A cursory glance at Fedidb says its probably around 50k.
I'd bet most users are lurkers.
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In addition to Fedidb, there's also Fediverse Observer's statistics page: https://lemmy.fediverse.observer/stats
When I have seen the numbers, it always surprised me how varied the patterns are in reality. We tend to think in tribalistic terms. Like all other users follow a similar pattern as self, but that tends to be very wrong. The majority of users are usually not the daily routine type but the once or twice a week, and once or twice a month types.
Intuitively, if you notice the way post responses tend to be somewhat random and unpredictable in terms of voting and replies, this viewership pattern covers that probability. Watch places like reddit in the good times of the past when a repost is made at a time of day that should encompass a fresh audience. The initial momentum from vote responses is often very different. It results in entirely different trajectories overall. Could be other factors there. I have seen similar here, but at much smaller differentials.
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What are the requirements to be considered active?
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More than four
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