Golden State drew 400,000 fans to its victory parade route, as Gabby Williams and her fellow WNBA Finals winners celebrated in San Francisco.

I wanted to know whether the sharp market's chances for football favourites are honest, so I checked them against results.

The price is Pinnacle's last one before kick-off, with the bookmaker margin removed. Every match where the favourite was at 65% or more counts, 890 of 6,573 matches from 11 June to 17 October 2026:

That table is a backtest, built after the fact. Since 18 October we log the same list live, before kick-off: 376 of 521 won (72%), shown at 73% on average.

So the market's numbers hold up well. A high win rate is not a profit, though: staking every one of the 890 at Pinnacle's closing price would have returned −0.2 per 100 (95% interval −4.0 to +3.6).

Data and method: https://tipsaudit.com/most-likely-wins/record

Disclosure: I run this free site, no ads, no tips sold, 18+.

In short:

Chief executive Matthew Pavlich said the club was "bitterly disappointed" in having to address reports of a poor culture at the Sydney Swans.

The club has said it is undertaking a "comprehensive examination" of its AFL program.

Tom Papley allegedly returned a positive roadside test for methylamphetamine on Monday.

In October, a new edition of the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show took place, and for the second consecutive year, athletes were part of the runway.

Fifa wants the International Olympic Committee to restrict women’s Olympic football to under 23s owing to concerns over fixture congestion and workload

Promotion to third tier for Crimean club would be clear violation of governing body’s rules amid conflict in Ukraine

Alan Jones dies a few days after turning 80, after a short illness. He won the 1980 Formula 1 world championship and 12 grands prix.

In short:

The Canberra Raiders withdrew its $1.1 million per year offer to Hudson Young as the Blues forward said he wanted to pursue an opportunity with PNG.

Coach Ricky Stuart said Young had been given the "highest offer that's ever been offered to a player" at the club.

What's next?

Stuart said any decision on whether Young would play at a different club in 2027 was up to the player's management.

The University of San Francisco is a staid enclave of higher learning, a rectangular hodgepodge of buildings gerrymandered to fill 19 square blocks of prime city real estate. It is a culturally and ethnically diverse educational operation and has been so for decades. Also, it has no football team to interfere with the peace and…

The Super Falcons won’t be at the World Cup and with the prize money going up, they risk being left even further behind

Talk of how quickly CPR was performed and whether medics used defibrillator

Women's football finances: what happens when a team's funding stops? Cases in Ukraine, Finland and Poland show the limits of ownership and licensing.