The only time in history that bombing civilians actually caused a country to capitulate was after nuking Japan in WW2, and even there it was the emperor who decided to give up. Not the population. There's no historical reason at all for the US to assume that bombing Iran's citizens is going to make them turn on their government. Yet they keep murdering civilians. The only explanation left is that there is no underlying strategy, and they just want to murder civilians.
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there doesn't seem to be anything here
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Strategic bombing has never been successful by itself in the history of warfare. In every single occurrence dropping bombs with the goal of murdering people and destroying their communities just pisses them off. This is always been true.
Giulio Douhet, its inventor, was a World War I Italian General. I don't know if I need to say more than that to show you why it was a poor strategy.
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