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[–] -4 points 11 months ago (2 children)

When talking orders of magnitude in size, it's not an unreasonable comparison. The number of Canadians detained is peanuts compared to the number actively down there.

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  • [–] 7 points 11 months ago (1 child)

    We don't know that until we know how many have actually crossed the border in 2025.

    There have been constant reports of massive reductions in tourism in the US, it is not unreasonable to expect that Canadian tourism have reduced by a lot, meaning that it will affect the detained rate by quite a lot.

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  • [–] 6 points 11 months ago

    If travel dropped by an order of magnitude, and 3.9 million Canadians traveled to the USA, that's 200 people in 3,900,000, a bit less than 1 in 19,000. On a national scale that's obviously a concerning number, but on an individual scale, I'm not sure personal exposure to that risk will change all that many people's decisions. Those who it does change likely perceive themselves at higher risk than the average Canadian.

    That's assuming it's a good estimate, but I suspect from numbers I've seen on flight traffic drops, this is an overestimate; likely more Canadians traveled to the USA, and so the individual risk is even lower.

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