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[–] 58 points 10 months ago (2 children)

Why the fuck are we betting on a country being invaded and a person being kidnapped anyway? Some people are sick

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  • [+] 93 points 10 months ago (4 children)
  • [–] 4 points 10 months ago

    It's called loser behavior. We've gone full Idiocracy but somehow unfunny. People are gambling on legitimately horrible things. Can't wait until the prediction market gets to gamble on Gaza city home to get blown up. You can play the over/under on the number of children orphaned in every strike.

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  • [–] 39 points 10 months ago (6 children)

    There is a market/betting website for this stuff... what the actual fuck? Just another day another step further in dystopia

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  • [–] 16 points 10 months ago (2 children)

    CNN just partnered with it if I'm not mistaken

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  • [–] 9 points 10 months ago

    You can bet on basically everything somewhere. The betting market is the way to go if you want real odds of what's happening tomorrow. They have a financial incentive to be accurate (half-joking).

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  • [–] 24 points 10 months ago

    It's insane how easy it is for people in positions of power to game this shit. Unbelievable

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  • [–] 42 points 10 months ago* (1 child)

    https://archive.ph/20260103213028/https://www.axios.com/2026/01/03/maduro-capture-bets-trade-prediction-markets

    Comments here missing the obvious: Thousands of military personnel were involved in this action. Closer you get to seeing boots on the move, more obvious the mission.

    Never served, but I'd guess military scuttlebutt is tighter than gossip in a megacorp, yet, thousands involved.

    Say you're working the carrier flight line, you know what's launching, who's boarding what aircraft and the sorts of work those boys do.

    "Huh. Boss talking shit, close in on Caracas, fighters launched with bombs, more with air defense measures, all headed south. Ain't that a thing? And here come two teams of badasses outfitted for night work packing handcuffs*, riding them blacked-out Black Hawks, even left room for passengers! Wonder what's going on tonight? Cover me? Gotta hit the head. <furious typing to move funds and login to Polymarket>"

    Obviously pulling that out my ass, but you get the idea.

    * My kinda gig!

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  • [–] 20 points 10 months ago

    I thought the purpose of the markets is to financially motivate leaks of information early...

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  • [–] 32 points 10 months ago (13 children)

    Gambling should just be illegal again 🙄

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  • [–] 1 point 10 months ago (12 children)

    Great idea, we'll get a new mafia that runs illegal gambling from street to championship level.

    You either have an illegal but very popular activity run by "the black market", or a legal but very popular activity run by the government and capitalists. The market doesn't go away

    Either way, with a market this massive, the profits are insane. This would be much bigger than the drug trade, gambling is the very easiest and most popular of such "sinful" activities.

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  • [–] 5 points 10 months ago (11 children)

    I dunno. If I think about how many of my friends were sports betting 15 years ago vs today it's at least 10x today. I feel like that was caused by market availability not a change in demand. They would've always bet if it was this easy to do and if it becomes hard again they'll stop.

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  • [–] 1 point 10 months ago (10 children)

    Your friends need to control themselves, gambling is as old as humanity itself. Smart phones have made just about EVERYTHING easier. They can outspend their budget and go broke, gamble and go broke, get a fresh date every day and go broke, and so on.

    When you make it "against the law", that means people will serve time for gambling, where they will be sent to prison, and guess what they do in prison to pass the time? Gambling. Even if there is no prison for the "crime", they'll still be fined and guess what? Go broke.

    That's the system. Removing gambling from the equation, addiction will still be a problem for them, because they're addicts.

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  • [–] 4 points 10 months ago (9 children)

    You know you can make gambling against the law by going after the brokers and not the betters, right? Gambling destroys lives and pretending that legalization is the only thing stopping black market gambling is brain dead.

    It's telling that you blame control for why more people are betting because anyone that studies addiction would tell you you're a fucking moron, and I think you should remind yourself of that fact on an hourly basis, because you have only one idea for banning gambling. Consider that banning gambling by going after brokers is going after those that profit from the whole thing, and you'll realize that, woah, it will have a positive effect.

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  • [–] -2 points 10 months ago (8 children)

    You know you can make gambling against the law by going after the brokers and not the betters, right? Gambling destroys lives and pretending that legalization is the only thing stopping black market gambling is brain dead.

    Thinking you can stop black market gambling is brain dead. Get mad, it's cute, you greasy sausage

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  • [–] 3 points 10 months ago (7 children)

    Please point out where I said it would stop black market gambling. Please do. I have unlimited time, and you have unlimited disappointment to give me.

    I said that black market gambling is STILL A THING, so your point that making it legal is somehow stopping it is wrong, and obviously so because that's how words work, pal. So, anyway, please feel free to revive my brain with your refutation because I so carelessly didn't say the thing you said I said.

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  • [–] -3 points 10 months ago (6 children)

    Calm down, buddy! Point out where I said "making it legal is somehow stopping it"? You have unlimited time, so I'll wait.

    You see, if you just make up points in your head and pretend other people said them, you get everything all confuzzled, and that's why you're so grumpy.

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  • [–] 3 points 10 months ago (5 children)

    You either have an illegal but very popular activity run by "the black market", or a legal but very popular activity run by the government and capitalists.

    Right there.

    Still didn't answer mine yet, though. I apologize for being inconvenient and remembering things you don't.

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  • [–] -2 points 10 months ago* (4 children)

    Yeah, that doesn't say what you said i said! You're still upset, take a little break, maybe have a juice box okay buddy?1? Good job buddy! Give me five! Alright!

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  • [–] 3 points 10 months ago (3 children)

    You are really upset that I called you pal and that you misread things. I am sorry for you.

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  • [–] -2 points 10 months ago (2 children)

    Awww, it's okay. Outside? You want to go outside? Good job!!

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  • [–] 11 points 10 months ago (2 children)

    This is why Trump didn't notify Congress ahead of time, he didn't want them insider betting with that information

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  • [–] 2 points 10 months ago

    He said he called and spoke with petroleum companies. I know his mind is mush, but he basically said he consulted with private oil corporations about this attack but didn't tell Congress.

    The fact that every representative isn't drawing up impeachment articles right now speaks volumes about the corruption that is allowing this to happen.

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  • [–] 6 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (4 children)

    That's a bold bet if Maduro escaped capture. But the fact that this bet got media attention after Maduro was captured means this is more like a brag.

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  • [–] 2 points 10 months ago (3 children)

    Is it though? 30k is nothing to these people

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  • [–] 4 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (2 children)

    We don't know who made the bet. But it is not uncommon for ordinary people to make that huge of a bet. I heard of someone who lost his house after using it as collateral for stock trading.

    Edit: a word

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  • [–] 5 points 10 months ago

    It's over for humanity, I swear

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  • 4 comments in c/business@lemmy.world view that post
    [–] 13 points 10 months ago

    As if it isn't scummy enough already.

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  • [–] 11 points 10 months ago

    I thought that's the purpose of prediction markets, financial motivation to leak info...

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  • [–] 4 points 10 months ago

    Unsurprisingly.

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  • [–] 3 points 10 months ago

    A new account too

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