Me with my hand in the cookie jar, staring at my mom, who just caught me red-handed: "It was a test! I was just checking whether you would catch me, wow, you did it Mom, congrats!
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That's what I would say if I got caught using fake polls to game kalshi bets
https://blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/fiftyplusone-just-caught-a-pollster
On Tuesday, Oct. 20, FiftyPlusOne reached out to Wedgewood Polls, a self-professed polling firm, with a request for comment on an investigation we had conducted into their alleged survey research. They did not respond to our request, but instead posted a public statement on social media admitting that they had been fabricating data. They also reached out directly in social media DMs minutes before publishing their memo with an official comment: “Fuck you,” plus the name of an individual not affiliated with FiftyPlusOne.
While yes, there is the mentality of "that's what I would say if I got caught too!", they should have pre registered and sealed it as a valid experiment or signed some sealed affidavit to be revealed along with this statement. It would have made the impact even more impressive.
A fictional group run by a small number of industry veterans. This feels way too slap dash for people putting their integrity on the line. They probably got used because they looked legit.
Also how did their secret polling "experiment" get crowd funded? You'd think advertising that legitimately would have ruined the experiment. Who were the people funding this and what did they think they were funding?
"Sparking a conversation" is a funny way of saying "provide an instruction manual to bad actors."
It's like releasing an unpatched security exploit to "Spark a conversation."
It doesn't stop being an exploit just because it's unreported. People need to be aware.
It's not a new idea. There have been a huge uptick of conservative polling outlets providing questionable or garbage polling data.
This has the same ring as "don't talk about drugs or sex, and especially don't educate kids about them, it'll give people ideas". No, people will get ideas regardless. What this firm did is try to educate people about a problem.
i think this is fantastic. i want to know, out of curiosity, how “far” they got by name though. being from the industry, and i bet it’s a small world, a name might bring with it some accidental creds. part of the equation for sure. just curious.
Nice try.
I predict absolutely nothing will change.
The only poll that matters is November 3rd
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