An unprecedented surge in Black voter turnout across the American South is fundamentally reshaping the 2026 midterm political landscape. This massive, highly localized mobilization is defying traditional non-presidential voting patterns and threatening to turn what was expected to be a standard midterm election cycle into a "Blue Tsunami" for Democrats, breaking open what were previously considered safe Republican strongholds.

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[–] 7 points 1 week ago (1 child)

On recent podcasts, Nate Silver said his models had a 75% probability of the Dems winning both the house and senate, and then said his models had Hillary at a 75% probability too. He was all "as a poker player, I understand how big of a difference 75% and 100% is."

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