As an uneducated schub, I have only a limited grasp on macroeconomics. Can someone help me out with this?

As I understand the US economy right now...

If the interest rate goes up, the Federal budget is fucked because the payment on the debt will be unmanageable.

If the interest rate doesn't go up, inflation will runaway and eat the value of the dollar until it is worthless.

Is this correct as far as it goes? What is the most likely outcome? The desired method of fixing this? The timeframe for the shit to hit the fan? If I do have this right, is gold the only safe haven?

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[–] 2 points 5 months ago

Another way to put it. If we decided, technically we could buy back all treasury bonds from the market with money that didn’t exist yesterday (see QE that I linked previously, also google open market operations). The debt would go to zero. There is literally no technical reason not to do this. But, that would destroy money markets and the exchange rate of the USD, so we would need to stop buying goods from other countries, which would stop the economy… so it would be a very bad move. But I just want to make the point through that US government debt is really not like your family credit card debt.

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