With >95% of the votes in:
- Mary Peltola (D) is at 49.8% (138,240)
- Dan S. Sullivan (R) at 46.1% (127,828)
- Gerald L. Heikes (R) at 2.1% (5885)
- Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (I) at 1.6% (4560)
- and write-ins at 0.3% (855)
Not to mention that when 75% of the votes were counted, there was no huge break for the Big Sullivan in ranked-choice.
">95%" at this point is conservative – which, to be clear, I'm glad decision desks exercise caution. Outright 50% majority at this point, I'm not so sure, but ranked-choice seems exceedingly likely if it comes down to it.
Just, of course, stating my personal opinion regarding the current count, having been keeping up with it.
Edit: Peltola just climbed to 49.9% 40 minutes ago. Now 140,637 to Big Sullivan's 129,424.
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