Labour are now ahead of Reform in polls from More in Common (28% to 24%) and Survation (26% to 24%). Also YouGov has Labour and Reform on level terms, both at 22%. This is the first time in over a year that Reform has not had a lead over Labour.

Thoughts?

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[–] 7 points 3 months ago* (2 children)

Kinda curious to see where that shift is coming from.

Date N Ref Lab Con LD Grn

28 Jul 2026|1,012|24%|26%|21%|10%|10%

24 Jul 2026|1,021|26%|25%|19%|10%|8%

17 Jul 2026|2,097|24%|24%|21%|11%|11%

17 Jun 2026|1,003|27%|19%|20%|12%|11%

Except for Labour, they're all within margin of error. Looks more like undecides and maybe a few LibDems are coming home to Labour than anything. Greens are depressingly flat, so this clearly isn't a big shift in ideology.

I guess just jettisoning Keir Starmer is enough to give Labour a small bounce.

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  • [–] 10 points 3 months ago* (1 child)

    If you're aiming for a table, you can do a Markdown table like this:

    |Date|N|Ref|Lab|Con|LD|Grn|
    |-|-:|-:|-:|-:|-:|-:|
    |28 Jul 2026|1,012|24%|26%|21%|10%|10%|
    |24 Jul 2026|1,021|26%|25%|19%|10%|8%|
    |17 Jul 2026|2,097|24%|24%|21%|11%|11%|
    |17 Jun 2026|1,003|27%|19%|20%|12%|11%|
    

    Which yields:

    Date N Ref Lab Con LD Grn
    28 Jul 2026 1,012 24% 26% 21% 10% 10%
    24 Jul 2026 1,021 26% 25% 19% 10% 8%
    17 Jul 2026 2,097 24% 24% 21% 11% 11%
    17 Jun 2026 1,003 27% 19% 20% 12% 11%

    The colons in the header line let you right-justify numeric columns, if you really want to be classy.

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