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[–] 6 points 1 year ago

"You need to give intel a bunch of money to stop them going out of business! Or we won't buy your chips" - US

"You mean bail out our only competition, which when it closes means you can basically only buy from us? " - TSMC

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  • [–] 3 points 1 year ago

    Everyone in this regime behaves like one of Tim Robinson's characters in I Think You Should Leave

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  • [–] 1 point 1 year ago

    Fucking jeniuses

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  • 29 comments in c/world@lemmy.world view that post
    [–] 102 points 1 year ago* (11 children)

    I would think TSMC is in the drivers seat here. They could say "not interested in intel, thanks anyway. Tariff away if you want, but we are the only ones that can make the chips you want so you'll pay for it anyway".

    TSMC could also counter threaten to close down the newly built TSMC fabs built in the USA as retaliation if new tariffs are put in place.

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  • [–] 27 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

    TSMC Taiwan exists because China hasn't invaded Taiwan yet, and China hasn't invaded Taiwan because of the US. Trump is short-sighted enough to tell Taiwan to go fuck themselves and TSMC/Taiwan know it.

    That said, it is important for the US to not let Intel go under, despite how badly Intel fucked themselves. As that would leave TSMC as the only other major foundry, a foundry that might just explode one day if China decides to pull the trigger regardless. I wouldn't personally have forced TSMC to buy a large stake in Intel, but getting them to build more foundries in the US, which seems to be part of the deal, is a pretty solid outcome.

    (TSMC makes nVidia, AMD, and Apple chips. And yes Samsung foundries exist, but they aren't nearly as large of a player)

    Edit: expanded my thoughts out a bit more

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  • [–] 2 points 1 year ago (1 child)

    Trump is short-sighted enough to tell Taiwan to go fuck themselves and TSMC/Taiwan know it.

    And if he does and china takes over taiwan, the US is 200% fucked. Now China can steal all if nvidia and AMDs trade secrets.

    They know ut and this is just all bark

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  • [–] 2 points 1 year ago

    I highly doubt TSMC and Taiwan would allow China to take anything of note from their factories. Almost certainly TSMC and Taiwan's military would ensure there is nothing of value left for anybody. Data will be wiped and the sensitive equipment destroyed.

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  • [–] 12 points 1 year ago (2 children)

    I tend to agree. I think the US might lean on ASML after that, but they could also tell the US to fuck off.

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  • [–] 32 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

    Playing hardball with the US is suicidal high stakes. It can be done, but the alternative is to be taken over by China. The US will lose tremendously, but Taiwanese won't be happy either under The Poo's leadership.

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  • [–] 22 points 1 year ago

    Yeah it's just a dumbly high stakes game.

    TSMC is literally the shield that keeps Taiwan alive. An attack on TSMC foundries is an attack on the most critical supply chains of every western military in the world.

    There is no chance they would risk their entire nation and business by getting into that big a fight when there's a potential alternative, even if that alternative is subsidizing Intel's failures.

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  • [–] 24 points 1 year ago (1 child)

    Or ignore it and let Americans pay higher prices. 20% while the floor for any other country in the world is 15% is almost the same. Also, it's not like you can purchase those chips from somewhere else.

    Otherwise they risk doing like Fuji that spent millions to move production of some cameras back to Japan just to let TACO to change mind after a few weeks and get a similar tariff applied. End result: customers pay more

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  • [–] 44 points 1 year ago (4 children)

    Wait, so they want to save Intel by getting a foreign cometitor buy them, instead of funding it appropriately themselves? That's a bold strategy.

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  • [–] 21 points 1 year ago (3 children)

    A foreign competitor about to be taken over militarily. China must om nom nom as all authoritarian empires must.

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  • [–] 3 points 1 year ago (2 children)
  • [–] 13 points 1 year ago

    Don't worry, Intel will still find a way to be a horrible company to invest in

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  • [–] 8 points 1 year ago

    Didnt have that on my 2025 world imploding bingo card.

    oh Intel, how the mighty have fallen

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  • [–] 7 points 1 year ago (1 child)

    Lol they want $400 billion in investment in the US too. However, aside from that, I sort of wonder how buying Intel would work out for TSMC. They'd basically be buying a research wing + existing US foundries. The most important thing for them would probably be ensuring that the foundries and so on in Taiwan are the most advanced to avoid the US ditching them if the PRC decides to invade.

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  • [–] 4 points 1 year ago

    What would that do to the stock btw?

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  • [–] 2 points 1 year ago

    Free markets and all that...

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  • [–] 6 points 1 year ago (1 child)

    TSMC is not a government entity, why is it a party in this negotiation (if you can call it that) between governments anyway?

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  • [–] 2 points 1 year ago

    You ever known someone very capable and independent, get involved with an abusive and manipulative relationship? Just run, leave them and don't look back!

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  • 6 comments in c/hardware@lemmy.world view that post
    [–] 10 points 1 year ago (3 children)

    Didn't want to submit this separately since it's more business than hardware news, but Intel's credit rating got downgraded to BBB (from BBB+) by Fitch: https://www.techspot.com/news/108942-intel-credit-rating-drops-two-steps-above-junk.html

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  • [–] [S] 5 points 1 year ago (2 children)

    I was reading about that earlier.

    They really look their imploding.

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  • [–] 1 point 1 year ago* (1 child)

    It's actually surprised me to discover that many of the "big computer hardware" companies in the west have somewhat low ratings compared to what I had expected, so maybe this isn't quite as big of a deal as I thought.

    Nvidia's and AMD's respective credit ratings look higher (though I'm having trouble immediately finding recent numbers), but they're also "hot" right now so probably aren't a good comparison.

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  • [–] [S] 7 points 1 year ago

    Investing another $400 billion in the US sounds like a bigger commitment than buying Intel.

    I am not even sure what TSMC would do with 49% of Intel. Upgrade their Intel's existing fabs using TSMC tech? I can't imagine TSMC getting into developing semiconductors (e.g. x86 CPUs), doesn't seem to fit their strategy and Intel only strong position is x86 CPUs for laptops.

    A mere decrease of tariffs from 20% to 15% doesn't seem all that enticing (without security guarantees for Taiwan), one would think TSMC could easily make their customers eat the 5% extra tariff cost, it's not like they have much of an option.

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  • [–] 2 points 1 year ago

    Trump is only doing this to save Intel which is already having trouble with new chip fabrication, so bring on the idiotic tarrifs and TSMC will sell to every other country and America will slowly fall behind the rest of the world.

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  • 1 comment in c/hackernews@lemmy.bestiver.se view that post
    [–] 2 points 1 year ago