So, there's an upcoming event I enjoy, but also don't want to watch directly this time for political reasons.

I've never been in this spot before. Do I have any options, or do I just wait for it to be over, avoid any spoilers and look for a recording?

Edit: Thank you all! Ironically, I ended up super busy and missed it anyway. Good to know for next year, if geopolitics is still weird, though.

[–] 3 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago)

Also from Joly in the article: “Our goal is also to double our non-U.S. exports and so you see the prime minister going around and signing new trade deals across the world,”.

The title isn't a lie, but "an open door" seems to be about as far as it goes. They'd have to send a non-insane offer though that door.

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  • [–] 2 points 6 months ago* (last edited 6 months ago) (1 child)

    That makes sense. I guess what I was thinking is a strategic use of a small, tactical-ish nuke, probably framed as tactical. Basically, cross the red line but as minimally as possible, in order to put NATO on the spot.

    In a way that was Russia's strategy before the full-scale invasion, and it was working flawlessly. Since then NATO has become much more determined and active, but also more unstable.

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  • [–] 1 point 6 months ago*

    Ukraine could absolutely be fighting a dirtier war than it is.

    Doing war crimes is bad strategy. It's not free, it doesn't effect enemy military operations and, as we've seen in with Russia's actions in Ukraine, is effective propaganda for the enemy. If the Russian government can provoke Ukraine into it, it's absolutely in their interest to do so.

    Ukraine is fighting total war about optimally. Or at least, I don't have any notes for them.

    Because they clearly didn’t use them at points where there were more concentrated Ukrainian defences that might at least at a simple tactical level, have an argument for their use if you turned off your brain and soul and thought like a Russian does, for a minute.

    Because actual Russians care about far more than just winning. There's also degrees of loss, and MAD is a very significant one. I don't know to what degree they're worried about preserving the value of Ukraine as territory at this point, but if they do that would be another consideration, you're right.

    Again, it was a very "technically increases chance of victory" kind of answer.

    They’re not going to use nukes of any kind.

    Yep, probably not.

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  • [–] 1 point 6 months ago* (1 child)

    Yeah, sand definitely is much harder than teeth (which in a normal vertebrate are based on apatite, at a Mohs hardness of 5). If it's abrasion, that explains a bit, although it's going to be much slower than an actual cutting action. A quick search indicates cement is at Mohs 5-7, so you theoretically could chew through an unusually soft sample.

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    I can't vouch for the author at all, but this seems like a nice detailed, technical look at the difference between the two.

    TL;DR the 212CD is very good at what in biology would be called "sit and wait predation". It's designed to sneak into an ocean floor crevice and hang out there, possibly for for weeks until something comes by, and then attack it. The Hanwha offering, on the other hand, is less superlatively stealthy and maneuverable, but is much more flexible, allowing missile launches and likely having a much longer range.

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