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[–] 38 points 8 months ago (12 children)

I don’t believe that the current definition of AI (LLM/Generative) will ever live up to half the hype. If I knew how, I’d try to make money from the hype imploding.

I even more confidently believe that it will not lead to a post-scarcity society. But most of that belief is because I don’t think humans are capable of developing such a society.

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  • [+] [S] 5 points 8 months ago (3 children)
  • [–] 24 points 8 months ago (2 children)
  • [–] 14 points 8 months ago (1 child)

    Case study: almost every other wealthy democracy in the world besides the US and how they deal with insulin. Living in a wealthy democracy and not being able to afford insulin is a uniquely American problem.

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  • [+] 5 points 8 months ago (5 children)
  • [–] 10 points 8 months ago (2 children)

    I think that’s just pattern matching like facial recognition. It covers more imaging in less time and can help identify areas of concern. But that doesn’t need trillions of dollars.

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  • [–] 14 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

    I work in biomed R&D, and specifically spent several years in Radiology.

    Industry consensus is that CAD occasionally picks up anomalies that a radiologist would have missed, but the false positives it picks up are noisy enough to largely offset that benefit. It’s fine if used as a second pass to catch areas a human missed, but doesn’t actually perform “better than a doctor” in a vacuum, precisely because it’s not thinking for itself and e.g. cross referencing the imaging against clinical history.

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  • [–] 7 points 8 months ago

    A deep learning model can tell biological sex from retina pictures, but not even the best eye doctors can. You feed it a pile of images labeled "these are from men" and "these are from women," and it figures out the differences and applies that knowledge to pictures it's never seen before. As far as I know, we still don't know what exactly it's picking up on - or if it's even something a human could distinguish - but for an AI it's not a problem.

    I think the term "AI" has just been a bit stained by all the people conflating it with GenAI. Yes, GenAI is AI, but the term AI covers all kinds of systems, and GenAI is just one subcategory.

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