@inthehands Well technically 53, plus two independents (because New Englanders are weird) and the shithead from Pennsylvania.
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If I’m making guesses about the future:- Fetterman makes a half-assed attempt or two to backpedal on his MAGA flirting, attempts which he almost immediately torpedoes with his own big mouth. - He then either switches to the Republican Party at a moment of optimal headline grabbing, serves out his term as a Republican, and loses his seat in the next election, or- ragequits#uspol
@inthehands I can't see him ragequitting from a cushy job with top-tier healthcare given what he's done to his prospects of holding any other elected office again in his life.
With >95% of the votes in:
- Mary Peltola (D) is at 49.8% (138,240)
- Dan S. Sullivan (R) at 46.1% (127,828)
- Gerald L. Heikes (R) at 2.1% (5885)
- Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (I) at 1.6% (4560)
- and write-ins at 0.3% (855)
Not to mention that when 75% of the votes were counted, there was no huge break for the Big Sullivan in ranked-choice.
">95%" at this point is conservative – which, to be clear, I'm glad decision desks exercise caution. Outright 50% majority at this point, I'm not so sure, but ranked-choice seems exceedingly likely if it comes down to it.
Just, of course, stating my personal opinion regarding the current count, having been keeping up with it.
Edit: Peltola just climbed to 49.9% 40 minutes ago. Now 140,637 to Big Sullivan's 129,424.
Those poll workers still on the job counting votes are probably starting to get pretty resentful about her opponent still not conceding.
- There's no reason for the Big Sullivan to concede; it would be a beyond-stupid move when no decision desks have called it.
- Conceding doesn't mean the poll workers stop counting votes. There still needs to be an official total. And even if it goes to ranked-choice on the 18th, that's all computerized.
I think people get this deeply mistaken idea that decision desk calls, concessions, etc. somehow freeze the count and codify the result, but they don't. At best, a candidate conceding is a tacit promise that they won't contest the results by e.g. seeking a recount.
They finish counting concession or no, if the candidate dies, etc. There needs to be an official count.
Conceding an election is just a polite convention. All votes still need to be counted.
With Alaska's ranked choice voting, once they start counting preferences (second, third choice) there's potential for those numbers to change dramatically.
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