Artificial intelligence was not developed to usher in a dystopia, in fact it had a rather utopic mission. By further automating mundane tasks, AI has the potential to ease the workload of millions of workers worldwide in every job and field, potentially giving them back their precious time of the day without sacrificing overall productivity.

Yeah, good luck with that.

In reality, everyone gets fired, the rich get richertge poor get poorer and 99.9% of humans will live in a dystopia, if AI doesn't kill us all.

Yet the AI bros go like "that won't happen to ME though!"

Oh he means a dystopia that is even worse than the one we are in now. 😬

We are already living in the worst timeline I am sure it will continue to turn to shit.

AI boosters and doomers fundamentally believe the same thing.

They collectively agree that AI will be Great and Awesome, in the old sense of the words. In their minds they are building God and so it can bring about either utopia or dystopia, because it is so Great and Awesome that all hitherto history will cease to matter and the godmachine will recreate the world in its image.

Yeah, well Google Execs also assured me that email would be replaced by Google Wave which has very good integration with the future of social media: Google Plus.

So…. What’s the plan for the next 18 months?

So the US will enter not the rest of the world Jesus the arrogance when us media talks like every country = US.

Only 15 years? That's pretty good.

so the current dystopia doesn’t count?

Rich, coming from someone responsible for it.

It will be a cakewalk compared to the thousands of years of climate dystopia.

I really don’t believe

“You cannot regulate the design of a hammer so that it can drive nails but not kill anyone, but you can criminalize the killing of a human by a hammer,” Gawdat said.

God I hate managers who think they're so deep 🙄

While I do agree with a lot of the points made in the article, most of them seem rather basic stuff that everybody has been talking about since AI has started to rise. The tool isn't necessarily the problem, it's the capitalist incentives for which it is created and used that drive us further towards dystopia. I found it rather funny to read a former exec criticizing capitalism. I wonder what he's up to now?

Also, both the year 2027 and the timespan of 15 years seem confidently pulled out of his backside :).

LLMs won't get smarter in the next 10 years, but they will rapidly outpace humans.

There's only 2 proposed problems in the article as far as I can tell. They're not novel ideas, and the author brings no new evidence:

1. "AI"’s disruption of the labor market.
2. "AI" as magnifier of existing problems: fake news, scamming, military applications, domestic surveillance.

2/10 would not recommend the article

AI is going to be a good scapegoat as to why the current asset focused economy crashes when nobody can afford to buy the assets because they've exploited themselves to oblivion. We're already going into a complete structural breakdown because the structure itself is already deranged. Trying to extrapolate how AI is going to decouple productive value further in a system where assets already are skyrocketing and wages are stagnant is foolish in my opinion. It's already decoupled and barreling down the track with no brakes. It's like blaming air BnBs for housing prices. Stupid and reductive.

I don't think it was made to usher in utopia, but dystopian nightmare seems likely.

Doubt