious that at $1,000 it'll flop and presumably valve know that.

    I like the theory that they got the CPU and GPU at bargain basement prices because it was left over from some previously scrapped project of Microsoft or something. That would explain why it's such a weird architecture.

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  • [+] 0 points 11 months ago (1 child)
  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago*

    Not as in physically leftover chips. The rumour is that Microsoft or some other company but probably Microsoft we're looking at making a gaming phone or something so they needed a powerful APU that was power efficient and didn't generate a lot of heat. So AMD went through the whole designing process with them only for Microsoft to decide at the last minute to pull out.

    Very few chips wherever actually made, but AMD still had to eat to the cost of the design process, so they were casting around looking for someone who wanted the chips so they could make their money back. Somehow Valve found out about this said to AMD that if they turned it into a CPU (because they wanted a laptop GPU not a mobile GPU) and made some other tweaks, they'd put in an order for tens of thousands. So that's what AMD did. It's unclear if they got a deal on the GPUs or not, whether or not they did will have a big impact on pricing.

    This would explain why it's a mobile CPU, as there's very little reason you would go that route unless that was your primary constraint. So the theory is that they had a CPU and they had to build a computer around that. Which would mean that the Steam Machine was probably never actually going to exist, and we would have just had the VR headset and the controller.

    If this is true then this would have all happened around 2021 so the run will be basically complete now, but valve can still putting orders for more if pre-orders exceed expected values.

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  • [–] 19 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (5 children)

    I'm not in the market for the GabeCube but if I were, I'd find a price point of $500-$600 attractive, given it's mostly just laptop tier hardware. I would prefer it over the current gen of consoles, although I don't know if there's gonna be the same level of optimisations for games on this as there is on consoles (most likely not really). It'll be a ripper emulation box, though.

    Upgradability would've been nice, too. Soldered in RAM is ok for a hand-held device but for this? Nah mate....

    Edit: The RAM isn't soldered, it uses standard SODIMMs.

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  • [–] 13 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (3 children)
  • [–] 3 points 11 months ago (2 children)

    Oh that's cool, didn't see that. I have no idea why Valve didn't mention that in their reveal, that's a huge advantage over consoles.

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  • [+] -1 points 11 months ago (2 children)
  • [–] 1 point 11 months ago* (1 child)

    There's plenty of games today that use more than 16GB of system RAM on their highest settings and that's only gonna become more common in the future... Besides, with this being literally a Linux PC, there's more ways it could make use of the extra RAM than just games.

    I don't know what you're on about, mate.

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  • [–] 18 points 11 months ago* (8 children)

    At $1,000 that'd be a hard pass for me even though I love Valve, I could easily build something better for less. I seriously doubt that'll be the price too, it'll probably around $600-800.

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  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago (6 children)

    Could you really build something better for less? Not to mention all that plus OS install and stuff is already done so most people will prefer that I think.

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  • [–] 1 point 11 months ago* (2 children)

    Less than $1,000? Yes, why not? We'll see what the price actually is, but I doubt it'll be anywhere near that high. Valve was pretty smart about sourcing their parts for low cost and decent performance. I wouldn't be surprised if it were closer to $500 even.

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  • [–] 0 points 11 months ago

    For me it’s either this or Framework Desktop, I’ve got the money, just waiting for the email from Valve telling the final price.

    Steam Machine is better for gaming, which is nice

    But Framework can do Mac levels of AI work, which is also nice, it’s also not completely useless for games.

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  • [+] 12 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (3 children)
  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago* (2 children)

    FYI The Windows License is more like $20-$40. The OEM Version costs $40 retail and MSI has probably a better deal. That's how Microsoft got Windows on nearly every prebuilt PC since the mid 90ies.

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  • [–] 6 points 11 months ago

    Dude the switch 2 is $500. Having a general purpose computer that hooks just as easily to your TV as a gaming console for double that price is perfectly fine IMO.

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  • [–] 10 points 11 months ago (9 children)

    If this post is intended as discussion material; No, not as long that I have my stationary computer that fills my gaming needs.

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  • [–] 8 points 11 months ago (8 children)

    I guess if you have a stationary computer that fills your gaming needs you really aren't the target group regardless of the price.

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  • [+] -20 points 11 months ago* (6 children)

    Who is?

    There is zero market for an underpowered "PC" console with less VRAM than literally every other current console including switch 2 that is gimped from half of PC games by Linux.

    This thing just does not make any sense

    Unless they reveal a huge list of exclusives, this is dead in the water.

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  • [–] 18 points 11 months ago* (1 child)

    Who is?

    My ex wife for one, who would like to play Steam games but is not experienced enough to build and fiddle with a gaming PC, much less Linux, and just wants a box she can just plug in and turn on without calling all the IT folks in her family.

    Don't forget about our nerd bias. Most people here have a different perspective than 95% of normies. Remember how clueless the average person is about the inner workings of modern tech.

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  • [–] 4 points 11 months ago

    Half the posts I see on lemmy about this are incredibly out of touch with mainstream gamers and consumers and I’m getting second hand embarrassment from it.

    Most people do not want to tinker with their shit at all, and the proportion of people that care about display port vs hdmi is probably about the same they want exactly what you said, ease of a console with the nimble power of a PC. This is exactly that

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  • [–] 17 points 11 months ago

    There is zero market for an underpowered "PC" console with less VRAM than literally every other current console including switch 2

    The Switch 2 only has 12 GB of LPDDR5X shared memory between CPU/GPU. 3 GB are reserved for the system, that leaves you with about 9 GB shared between CPU and GPU.

    The Steam Machine uses GDDR6 and has 8 GB of dedicated VRAM.

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  • [–] 13 points 11 months ago

    Of course there is. I would much rather have this than a gaming console. Don't have to re buy any game and all the benefits of the PC library of games. Perfect for couch gaming and possibly doubling as a media device.

    The list of exclusives you refer to is literally PC games, a library massively larger than any console on the market.

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  • [–] 11 points 11 months ago (18 children)

    I'm ready, but Amd is not. I want 4k 120hz on my TV via Amd videocard. But this stupid hdmi forum is blocking this.

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  • [–] 12 points 11 months ago (8 children)

    Displayport to HDMI 2.1 adapter?

    Regardless, fuck HDMI

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  • [–] 3 points 11 months ago (7 children)
  • [–] 6 points 11 months ago (4 children)

    I have one working from cablematters. It's slightly finicky (maybe driver issues) but supports HDR, vrr, and 4k@120hz.

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  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago (3 children)

    Could you sent me the exact product?

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  • [–] 3 points 11 months ago* (2 children)

    CableMatters 102101

    And on Amazon; don't think it's widely available anywhere else, unfortunately.

    Ignore any commentary about Windows support, because unless something has changed recently, it has poor support on Windows and is missing most features. I have heard mixed things about whether it only supports Freesync on Linux rather than Freesync or VRR. Since my TV supports both and there doesn't appear to be a way to reliably differentiate between the two, I can't confirm either way.

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  • [–] 1 point 11 months ago (1 child)

    I found it here as well in a local Amazon store luckily: https://www.amazon.nl/Cable-Matters-Unidirectionele-8K-kabeladapter-ondersteuning/dp/B08XFSLWQF

    Thanks! I ordered it right away and will test it soon on my TV. I will also first check for firmware updates, since people saying to do first a firmware update.

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  • [–] 1 point 11 months ago

    since people saying to do first a firmware update.

    I'd probably test it out first as it may already have newer firmware, and it gives you a baseline if anything gets better (or worse) after the update. I'll add that Plasma 6 had the best support last time I checked, so test that if you have issues.

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  • [–] 5 points 11 months ago (6 children)

    It has display port as well, for the picky

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  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago (3 children)

    Sure, but most TVs don't, which is the main issue with wanting to connect any Linux AMD build to a TV

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  • [–] 1 point 11 months ago (2 children)
  • [+] 0 points 11 months ago (2 children)
  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago (1 child)

    Its HDMI forum issue. Because AMD want to implement in their Linux drivers (which are open-source). But HDMI forum do not want them to become open source, see related issue: https://gitlab.freedesktop.org/drm/amd/-/issues/1417

    In fact, AMD already invested several months in fully testing and developing 4k 120Hz. Its possible, but the HDMI forum people are blocking this, because the HDMI forum has the latest saying.. Its all about money this world. And the HDMI forum is evil.

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    [–] 4 points 11 months ago

    Whatever the price, I most likely will buy it.

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  • [–] 9 points 11 months ago

    It has a midrange graphics card, it can't cost more than 5 or 6 hundred

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