Good article. I can't imagine learning to program in the current environment, the main thing driving me forward was frustrated anger at code not doing what I wanted, and of course I always took the shortest available path to resolving that.
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The percent of human coders will remain 100% despite the rise of cog suckers.
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That's a goal from AI companies and why they've been willing to bleed money. Eliminate having enough experienced coders and other fields experts, then launch prices sky high after those entities almost don't have a choice.
Developers, design studios, hospitals, law firms, all sorts of office jobs, and I'm sure a lot of others will be reliant on ai. Some of them will probably be able to use open source AI stuff. Hospitals and law offices won't.
If it just works, there's no problem.
If it doesn't work, that's friction.
Why is there no date on this blog?
JetBrains, a major player in developer tools, recently completed a study
https://dl.acm.org/doi/epdf/10.1145/3632620.3671116
This says: ICER ’24 Vol. 1, August 13–15, 2024, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
2024 in AI terms may as well be last century
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