Iran should include demanding the release of all Epstein documents.
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Yeah, I'm sure Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain, the UAE and Oman would be thrilled to see Trump and Netanyahu effectively cede control of the entire Strait over to their rival. Especially when they've wanted zero part to play in this conflict.
And it's so blindingly obvious that Trump started this whole spat in the first place to skyrocket oil prices and give an excuse to buy Russian oil and prop up Putin's failing war machine.
Trump at this point is like a giant fat fucking toddler and we're here to clean up his mess.
The UAE and Oman should take the most chaotic approach possible. They should ALSO start blowing up ships in the Straight and demanding they pay tolls!
Trump started this whole spat in the first place to skyrocket oil prices and give an excuse to buy Russian oil and prop up Putin's failing war machine.
Trump at this point is like a giant fat fucking toddler
Which is it? Evil mastermind or mentally handicapped?
Seeing how well Iran did actually close and keep selectively closed the Strait of Hormuz it seems fair to give them the sovereignty.
Iran is on one side of the strait, Oman is on the other. Giving Iran sovereignty would mean taking away sovereignty from Oman. Countries are supposed to be able to control their own coastlines and territorial waters.
The strait is narrow enough that there is no buffer of international waters in the middle at its narrowest. Giving one country sovereignty of the whole strait would mean violating the the sovereignty of another. Not a fair proposition.
By international treaty, in a maritime border were one country is in one side and a different one in another, like that, the border sits right smack in the middle, equidistant of both sides, so soverignty over that Straight is divided.
What Iran has at the moment is the power to limit what passes there, but Oman could have the exact same thing if they so chose, since Oman too could do the same thing - for exactly the same reason Oman cannot stop Iran from attacking ships there (it's a lot harder to protect civilian ships in range of land-based artillery/drones than to attack them), Iran would not be able to stop Oman from doing exactly the same.
So if Iran tried to have actual sovereignty over the whole Straight (full control, not just the ability to stop traffic there), Oman could fuck them up by doing exactly the same thing that Iran is doing now - it's a game that two can play.
It's generally agreed to officially put the border (and assign sovereignty) right in the middle in a situation like that exactly because otherwise the country on the side which "lost" would start fucking things up in that channel for all users.
The only way for Iran to officially get sovereignty of the whole Straight would be to conquer and occupy the land on the other side, and I doubt Iran has the capability to do so.
The UAE or Oman could probably do that as well if they wanted to.
Not really. You basically have to be either a superpower or a pariah state to do something like this and not be immediately pummeled into oblivion.
They could just target any ships from or to Iranian ports or of nations which support Iran with artillery or drones.
It's exactly because it's so stupidly easy to attack civilian ships in a space like that whilst it's very hard to defend against it that Iran is able to do so even whilst under attack by American and Israel, so the country on the other side could do the same thing and only target Iranian or Iran-related ships.
Two can play the "fuck the other side's ship" game there.
Exactly. 90% of Iran's oil leave by sea, via Kharg island.
If Iran turns to piracy by threatening "pay or we sink your ships" at all other nations, then all other nations should just confiscate all Iran's ships in return.
Oil revenues are 35% of Iran's budget. This should not be a can of worms that Iran wants to open.
There's this clunky thing standing in the way of that, called international law.
What, we suddenly give a shit about that again?
Just when the "bad guys" are breaking it, when it's our guys, breaking stupid international law is OK.
So both the US and Iran are breaking international law against each other.
But Iran is also breaking the right given by international law against neutral nations in this conflict. By restricting their right to shipping. Those nations have every moral and legal right to complain about Iran.
Yeah launching a perfidious war of aggression is a flagrant breach of Article 2 of the UN charter. Bombing nuclear sites, schools, hospitals and energy infrastructure are all grave war crimes but nobody gives a shit about that in Western media apparently.
Let's not even get into the genocide happening in Gaza.
International law only seems to animate the West when they're lecturing brown people.
This is the proposal that should be offered to Iran. Iran will be permitted to pursue its nuclear program as long as it's for peaceful purposes. Iran will be strictly monitored for compliance. Any violation will result in invasion by the US, Europe, and any other nations willing to join in. If Iran agrees to the proposal, all sanctions will be immediately lifted. It's unnecessary for Iran to have sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. If sanctions are lifted, Iran will be making money from oil and other exports. Unlike Trump's 15-point peace plan, mine is simple.
I can't tell if you're taking the piss at the agreement made under Obama or if you're actually serious.
If my proposal resembles Obama's that's fine. Accept his. My desire is for peace.
Iran has claimed that its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes. My proposal enables Iranian leaders to save face since they can claim their nuclear program has always been for peaceful purposes. It saves Trump's face because he can claim that he only wanted Iran not to have nuclear weapons.
This is basically just the Obama Iran deal. It was working pretty much exactly like this until Trump tore it up and began in multiple rounds attacking Iran.
After this war, Iran has no reason to sign such a deal especially since Trump and Israel will just tear it up whenever they want. Iran needs security guarantees which your deal doesn't provide.
Then I will include security guarantees. If the US and/or Israel attacks Iran while Iran is abiding by the agreement, Russia, China, and Europe would intervene militarily to protect Iran.
Lol so now Russia China and Europe have to jump into militarily attack the US ? This is your plan? Well sounds solved to me.
They don't have to attack the US and/or Israel, just send troops to Iran. This would include not only ground troops but air and ground forces. Russia is near Iran. Seeking military forces would be easy.
Yes they could do that. But why would they commit to that?
You said Iran would want security guarantees. This is it. Russia and China would definitely agree to it since Russia wouldn't want an Iran controlled by the US and China needs Iranian oil.
China is getting Iranian oil right now and the US isn't going to control Iran. Why would either of them commit to this? Pretending like you solved the problem when none of the incentives line up is ridiculous. Either of them could militarily defend Iran if they want to without commiting to a security guarantees for Iran. So why would they bind themselves unnecessarily?
How well did that work out for Ukraine?
The realpolitik answer is always to get nukes before they can stop you. Look at how well it worked for Israel and North Korea.
Yes, but the US and Israel can stop Iran from developing a nuclear bomb, but Trump should stop at that rather than demanding things such as ballistic missiles with limited range and no aid to organizations such as Hezbollah.
I would prefer a UN-style nuclear agency that builds and maintains power-generating facilities independent of geo politics.
Their goal should be to provide power anywhere that isn’t completely unstable and the receiving country has to amend their constitution to acknowledge that the power gets turned off if they fuck around.
Who decides who “fucks” around? If it’s for humanitarian purposes why not the power stays if there’s a human on the other end using it.
Iirc two largest manufacturers of reactors are China and Russia. Plus you need to buy the fuel, with post-Soviet countries, especially Kazakhstan, being the largest exporters. Good luck with the independence from geopolitics.
Innovative idea but who would pay for the reactors and remove the radioactive waste?

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