Getting better the more Marxist-Leninist theory I read. Understanding dialectical and historical materialism, as well as the mechanics of capitalism and imperialism, has allowed me to sharpen my analysis.
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On average, I find the less precise my predictions, the more accurate they become and the more precise my predictions, the less accurate they become.
So rather than predict that I'm 54.3% accurate, I'll just say it's probably roughly half the time at a minimum.
If it has to do with my future - I’ve been spot on way more than not. I can think of multiple times where I’ve been told by someone “no way that would ever happen you’re just catastrophizing” only for it to happen exactly that way shortly thereafter.
About the world? I’m almost never right hahaha, I genuinely can’t remember the last time I was right about anything going on in the world at all.
I am terrible at predicting future events. 70% score I would say. Perhaps I have not all information to be successful predictor.
both would be interesting. But I am more interested in self-assessment of prediction accuracy.
It doesn't happen too often, but if my mind comes up with a prediction for the next word out of someone's mouth, it's correct about 75% of the time.
Very very bad.
I thought Hillary would win the 2016 election.
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