There are an estimated 12,000 ballots left to count as of late Thursday evening. Most of those ballots are from Arapahoe County. Only 85 percent of the county's votes are reported. Arapahoe County supported Laubacher overwhelmingly (60.9 percent) to Boebert's 35.8 percent.

According to NBC News, Boebert must win 61.4 percent of the remaining vote to overtake Laubacher.

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[–] 7 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (1 child)

But did you read the article? It explains why. Only county left to finish reporting her opponent has outperformed her 65/35 roughly. It's all but over at this point.

Edit - thanks for sharing that link!

  • source
  • parent
  • hideshow 1 child comment
  • [–] 10 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

    I did read the article and even read an article they linked (which is the one I linked). I also just posted here an analysis from The New York Times concluding that Mary Peltola very likely won her Senate race in Alaska (probably gets more than 50% and exceedingly likely to win anyway if it goes to ranked-choice); that doesn't mean "Peltola wins!!! 🥳"

    We really shouldn't be saying "X wins Y" unless a decision desk like the AP, Fox (yes, their decision desk is actually serious and robust), NBC News, DDHQ, etc. calls it. It's still technically possible for that to be wrong (RealClearPolitics this cycle retracted a race call for the first time in 20-something years IIRC), but it's way better than an AlterNet article reading that someone's path to victory is "very difficult" and interpreting that as "they lost!!!". She probably did, to reiterate.

  • source
  • parent