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[–] 49 points 4 months ago (3 children)
  • Microsoft will unironically release their own Linux distro
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  • [–] 39 points 4 months ago (10 children)

    We will see WWIII in my life time (next 50 years, if I'm lucky).

    It will be started over something that will seem incredibly silly, in hindsight.

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  • [–] 24 points 4 months ago (2 children)

    I think historians will likely be deciding if we are already in ww3 or not. Although I'm quite surprised China hasn't moved on Taiwan

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  • [–] 6 points 4 months ago (1 child)

    My spidey senses tell me that will be coming shortly.

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  • [–] 5 points 4 months ago

    Yeah, I wonder if China is trying to figure out how to short the markets without the other hedge fund bros figuring out what's gonna happen. Because the second chip shipments cease is the second this ai circlejerk house of cards musical chairs pass the iou game comes to an end. And then we see the k shaped economy turn into the greatest depression.

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  • [+] [S] 11 points 4 months ago* (2 children)
  • [–] 25 points 4 months ago (7 children)

    Not completely baseless, but Florida is going to go bankrupt one year and cause a major political problem for the US.

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  • [–] 4 points 4 months ago (5 children)

    How does Disney factor into this prediction? I've never been there, but it seems like an oasis in the middle of a shit desert (speaking mostly about its ability to manage itself and just generally function).

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  • [–] 7 points 4 months ago (3 children)

    It doesn't help that DeSantis's anti-Disney push was around the time that Disney was in the process of moving more corporate jobs from California to Florida, which Disney stopped doing after the fiasco.

    However, what will likely cause a collapse is that Florida has gotten into hurricane home insurance. If there is a bad year for Florida, Florida might not be able to cover the payouts for insurance claims. Combined with its current housing price slump already, and Florida may have major issues down the road.

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  • [–] 4 points 4 months ago* (2 children)

    i heard people are paying double/triple the premiums for home insurance. plus all the snowbirds/retirement folks going there are rethinking thier plans.

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  • If they move on with removing taxes on property the political and operational shot show of cities and counties without cash turning to special assessments and creating fees for school police and public services, essentially taxes that can raise without being voted, and with less supervision, that will make the "no step on snake" crowd revolt because gvmnt services without payment seems to be their thing.

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  • [–] 46 points 4 months ago (5 children)

    Trump will live to be 102 just because life isn't fair

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  • [–] 13 points 4 months ago (2 children)

    The longer he lives, the more time he has to live with the consequences that catch up to him.

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    [–] 21 points 4 months ago (4 children)

    I think there will be some crazy scientific breakthrough that will change everything.

    Totally baseless, and it's mostly the idiot optimist inside me that believes it, but I kind of have to believe it else I'll go bananaser then I already am.

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  • [+] [S] 2 points 4 months ago* (1 child)
  • [–] 7 points 4 months ago

    To me, AI is most impactful in ways it was originally created for: combing through large data sets to make connections, even if that data set is a picture, or fifty of them. E.g., an ai was used to look at pictures taken with a microscope and it was able to pick out different structures/organisms without staining. Similar systems were also used to find discrete hints of far off galaxies than astronomers would struggle to detect without making their data quite noisy.

    The big companies had nothing to do with these afaik, especially since the researchers that wrote the papers used machine learning in there methodology instead of the colloquial "AI", which I will always see as a misnomer until such time an AI is generally accepted to be someone, which I don't believe will happen anytime soon with our level of technology and failing biosphere.

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  • [–] 31 points 4 months ago (4 children)

    With so many AI data centres needing so much power and none seeming to use solar power etc, we'll start seeing "grid rationing" where suburbs will get "time zones" where there will be power and no power.

    Instead of people rising up or pushing back, they will get distracted by arguing that certain/richer suburbs get prioitised more than lower class suburbs.

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    [–] 15 points 4 months ago (2 children)

    The AI bubble will burst sometime in 2027/early 2028.

    Trump will use the financial collapse as an excuse to suspend elections.

    The majority will be too busy scrambling to survive to complain.

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    [–] 14 points 4 months ago (8 children)

    Oligarchs, frustrated with dealing with their political sockpuppets, start just buying countries.

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  • [+] [S] 2 points 4 months ago (3 children)
  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago

    One stratagem is to buy up the territory and then be mindful of the needs of those who are already on it.

    The problem is, when we're rich and powerful, it's just way to easy to indulge our racist and classist proclivities, and then do a genocide.

    Seriously, we humans just haven't evolved past the bush tribes we were fifty thousand years ago.

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  • [–] 11 points 4 months ago (2 children)

    I think the earth is going to metaphorically say enough is enough and step in to fix climate change because humans are too selfish and greedy to do it ourselves. I think this is going to come by way of a massive volcanic eruption that causes short term global cooling while killing a good chunk of the population across a large geographical area both from the immediate disaster and the resulting long term damage from widespread ash/famine that could result.

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    [+] [S] 10 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (9 children)
  • [–] 11 points 4 months ago

    Regarding North Korea, it seems like it is a national decision instead of an international decision. There have been cases where trade was allowed to occur with North Korea and it was North Korea which chose to close the program.

    Even now, North Korea could theoretically force a more open travel system with Russia and North Korea chooses not to. Hell, North Korea probably could get a peace treaty out of Trump and chooses not to.

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  • [–] 5 points 4 months ago

    I really doubt we're the only sentient life but we'll never meet any is my bet. The observable universe is mind bogglingly huge. The unobservable is so much bigger. So many stars, so many planets.

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  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago (4 children)

    Which sequel trilogy? 1-3, or 7-9?

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  • [+] [S] 1 point 4 months ago* (3 children)
  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago (2 children)

    They could also remake the prequels and get some real writers on them and make them good.

    Looking at Disney's MCU ouvre, it's a blend of hits and misses, so I don't fully trust the company to not mess it up.

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  • [–] 8 points 4 months ago
    [–] 7 points 4 months ago (3 children)

    The world order will collapse when brainrot GenZ will take the reins

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    [–] 6 points 4 months ago* (1 child)

    Trump dead ,and having street parties over the world.

    Ebola 3.0 and bird flu attack on the humans

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  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago

    flu is easy to become pandemic. several things can happen, antigenic shift, genetic drift, and the most popular is recombination. the h5n1/h1n1 flus can just recombine with pig and human flus to make it person to person.

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  • [+] 6 points 4 months ago (3 children)
  • [–] 5 points 4 months ago (1 child)

    Here in Japan lots of people wear these while working, it looks like a great solution for mild summer temps of 28c, but sincerely is mostly unusable in the wet heat of other regions.

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  • [–] 6 points 4 months ago (1 child)

    My country will pivot to the far left the economy will get even worse then we will aggressively swing to the far right and things will get even worse then we will get dragged into a stupid war by a stupid right wing ghoul.

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    [–] 16 points 4 months ago (7 children)

    Geoengineering to combat climate change by mass carbon capture will be the solution that saves humanity but will arrive too late to prevent some harrowing effects.

    Self-driving vehicles will become good enough to technically be safer for passengers than human drivers soon, but the stigma around them will continue for a long time after they are road legal and their uptake will be very slow.

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  • [–] 8 points 4 months ago (2 children)

    Any idea if mass carbon capture could undo runaway venus-like greenhouse effects? I have no hope that humanity will put up with even minor inconveniences until lead starts melting at room temperature at the equator. It would give me hope if there was a way to undo runaway greenhouse processes.

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  • [–] 3 points 4 months ago

    It seems kind of unlikely. It could be part of an array of solutions. Right now it captures something like 0.1%. That means it would take 1000 times the current infrastructure to support it, including carbon-neutral energy to cover the additional energy costs. All that is assuming 100% carbon capture is even viable. Even then, that doesn't solve the problem of the carbon that's already in the environment, which will continue to warm the earth for centuries.

    There's an interesting emergency option: Stratospheric aerosol injection.

    If we got to the point where the runaway effect was unavoidable, it might be possible to use this before civilization starts to collapse. It would probably have a lot of nasty side effects, but it might be able to buy enough time for CO2 levels to come back down. At least civilization could survive in some form.

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  • [–] 5 points 4 months ago

    countries dont seem interested in combatting climate change at all. plus there is one country that solely funds anti-climate change as thier economy depends on it, combined with the rest of the oil-gas industry. trying to get funding for research about climate change is a little dicey too.

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  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago (1 child)

    Couldn't disagree more with either of those takes. Self driving cars won't be safer even theoretically given unsolvable problems and will almost certainly lead to even worse pedestrian rights and make our cities so much worse. That solution to climate change isn't realistic of feasible at all we need if we are going to solve it massive systematic change and an end to capitalism.

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    [–] 11 points 4 months ago (1 child)

    Have you seen Elysium?

    Yeah...pretty much that. In some form or another. It won't necessarily be the wealthy people blasting off to a space station, more likely just hiding away on luxury islands while the rest of the world continues to go to shit.

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  • [–] 4 points 4 months ago*

    Pretty sure I'm going to find myself in some kind of mass migration by highway, get identified at a checkpoint as politically unacceptable in some way, then get moved to a large empty sports stadium with about 1-2 hundred other people, then get marched out onto the field and shot. I saw it very vividly in a dream that did not fade after waking up.

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  • [–] 4 points 4 months ago (2 children)

    The Sun will explode, probably on a Thursday.

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    [–] 4 points 4 months ago (7 children)

    I think humanity will achieve digital immortality and might achieve a form of physical immortality by uploading themselves into artificial bodies.

    And I'll 100% sign up for it if it becomes possible.

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  • [–] 7 points 4 months ago (4 children)

    The digital immortality you want: living forever in a virtual paradise.

    The digital immortality you get: you are recorded doing something stupid that ends any career or relationship potential and is never able to be removed from the internet.

    In another aspect, what does uploading ones self look like and when is the upload taken? Do they kill the original body after taking the upload or is there a you living out their days stuck in the mortal husk while another you (possibly not the one you are) is off living it up in an immortal body or virtual paradise?

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  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago (1 child)

    I imagine it to be not unlike a system snapshot of a computer, just of your brain and the data your mind contains, thus making every experience accessible like a computer file in additional to all of the recorded data that exists online.

    As for a mortal body, if my second prediction is correct, you wouldn't need it anymore. Perhaps those who upload could donate their bodies to those who choose not to. That would be nice.

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  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago

    Ahh so the idea would be that the upload wipes the original so there arent multiple copies kicking around.

    Seems like making new people would be difficult unless you made everyone keep a bio body until they had reached mental maturity and made more humans ..

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  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago (1 child)

    Like someone else said either the show upload or the show altered carbon.

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  • [–] 1 point 4 months ago

    I don't know that FlashMobOfOne needs to just apply a dystopian tv show to the only possibility of how they see it playing out. Other ideas are a thing, particularly if they are 100% signing up. Would they still 100% sign up if the copy gets the digital immortality but FlashMobOfOne still has to live on in their own skull regardless? If that's the case why bother? You'd effectively create another person that is based on you but isn't you, they'd think of themselves as you, but OEM hardware would probably still hold the rights to the title.

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    [–] 4 points 4 months ago (2 children)

    I believe Elon Musk will be installed as the president of Russia.

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    [–] 5 points 4 months ago (2 children)

    I can't say this is completely baseless because there's too much out there about it but it will be disclosed that aliens do exist, they're not from other planets but other dimensions, and they've been manipulating mankind for thousands of years.

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  • [–] 6 points 4 months ago

    They have a light switch in their house and they don't know what it's for. They just flip it every so often.

    Little did they know it's was actually a peace and war switch

    Once at a dinner party, one alien was showing the switch to another and they flipped it back and fourth a bunch of times and started WW1

    Couple years later, another party and BAM WWII

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    [–] 4 points 4 months ago (1 child)

    back in 2017-18 , called out russia was using propaganda bots to drump up articles to astroturf the subs, and look where it has turned into, leading into bannings every year, that got worst over time. the warnings were largely ignored at the time.

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    We will go to war with the EU/NATO with Russia.

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  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago

    AI at scale will flop, but will return later as open source small businessess tool.

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  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago

    I think AI desktop apps like claude desktop will replace the web browser.

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  • [–] 2 points 4 months ago

    We'd have extra PCIe slots on premium motherboards so every type of cores can be implemeted separately, e.g. CPU and NPU, CUDA and Turing\RTX. Shared memory would become a standard.

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