Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, a former state representative, is projected to win the race for governor of Alaska, making him the state’s first Democratic leader in more than two decades, the Associated Press reported.

But Kreiss-Tomkins’ victory isn’t just significant as a partisan shift in the Last Frontier. His win could also help ensure fair certification of the state’s contentious U.S. Senate race.

Ballots are still being tallied, with Democratic challenger Mary Peltola leading incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) by 5,800 votes as of Friday afternoon. But the state’s current Republican governor, Mike Dunleavy, has refused to commit to signing off on certification of the race if Peltola wins.

That’s where Kreiss-Tomkins’ victory could come in.

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[–] 79 points 8 hours ago (1 child)

the state’s current Republican governor, Mike Dunleavy, has refused to commit to signing off on certification of the race if Peltola wins

Still refusing to do the job he's about to lose anyway

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  • [–] 5 points 2 hours ago

    Votehub is calling AK Senate for Peltola too.

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  • [–] 4 points 7 hours ago* (5 children)

    projected to win the race for governor of Alaska

    Headline says:

    Democrat wins Alaska governor race,

    So which is it?

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  • [–] 29 points 7 hours ago (3 children)

    It's technically projected as it's mathematically possible for him to lose. The AP is pretty careful about calling races though; if the AP calls a race with 96% of votes counted, they're probably right.

    Kreiss-Tomkins has 50.8% of the vote. If he fell under 50%, the instant runoff process would be used. The other three candidates are Republicans, and it's almost certain most of the second choice votes for them are other Republicans.

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  • [–] 6 points 7 hours ago* (1 child)

    with 96% of votes counted

    Thanks, that's a very crucial detail that wasn't immediately obvious. I have to admit the self contradictory wording already within a few sentences of the article, made me not want to read the rest of the article.
    But cool if the Democrat wins. 👍 😀 😎

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  • [–] 14 points 7 hours ago

    He has held a large lead since early in the counting process, but it's closer than it looks because it's a ranked choice process and the other three candidates are Republicans.

    Alaska has a lot of late-counted mail ballots due to its geography. Those tend to favor Democrats.

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  • [–] 8 points 7 hours ago

    Almost none of the races are officially determined yet, the newspapers look at the incoming results and project who is going to win.

    If someone is winning with 95% of the vote, and the only places that are still counting are democrat leaning districts, well...

    Often the opposing party concedes at that stage.

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