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6 comments in c/politics@lemmy.world view that post
[–] 14 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 20 hours ago)

With >95% of the votes in:

  • Mary Peltola (D) is at 49.8% (138,240)
  • Dan S. Sullivan (R) at 46.1% (127,828)
  • Gerald L. Heikes (R) at 2.1% (5885)
  • Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (I) at 1.6% (4560)
  • and write-ins at 0.3% (855)

Not to mention that when 75% of the votes were counted, there was no huge break for the Big Sullivan in ranked-choice.

">95%" at this point is conservative – which, to be clear, I'm glad decision desks exercise caution. Outright 50% majority at this point, I'm not so sure, but ranked-choice seems exceedingly likely if it comes down to it.

Just, of course, stating my personal opinion regarding the current count, having been keeping up with it.


Edit: Peltola just climbed to 49.9% 40 minutes ago. Now 140,637 to Big Sullivan's 129,424.

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  • [–] 6 points 23 hours ago

    Fuck yes!!! 🙌

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  • [–] 5 points 22 hours ago (3 children)

    Those poll workers still on the job counting votes are probably starting to get pretty resentful about her opponent still not conceding.

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  • [–] 23 points 22 hours ago*
    • There's no reason for the Big Sullivan to concede; it would be a beyond-stupid move when no decision desks have called it.
    • Conceding doesn't mean the poll workers stop counting votes. There still needs to be an official total. And even if it goes to ranked-choice on the 18th, that's all computerized.

    I think people get this deeply mistaken idea that decision desk calls, concessions, etc. somehow freeze the count and codify the result, but they don't. At best, a candidate conceding is a tacit promise that they won't contest the results by e.g. seeking a recount.

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  • [–] 8 points 20 hours ago

    Conceding an election is just a polite convention. All votes still need to be counted.

    With Alaska's ranked choice voting, once they start counting preferences (second, third choice) there's potential for those numbers to change dramatically.

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  • 5 comments in c/microblogs@piefed.social view that post
    [–] 1 point 21 hours ago (1 child)

    @inthehands Well technically 53, plus two independents (because New Englanders are weird) and the shithead from Pennsylvania.

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  • [–] [S] 1 point 21 hours ago (2 children)

    If I’m making guesses about the future:- Fetterman makes a half-assed attempt or two to backpedal on his MAGA flirting, attempts which he almost immediately torpedoes with his own big mouth. - He then either switches to the Republican Party at a moment of optimal headline grabbing, serves out his term as a Republican, and loses his seat in the next election, or- ragequits#uspol

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