The Russian commitment to meatwave tactics in the face of such disastrous results against superior tech, strategy, and tactics is a sight to behold.
They’re blowing the whistles and charging into machine gun fire circa WW1.
The Russian commitment to meatwave tactics in the face of such disastrous results against superior tech, strategy, and tactics is a sight to behold.
They’re blowing the whistles and charging into machine gun fire circa WW1.
Does this mean the war will end soon? Or is this exaggerated, like the stories we've heard every month since the start of the conflict?
Neither. 6000 is nothing in terms of Russia’s fighting age population. If it came to it, there would be ways to streamline deployment much like in endgame Germany.
Paradoxically, if Russia were running out of troops to continue the war, I would expect the war to escalate
Putin cannot allow this war to end with a defeat. He is liable to be killed once the people turn on him
To avoid that outcome, the obvious choice would be conscription when troop numbers get low. Conscription is incredibly unpopular, as we saw in 2022; therefore, Putin would need additional justification for conscription. The justification would come in the form of an additional external threat -- NATO
NATO, obviously, has no intention of attacking Russia unless attacked themselves. Putin would need to attack NATO and provoke a response
It appears the US has intelligence suggesting Putin planned to do just that, which spurred John Ratcliffe's visit to Moscow. A trip that closely mirrors then CIA director William Burns' 2021 trip to discourage Russia from invading Ukraine
The goal is to keep support in the west high with a constant "we are not winning now, but we will very soon! (if we get enough weapons from you)". Same old story.
North Korea has entered the chat
and sourcing it from russian aligned countries elsewhere. Indians, south america, africans. while avoiding St petersburg and moscow at all cost.
And Ukraine needs 30k/month aka the same recruitment rate. All those poor men flung into a needless war. May Ukraine survive and come out victorious!
Do they? Defenders traditionally only need 1/3rd the manpower of the attacker.
From what we know loss ratio is more like 1:6-1:10 in this war.
Ukraine uses strategies that minimise human losses while russia does the opposite.
That's a good average for historical wars. We don't have much data on defenders with flying grenade robots against a foe that relies on meat waves. Hopefully we never do again.
That's what they're saying (discussion).
all 13 comments