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[–] 78 points 11 months ago (23 children)

unfortunately this is mostly an instance of https://xkcd.com/1102/

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  • [–] 13 points 11 months ago (18 children)

    I'm as happy about this news as the next tech enthusiast, but bluntly, it's not a big shift. Going from ... What? 5% to 6%? That's great and all but it's hardly moving the needle.

    If we want a significant shift we need OEMs selling prebuilt PCs with some flavor of Linux pre-installed, that's as easy to use as the competition (Windows/mac) with compatibility that's both good enough and transparent enough that people don't need to think about it much.

    Before we get Linux OEM PCs on store shelves, we need to figure out that last bit first.

    That still hasn't happened yet. We can't even agree what window manager should be used, nevermind any of the dozen or so other critical services on the system...

    The thing that makes Linux great is that anyone and everyone can, and does, make stuff for it. That's also the thing that's going to hold it back from being put on store shelves pre installed on prebuilt PCs.

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  • [–] 10 points 11 months ago (8 children)

    If you look at the commercially successful variants of Linux (ChromeOS and Android), you'll see that taking away freedom/choice was the first thing they did.

    And ultimately, if you are targeting the mass market, that's almost required.

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  • [–] 6 points 11 months ago (6 children)
  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago*

    Successful compared to what? I don't have data, but I'd venture to say that it's the most popular desktop Linux distro.

    It's a bit past its peak, but in 2023 it had 7% market share in the quite lucrative North American market. That's not nothing. In North America, all other Linux distros combined just overtook ChromeOS this year. World-wide it was last year.

    There's also no other Linux distro that comes pre-installed on devices from different manufacturers (at least none that I know of).

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  • [–] 1 point 11 months ago (4 children)

    Yes. By the porn stats, Linux already crushes ChromeOs. Let's not take any advice from it.

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  • [–] 0 points 11 months ago (3 children)

    Well, all Linux distros combined are more than ChromeOS. If you split up by distro, ChromeOS is still the top Linux distro by far.

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  • [–] 1 point 11 months ago (2 children)

    Interesting. I would have guessed that Mint gave ChromeOS a run for it's money, by now.

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  • [–] 3 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (1 child)

    Really difficult to actually get good numbers here since there's a ton of sampling bias and user agent strings (which are used for most of these market share detectors) don't capture Linux distros apart from ChromeOS.

    But we can combine sources to get somewhere.

    The Steam Hardware and Software Survey doesn't include any data on ChromeOS, because there's no Steam on ChromeOS, but it says that there's a total market share for Linux of 3.2% with the most common Linux Distro being Arch with a market share of 0.32% (probably due to the Steam Deck), followed by Mint with 0.24%.

    So double the maket share to get roughly to the 6.3% total Linux maket share from PH, and we get Arch with 0.64% and Mint with 0.48%, which is both much much lower than the 2.4% of ChromeOS on PH.

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  • [–] 4 points 11 months ago (3 children)

    If we want a significant shift we need OEMs selling prebuilt PCs with some flavor of Linux pre-installed, that's as easy to use as the competition (Windows/mac) with compatibility that's both good enough and transparent enough that people don't need to think about it much.

    Boy have I got news for you

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  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago (2 children)

    This probably won't be showing up on shelves at best buy along side computers from the likes of Dell, HP, and Lenovo. I kind of expect it to show up next to the Xbox, PlayStation, and switch, if it shows up at all.

    Also, steamOS is not exactly a desktop operating system right out of the gate, is entirely gaming focused. Yeah, you can use it for those things, but that's not the focus of the device/OS.

    I'm not sure Grandma and Grandpa would want a steam machine as a replacement for their aging Windows 7 home computer.

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  • [–] 3 points 11 months ago

    I'm not sure Grandma and Grandpa would want a steam machine as a replacement for their aging Windows 7 home computer.

    Fair. But for my gram, it would have been a slam dunk day one buy. She loved her playstation and only tolerated her PC. She would have called a Steam Machine "my game console that can check email" and would have adored it.

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  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago

    why not?? best buy sells steam decks and the ROG ally.... costco sells garbage pre-builts, there is no reason the gabecube shouldn't find retail shelf space, especially since xbox seems intent on exiting the console market.

    the fact that it's a linux box is only appealing to nerds, how may ppl actually ran linux on the ps3?? hint: a lot less people than were upset when sony took it away lol. gabecube being a pc is a bonus feature, will it be a big enough bonus feature to drive sales like bundling your fist dvd or bluray player?? probably not.... but it will be enough to maybe sway a few people sitting on the fence?? maybe!

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  • [–] 2 points 10 months ago (3 children)
  • [–] 1 point 10 months ago (2 children)

    And I can buy this configuration off of a shelf at best buy?

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  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago)

    So honest question, what is everyone's hopes with the increase in Linux desktop use?

    Like when I think about it the only thing I really care about is that I have decent hardware/driver support and holdouts for anti-cheat give up on requiring other operating systems (mostly so that my wife and eldest child stop complaining that I can't play Fortnite with them) as well as other random stuff that flat-out blocks use with Linux and requires either extra configuration or to keep a spare computer around with Windows.

    Basically I hope that Linux can be where MacOS was about a decade ago, a second platform that vendors are aware of and will put in some amount of effort in to support (and will be clear about limitations/lack of support otherwise) and it won't be as weird to employers or schools if you have a preference for the platform

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  • [–] 2 points 11 months ago (1 child)

    Yeah, I wish they'd made the second graph show percentage point difference instead of percentage growth.

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  • [–] 0 points 11 months ago

    You can get a good approximation, multiply the pie graph percentages by a plausible population of PornHub users, get plausible numbers for each group, use those numbers to work out plausible numbers for the second graph

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