I call BS. There is no sort of cognition taking place in an LLM. They calculate statistics, that's all. No more magic than the cash register at the supermarket.
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Llms do not have cognition. They are massive autocomplete at scale. They dont "think" they just advertise that they do.

He admits himself that nobody really knows how people think, and so all the talk about LLMs looking like they are "thinking" is based purely on vibes rather than reality.
Then again, the thought occurs to me to ponder, how many actual humans really think also? Do 4-year-olds? Do ?
That thought experiment helps me to understand. Even if an LLM does perform a kind of "lower thinking" - i.e. mere imitation, of the kind that a monkey or even a 6-year-old human child might - even then, I still would not trust it to vibe-code anything for me.
And it most definitely does not "think think" i.e. higher-level thinking, though again, neither do many humans, seemingly the largest majority of the time.
all the talk about LLMs looking like they are “thinking” is based purely on vibes rather than reality
You seem to ignore the quantitative, evidence-based studies mentioned. Ex: https://aclanthology.org/2026.acl-long.155.pdf
I already posited that LLMs may perform lower-level thinking. Also, in the reference you linked to read their third stated limitation. Perhaps one day some kind of AGI will do "higher-level" aka more realistic thinking... but not yet. Which, I want to add, is not entirely relevant to their utility to us as humans.
Talking about "thinking" gets us distracted from what can actually be done, though if we do want to do it then we'd need to come up with a working definition of what "thinking" actually is.
LLMs are spicy auto-correct. Anthropomorphizing them isn't going to suddenly change reality...
Yeah, but it will make rich people even richer. So same difference.
Anthropomorphizing them isn’t going to suddenly change reality…
No more than thought terminating clishes do.
auto-correct
I can tell you're not up to date on cognitive psychology.
The principle of minimizing surprise -- of predicting the next thing -- is what most people who study this sort of thing have used as the basis for most of our cognitive capacity.
But, please do keep telling us your popular opinion, I'm sure it's well-informed by detailed published studies.
That's a very simplistic interpretation. A popular book that counters it is https://bookwyrm.social/book/29025/s/thinking-fast-and-slow
I can tell you didn't listen to the podcast. A lot of it is about how System I / production systems are very similar to simple one-pass LLM outputs, and how Reasoning models closely match System II
Which BTW has very little directly to do with the notion that minimizing surprise -- predicting the next thing -- is the basis of much neurology and psychology.
I wouldn't think that your advertising of the podcast is so successful as to make people listen to it.
But somehow you seem to be leaking the idea that reasoning models are something different than autoregressive LLMs. Yes, they do have different fine-tuning and system prompts, but little beyond that. Subbarao Kambhampati has worked a lot on this, e.g. https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.15339 or https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.15125
I can tell you're an AI shill...
You are objecting to an objectively debatable, scientifically study-able thesis with ad-hominem, tribalism, end emotional groupthink.
I don't see a lot of critiques about the notion of production systems in LLMs being phenomenologically similar to those in humans, nor to any of the other reasons why this particular expert -- which I am not -- has the opinion that neural net cognition is usefully describable as akin -- "cousin to" -- human cognition.
I personally have huge doubts about the methodological merits of phenomenology. Consider this as a starting point: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phenomenology_(psychology)
Oh, completely agree! In a way that was the point being made by the interviewee (Sripada)
That cognitive psych had been stuck for decades with a well-documented robust phenomenology, but no really good, biologically-plausible, mechanistic models.
And then suddenly LLMs show up -- an actual technological artifact non-trivially displaying much of the same phenomenology, biologically motivated, and completely mechanistic.
I was wrong. You're not an AI shill, you're just an AI that was told to justify its existence...
The principle of minimizing surprise – of predicting the next thing – is what most people who study this sort of thing have used as the basis for most of our cognitive capacity.
Cool unscientific story.
We have no idea how consciousness works, and also we have no idea how LLMs work. So they must be the same!
we have no idea how LLMs work
Give me a break. LLMs are completely 100% understood. People developed weighted functions using very very basic statistics. There is absolutely no mystery here.
Consciousness gets mentioned the first time at 1 hour and 26 minutes into the episode. The discussion is about cognition - they're not the same thing and nobody is claiming that they are.
Your comment inspired me to actually listen to it and there's a lot more evidence for LLM-mindbrain convergence than I thought. Still seems like we invented something too complex to characterize directly so we're interrogating it the way we do our own cognition... I wonder what kind of biases this introduces.
The discussion is about cognition
Ah yes the foundation of "AI" research - retreating from obvious meanings to redefining words in order to make absurd claims.
We have no idea how consciousness works
Misleading.
We have many very plausible, evidence-driven models of how consciousness works: global workspace, CTM (Conscious Turing Machine), IIT, ... the problem is figuring out which have the best predictive power. And that problem is being very actively worked.
and also we have no idea how LLMs work
Patently false. Look up "mechanistic interpretability", CLiP, etc.
There is very much a back and forth synergy right now between the communities of researchers interpreting neural network activations, and biological brain patterns.
We have many very plausible, evidence-driven models
"Plausible" counts for jack shit in science.
There are many models because there's no convincing evidence for any of them.
the problem is figuring out which have the best predictive power. And that problem is being very actively worked.
Yes, these models have no experimental or "predictive" use even after decades of "research".
One activity occurs in a hazily understood chemical system with near completely unobservable states in interplay with activities and systems which have effects on the main system that are barely recognized, much less fully understood. The other is a constructed, completely defined system with near total observability of states affected by probabilities based on inputs defined by human written, completely known tokenization systems.
Will they next speculate about the similarity of 'preferences' between a robot from Japan and the nearest non-terrestrial intelligent species?
One activity occurs in a hazily understood chemical system with near completely unobservable states in interplay with activities and systems which have effects on the main system that are barely recognized, much less fully understood.
Yes, this is more or less the counter argument. If you are familiar with Anil Seth this seems to be his basis as well.
IMO it's basically arguing that we can't know something because it's really complex. Historically those problems do tend to get solved with tech and cleverness.
The other is a constructed, completely defined system with near total observability of states
Yes and no of course. Defined and observable, but profoundly difficult to interpret or understand.
I find it interesting that what known about mechanistic interpretability is partially the result of work done in using LLMs to interpret human brain scans -- scanning LLM layers to match active features.
You can look at a pair of meshed gears and understand it just as readily as you can understand a single transformation by running the math on paper with a pencil, but I don't think anyone will ever be able to comprehend the fullness of any useful-scale model for the same reason they would never comprehend a clockwork with the same number of gears as an LLM has transformers or indices. It's a non-intuitable space with too much complexity which cannot be simplified without oversimplifying.
Click bait nonsense based on what a psychiatrist feels. It's not even possible to make this determination because LLMs don't think and have no agency and we don't fully understand how humans think to compare against if they did.
Click bait nonsense based on what a psychiatrist feels
An interview with the Director of an Institute for Cognitive Science run by the University of Michigan. Who does not have a podcast, or anything to sell you, but has an honest opinion based on decades of research.
Something in this conversation is clearly very threatening to peoples' worldview and self-image. It evinces an emotional, visceral response.
Their areas of expertise and research are not areas that offer insight into mechanisms of cognition, they are not a neurobiologist or a computer scientist involved in machine learning. Their high standing in related areas is being used to give credence to an argument that is no better than a gut feeling.
You also have no ideas what conflicts of interest exist here, there may be none or the professor could be heavily invested in LLM companies.
LLMs dont think and the "trains of thought" is just strapping a bunch of LLMs together to try and tidy up and correct if one of the models in the chain outputs nonsense which they are wont to do. They are useful tools, they don't spontaneously generate output or request input. It's a very complicated auto complete that is capable of generating plausible valid output (when considered by humans) to a given natural language input.
We also share half of our DNA with bananas. Therefore, we are also siblings of bananas.
Would you believe, the evidence is rather more compelling than that. Similarities in non-obvious failure modes, for example.
Andrew Ng said artificial neural networks are like a “cartoon brain”, which I think is pretty apt. It’s cool that having billions of parameters (cartoon “synapses”) can result in emergent behavior where a machine can “reason”. That was the original idea from as far back as the 1940s, and now we have the compute and have found a transformer architecture that can achieve the original vision. Very cool indeed. What’s not cool is the tech bros turning the tech into a large scale game of blackjack.
tech bros turning the tech into a large scale game of blackjack
Agreed 100%
As a person who was bookish and deeply computer-focused from back when that meant only that you had no friends outside D&D -- before it also meant, "probably has a challenging career and makes good money".
That "tech" now prefixes the socializing extrovert bros who didn't spend their entire adolescence learning assembly language and soldering alone in their room... is a complete, 180-degree U-turn subversion from the original "techy nerd" meaning
They can’t simply go back to correct their beliefs
Backtracking is a common and integral part of the reasoning learned by what used to be called Large Reasoning Models but today is part of almost any modern model design, much like Mixture-of-Experts
You can replace all the 'reasoning' steps from an LLMs output with "please wait" and it will still supply the same final answer. We think but LLMs just throw up connected bits of their training. Which was stolen from human reasoning in the first place. They are an illusion of thought at best and a malfunctioning search engine most of the time.
replace all the ‘reasoning’ steps from an LLMs output with “please wait” and it will still supply the same final answer.
If you listened to the podcast (or were familiar with the literature) you'd know that's simply Not True.
Sometimes, by listening to bona fide experts, you might learn new things instead of already knowing everything.
Model output can look like human reasoning however they often ignore these intermediate steps and the output tokens are often filler designed to allow more context to load. There something there that's half way to reasoning because it's loading that related training data but it not a connected chain of thought as we do. I read this article about it a few weeks ago and it summarizes the current research.
https://www.quantamagazine.org/is-ai-reasoning-right-for-the-wrong-reasons-20260731/
look like human reasoning
You should really listen to the podcast. Not going to summarize it here, but it looks like human reasoning including semantic activation patterns, use of productions, and dozens of other things that cognitive psychologists have known about for decades but for which they have not been able to come up with a mechanism.
Thanks that sounds interesting, will have a listen. Mapping human cognition to what's likely represented with the stuff stored in neurons is very tricky but also quite intriguing.
but it looks like human reasoning including semantic activation patterns
Well, my autistic brain doesn't. Forming sentences comes after the reasoning here.
They made it think like a human
they think like a human
"we're right all along"
So can we now make them do all our chores without costing million dollars nor mandatory surveillance? I'm tired of these "this tech change everything" while it doesn't even change baby diaper. It's nice that it help with some science breakthrough but i'm also tired of looking at another AI generated cat video thinking it's real.
The answer is no. LLMs are highly optimized, statistical, mathematics. Thats it. Question answered without even clicking the link.
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