Cowbee comments on How accurate are your predictions of the future?

How accurate are your predictions of the future? (sopuli.xyz)

submitted 1 year ago by glowing_hans@sopuli.xyz to c/asklemmy@lemmy.ml

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🔮 (on average) Predictions may relate to your personal life or grand tectonic shifts in our constantly changing world. Assess your own prediction accuracy.

[–] Cowbee@lemmy.ml 10 points 1 year ago (6 children)

Getting better the more Marxist-Leninist theory I read. Understanding dialectical and historical materialism, as well as the mechanics of capitalism and imperialism, has allowed me to sharpen my analysis.

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[–] glowing_hans@sopuli.xyz [S] 2 points 1 year ago (5 children)

So your success rate with predictions is greater than 50% ?

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[–] Cowbee@lemmy.ml 6 points 1 year ago (4 children)

Kinda? Predictions aren't a binary, often times I get more aspects correct but details wrong. The future isn't knowable, but reasonable and accurate predictions can be made.

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[–] glowing_hans@sopuli.xyz [S] 2 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Good point with predictions not being binary. It is hard to assess prediction accuracy, so I guess this entire question I asked here is useless?

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[–] Cowbee@lemmy.ml 3 points 1 year ago (2 children)

That's a matter of perspective, if it opens up the conversation to tangential subjects, ie me saying Marxism-Leninism has helped, then it's still a useful conversation starter. Depends on what you want to get out of this post.

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