A supporter is the most likely to feel betrayed. That part makes sense to me. If it was staged it seems like they would have made the shooter an immigrant or something.

Where do you see he was Ultra Maga? He donated to the Democrats under Biden, then later registered as a republican. Prior to his attempt he was searching for campaign stops for both Trump and Biden. He was just an isolated kid who hated American society, and who frequently quoted Mao Zedong as saying "the only true political power comes from the barrel of the gun."

Let's think about what it would take for this to be staged. You'd have to have the kid be willing to give up his life for Trump, ok thats technically possible if he was extreme MAGA (which again, no evidence that he was).

But then you'd have to have the secret service in on it too, as well as the FBI. Trump would have to be in on it as well, to fake his ear injury. You know - the guy who can't keep his mouth shut for five seconds.

I always come back to Watergate. Nixon couldn't wiretap a building as the sitting president. Trump staging an assassination attempt from the outside would be an order of magnitude harder.