The crisis has loomed for months. In February, the United States launched a war of choice on Iran. As Iran fired back with ballistic missiles and one-way attack drones, the United States, Israel, and various Persian Gulf countries began launching Patriot surface-to-air missiles at an unsustainable rate.

Before the war on Iran, US forces had around 2,300 PAC-2 and PAC-3 missiles for their Patriot batteries. Just two months into the war, the Americans had fired no fewer than half of the multi-million-dollar missiles, which are some of the only air defense munitions that can swat down cruise missiles, drones, and ballistic missiles.

A feature, NOT a bug, of the Iran War. Ukraine was betrayed by its "allies".

This places Ukraine into a position where it must counterattack. This is going to be a brutal winter for Ukrainian civilians but I also think about how that is only going to awaken the dragon more in Ukraine's military, I don't see how it can break resolve rather than harden it.