As a society, we tend to punish people for being intellectually honest, while rewarding those who can feign confidence.

I've been calling it BS my whole life and people heckle me for it.

I know a bit of political and social History and your theory does appear to hold up to scrutiny but I'm no scholar dedicated to it

I witnessed an example of this today while driving my daughter and her friend.

My daughter pointed at a horse and said "look the horse is in gallop!"

Her friend who wants to be the self proclaimed all-knowing horse expert immediately responded: "That's because..." and then didn't know how to continue the sentence. Eventuelly she ended it with "the horse is training there."

She never wanted to make a point. She just wanted to take charge of the sentence about the topic that she wanted to be the authority on.

Ever listen to CEOs talk? We've rewarded those that say incorrect things with so much confidence. People who are shameless about being probably wrong seem to get ahead and face almost no consequences.

Lol, yes, but you are capable, you see the dualistic systems want us to stay in tribal right/wrong thinking, and not advance farther up Perry's Scheme. Some get to stage 3-4 both sides have some merit, but fall back to dualism to feel safe. Real convictions and the truth is harder, takes real integrity, but the truth stands up to scrutiny, unlike the unfalsifiable, flimsy lies and propaganda so many stuck in dualism cling to. They fit in the conditional group that way, and critical thinking is hard and are told not to question, so they don't.

Yeah culturally we would need people to accept the answer in the post, but in practice you quickly see someone pivot to then explaining why their opinion is what you should hold because the following bias information they use.

That will happen by those who are greedy, but also those who want to help people.

When someone honestly believes that switching to EVs would have somehow caused chaos, then telling someone not to buy an EV wasn't necessarily them trying to hurt things, they believe they are doing the right thing.